Lamar King Jr.
C Fort Wayne TinCaps| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A/ROKSD | 253 | .271/.381/.421 | 2 | 0 | 63 | — | .206/.298/.322 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 519 | .272/.361/.374 | 4 | 24 | 65 | — | .214/.281/.292 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+SD | 376 | .234/.328/.325 | 4 | 17 | 50 | — | .198/.275/.268 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBSD | 1 | .198/.268/.274 | 0 | 0 | 57 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ22% MLB | 24 | MLBSD | 68 | .204/.274/.294 | 1 | 1 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ35% MLB | 25 | MLBSD | 125 | .208/.279/.307 | 2 | 2 | 69 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 84 | 68 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 324 | 446 | 397 | 843 | 74 | 478 | 27 | 15 | 384 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 108 | 94 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 355 | 426 | 781 | 160 | 348 | 25 | 9 | 347 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 145 | 120 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 400 | 417 | 817 | 142 | 351 | 18 | 11 | 371 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 97 | 90 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 289 | 300 | 589 | 67 | 323 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 359 | 311 | 89 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 68 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 286 | 375 | 408 | 783 | 122 | 350 | 19 | 11 | 351 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 63 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 397 | 294 | 691 | 39 | 342 | 21 | 17 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 329 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 92 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 234 | 328 | 325 | 653 | 91 | 312 | 24 | 10 | 302 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 84 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 219 | 313 | 260 | 574 | 41 | 383 | 40 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 108 | 97 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 290 | 351 | 640 | 134 | 305 | 34 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 145 | 126 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 303 | 302 | 605 | 103 | 270 | 26 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 97 | 92 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 216 | 217 | 434 | 43 | 269 | 33 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 359 | 321 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 97 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 224 | 299 | 312 | 610 | 87 | 297 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 339 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 198 | 275 | 268 | 543 | 71 | 285 | 31 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 84 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 219 | 313 | 260 | 574 | 41 | 400 | 40 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 84 | 68 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 324 | 446 | 397 | 843 | 74 | 478 | 27 | 15 | 384 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 253 | 223 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 294 | 309 | 603 | 108 | 291 | 29 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 253 | 214 | 58 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 381 | 421 | 802 | 150 | 350 | 21 | 10 | 361 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 519 | 471 | 100 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 147 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 212 | 280 | 293 | 573 | 81 | 296 | 28 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 519 | 452 | 123 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 55 | 106 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 272 | 361 | 374 | 735 | 102 | 344 | 20 | 11 | 334 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 339 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 198 | 275 | 268 | 543 | 71 | 291 | 31 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 329 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 92 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 234 | 328 | 325 | 653 | 91 | 312 | 24 | 10 | 302 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 84 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 313 | 257 | 570 | 41 | 383 | 40 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 253 | 222 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 294 | 311 | 604 | 108 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 519 | 470 | 100 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 147 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 213 | 280 | 294 | 573 | 81 | 291 | 28 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 337 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 199 | 275 | 270 | 545 | 71 | 285 | 31 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 253 | 222 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 294 | 311 | 604 | 108 | 285 | 29 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 519 | 470 | 100 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 147 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 213 | 280 | 294 | 573 | 81 | 291 | 28 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 337 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 199 | 275 | 270 | 545 | 71 | 285 | 31 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 486 | 442 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 139 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 202 | 271 | 280 | 551 | 78 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -25 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | SD | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 268 | 274 | 542 | 76 | 276 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 57 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | SD | 22% | 307 | 277 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 208 | 278 | 299 | 577 | 92 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | SD | 35% | 362 | 327 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 100 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 211 | 282 | 312 | 594 | 101 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | SD | 42% | 392 | 354 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 107 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 285 | 320 | 604 | 106 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 45% | 406 | 367 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 111 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 285 | 322 | 607 | 107 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 46% | 409 | 370 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 111 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 285 | 321 | 606 | 107 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 46% | 402 | 363 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 111 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 282 | 315 | 597 | 104 | 282 | 28 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 46% | 393 | 355 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 109 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 278 | 307 | 586 | 99 | 280 | 28 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -16 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | SD | 22% | 68 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 274 | 294 | 568 | 90 | 278 | 28 | 7 | 260 | 64 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | SD | 35% | 125 | 113 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 279 | 307 | 586 | 99 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 267 | 69 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | SD | 42% | 164 | 148 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 281 | 315 | 596 | 105 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 45% | 181 | 163 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 282 | 317 | 599 | 106 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 46% | 190 | 171 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 106 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 46% | 186 | 167 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 279 | 310 | 589 | 102 | 277 | 27 | 8 | 268 | 70 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 46% | 182 | 164 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 275 | 302 | 577 | 97 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 67 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1096 | 988 | 208 | 38 | 6 | 18 | 80 | 302 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 211 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 105 | 282 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 65 | -39 | +2 | -5 | +20 | +24 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 125 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 179 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 213 | 284 | 323 | 607 | 109 | 285 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 65 | -23 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4113 | 3709 | 780 | 157 | 20 | 52 | 297 | 1167 | 77 | 85 | 17 | 210 | 283 | 305 | 588 | 95 | 290 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -107 | +5 | -13 | +51 | +62 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 184 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 210 | 282 | 304 | 585 | 94 | 290 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -24 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 376 PAwOBA .295 → .242 (−54)K% 24.5% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.66% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 22.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .295 → .242; ISO .091 → .071; BABIP .312 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 359 PAwOBA .346 → .270 (−76)K% 18.9% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.94% | ÷0.956 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.69% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | — | 22.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.88% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | — | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | — | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷0.936 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .346 → .270; ISO .122 → .091; BABIP .350 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 97 PAwOBA .263 → .198 (−65)K% 25.8% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.77% | ÷0.989 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.19% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.120 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .263 → .198; ISO .067 → .045; BABIP .323 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Padres · 145 PAwOBA .363 → .256 (−107)K% 17.9% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.03% | ÷1.002 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.21% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 17.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.042 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.32% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.985 | 3.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.892 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .363 → .256; ISO .142 → .098; BABIP .351 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 108 PAwOBA .342 → .268 (−74)K% 25.0% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.45% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 8.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .342 → .268; ISO .160 → .121; BABIP .348 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 84 PAwOBA .380 → .264 (−115)K% 27.4% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.38% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.48% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.22% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 34.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .264; ISO .074 → .050; BABIP .478 → .383. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .