Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 6 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33% | 1.4 | 35.1% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 6.48 | 4.36 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 6 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33% | 1.4 | 35.1% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 6.48 | 4.42 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 6.75 | 3.83 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 7.7% | 18.7% | 1.1% | 6.75 | 2.40 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 37 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 64 | 31 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 3.92 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 37 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 64 | 31 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 3.92 | 2.49 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 44 | 1 | 53 | 230 | 61 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 44 | 1 | 53 | 230 | 61 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 26.5% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 3.57 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 44 | 0 | 48 | 223 | 55 | 45 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 22.2% | -2.2% | 0.6% | 4.12 | 4.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 44 | 0 | 48 | 223 | 55 | 45 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 20.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 4.12 | 3.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 29 | 0 | 41 | 170 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.41 | 5.46 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 49 | 53 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 20.9% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.82 | 5.82 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 20.9% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.82 | 5.82 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 100 | 421 | 97 | 77 | 12 | — | — | 23.1% | 18.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 5.67 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.7% | 20.9% | -1.3% | 2.5% | 5.82 | 5.44 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 51 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 19.7% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 5.66 | 5.65 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 51 | 47 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 19.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.58 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 19.7% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 5.66 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 32 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 19.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.58 | 5.59 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 55 | 53 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 19.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.62 | 5.24 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 164 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 19.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.62 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 3 | 227 | 995 | 207 | 156 | 18 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 4.24 | 4.33 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 3 | 200 | 875 | 182 | 137 | 16 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 4.24 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kelvin Ramirez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.82 | 19.7% | 20.9% | 2.5% | — | 5.62 | 20.3% | 1.0% | 118 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Aroni Nina R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.8% | 20.5% | 1.3% | .312 | 3.06 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.94 | 2.68 | 115 | 88 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 87 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 87 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 86 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 86 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 18.1% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .278 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 90 | -0.20 | 4.16 | 164 | 86 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 85 |
| Lukas Schiraldi R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 319 | 85 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 84 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 84 |
| Danny Reynolds R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.74 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 1.7% | .263 | 3.67 | 16.0% | 4.3% | 88 | -1.07 | 3.29 | 165 | 84 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 83 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 83 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.72 | 18.7% | 21.1% | 1.0% | .236 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 102 | 83 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 83 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 83 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 82 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.6% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.26 | 4.02 | 328 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 17.8% | 19.9% | 2.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Blake Rivera R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.90 | 20.9% | 19.4% | 2.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 179 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 20.1% | 19.9% | 0.98 | 5.69 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |