Kelvin Ramirez — OGILVIE

Kelvin Ramirez P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 187 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%19.7%

BB%20.6%

K-BB%-0.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	6	2	8	37	13	8	1	33%	1.4	35.1%	21.6%	13.5%	2.7%	6.48	4.36	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	6	2	8	37	13	8	1	33%	1.4	35.1%	21.6%	13.5%	2.7%	6.48	4.42	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	14	0	20	91	24	7	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	9.6%	8.3%	1.7%	6.75	3.73	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	14	0	20	91	24	7	1	0%	1.4	26.4%	7.7%	18.7%	1.1%	6.75	2.40	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	37	0	57	244	64	31	0	0%	1.5	19.4%	15.0%	4.4%	0.0%	3.92	3.36	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	37	0	57	244	64	31	0	0%	1.5	19.4%	15.0%	4.4%	0.0%	3.92	3.36	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	37	0	57	244	64	31	0	0%	1.5	26.2%	12.7%	13.5%	0.0%	3.92	2.49	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.1%	4.78	4.56	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.1%	4.78	4.56	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	26.5%	10.0%	16.5%	2.6%	4.78	3.57	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	22.2%	-2.2%	0.6%	4.12	4.53	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	22.2%	-2.2%	0.6%	4.12	4.53	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	20.2%	4.5%	0.4%	4.12	3.89	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	24.8%	13.8%	11.0%	3.1%	2.45	4.45	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	24.8%	13.8%	11.0%	3.1%	2.45	4.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	LAD	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	30.6%	12.5%	18.1%	2.6%	2.45	3.52	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	5	23	4	5	1	0%	1.1	19.7%	20.6%	-0.9%	2.5%	5.78	5.78	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	71	294	87	39	8	—	—	29.8%	13.2%	16.6%	2.6%	2.71	4.55	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAD	62	0	65	273	55	53	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	19.4%	0.9%	2.5%	5.62	5.61	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	61	0	64	269	55	50	7	0%	1.0	20.5%	18.7%	1.8%	2.6%	5.54	5.55	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAD	27	0	28	118	24	23	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	19.4%	0.9%	2.5%	5.62	5.61	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	38	0	40	169	35	32	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	18.7%	1.8%	2.6%	5.54	5.55	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	69	290	59	55	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	19.0%	1.4%	2.6%	5.57	5.19	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	160	20	0%	1.0	20.4%	19.0%	1.4%	2.6%	5.57	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		193	3	252	1096	235	167	19	2%	1.3	21.5%	15.2%	6.3%	1.8%	4.07	4.19	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	2	200	869	187	132	15	2%	1.3	21.5%	15.2%	6.3%	1.8%	4.07	4.19	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kelvin Ramirez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	19.7%	20.6%	2.5%	—	5.58	20.3%	1.3%	128	-0.20	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	88
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	87
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	86
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	86
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	85
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	84
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	84
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	83
Jacob Morris R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	25	SU	4.77	18.7%	21.1%	1.0%	.236	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	102	83
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	82
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	82
Blake Rivera R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	25	SU	4.78	20.9%	19.4%	1.8%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	179	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Miguel Rosario R 2017 · 4.83 FIP	24	SU	4.83	16.4%	18.6%	1.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	197	81
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	80
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	20.1%	19.5%	0.98	5.64
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99