Lamar King Jr. — OGILVIE

Lamar King Jr.C Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION268 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .283 / .294

PA178

HR2

SB6

K%29

BB%8

BABIP291

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
Totals		$9M		$19M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	84	72	16	1	1	0	9	34	2	5	1	222	325	264	589	42	410	40	11	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	84	68	22	1	2	0	13	23	2	5	1	324	446	397	843	74	478	27	15	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	253	223	43	9	4	2	17	74	12	0	0	193	286	296	582	103	277	29	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	253	214	58	14	6	2	26	53	12	0	0	271	381	421	802	150	350	21	10	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	519	468	96	22	1	4	39	153	8	24	4	205	278	282	560	77	292	29	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	519	452	123	32	1	4	55	106	8	24	4	272	361	374	735	102	344	20	11	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	SD	—	268	240	44	6	1	2	21	85	6	14	4	183	266	242	508	58	273	32	8	235	38	-19	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
YTD	22	A+	SD	—	268	231	52	8	1	3	30	63	6	14	4	225	330	307	637	82	295	24	11	297	86	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.9
ROS	22	A+	SD	0%	178	159	33	6	1	2	14	52	3	6	1	207	283	294	577	88	280	29	8	253	52	-10	+1	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						276	0	0	237	39	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	SD	—	269	241	44	6	1	2	21	85	6	14	4	183	265	241	506	58	271	32	8	235	38	-19	+1	-0	+5	+8	-0.5
TOT	22	A+	SD	—	446	399	77	12	2	4	35	137	9	20	5	193	273	263	535	70	280	31	8	242	44	-29	+2	-0	+8	+13	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SD	25%	503	450	94	18	2	7	40	141	8	11	3	209	285	304	590	96	283	28	8	269	64	-20	+1	-1	+9	+14	0.3
2028	24	MLB	SD	36%	520	465	100	19	2	9	42	142	8	10	2	215	291	323	614	108	285	27	8	278	71	-17	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.7
2029	25	MLB	SD	43%	520	465	101	19	2	10	42	140	8	9	2	217	293	331	624	114	285	27	8	283	75	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2030	26	MLB	SD	47%	520	464	101	19	2	10	43	140	8	8	2	218	295	332	627	114	285	27	8	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2031	27	MLB	SD	48%	520	464	101	19	2	10	43	140	8	8	2	218	295	332	627	114	285	27	8	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2032	28	MLB	SD	48%	520	463	101	19	2	10	44	141	8	7	2	218	297	333	630	114	285	27	8	285	76	-14	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.9
2033	29	MLB	SD	48%	520	463	99	18	2	10	44	142	8	6	2	214	293	326	619	112	284	27	8	283	75	-15	+0	-3	+9	+15	0.7
2034	30	MLB	SD	47%	520	463	99	18	2	10	44	143	8	6	1	214	293	326	619	112	282	28	8	280	72	-16	+1	-3	+9	+15	0.5
2035	31	MLB	SD	47%	504	448	94	17	2	9	43	140	8	5	1	210	291	317	608	107	280	28	9	276	69	-18	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.2
2036	32	MLB	SD	51%	487	436	89	16	1	8	41	137	7	4	1	204	283	300	584	96	277	28	8	270	65	-19	+0	-5	+9	+14	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	SD	25%	126	113	23	4	0	2	10	35	2	3	1	204	280	292	572	88	280	28	8	254	52	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	SD	36%	189	169	36	7	1	3	15	52	3	4	1	213	289	320	608	107	281	28	8	263	60	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	25	MLB	SD	43%	223	200	43	8	1	4	18	60	3	4	1	215	290	325	615	110	282	27	8	268	64	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB	SD	47%	242	216	47	9	1	5	20	65	4	4	1	218	296	338	634	120	282	27	8	271	65	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB	SD	48%	247	220	48	9	1	5	21	66	4	4	1	218	298	336	634	118	282	27	9	271	65	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2032	28	MLB	SD	48%	251	224	48	9	1	5	21	68	4	3	1	214	293	330	624	116	281	27	8	270	65	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2033	29	MLB	SD	48%	247	220	47	8	1	5	21	67	4	3	1	214	294	327	621	114	280	27	9	268	63	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2034	30	MLB	SD	47%	245	218	45	8	1	4	21	67	4	3	1	206	288	307	595	101	279	27	9	265	61	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
2035	31	MLB	SD	47%	236	210	44	8	1	4	20	66	4	2	1	210	291	314	605	105	276	28	8	261	58	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
2036	32	MLB	SD	51%	248	221	45	8	1	4	21	70	4	2	1	204	285	303	588	100	273	28	8	256	54	-13	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2255	2012	426	78	9	41	188	616	36	32	10	212	291	321	611	109	282	27	8	265	61	-99	+2	-10	+40	+64	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	123	22	3	12	54	178	10	9	3	212	290	322	613	110	282	27	8	265	61	-28	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	6168	5503	1167	220	26	101	505	1719	104	109	24	212	291	317	607	104	287	28	8	275	69	-216	+12	-23	+110	+175	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	123	23	3	11	53	181	11	11	3	212	290	319	609	107	286	28	8	275	69	-23	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	84	68	22	1	2	0	13	23	2	5	1	324	446	397	843	74	478	27	15	384	152	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	108	94	25	7	1	2	10	27	3	0	0	266	355	426	781	160	348	25	9	347	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	145	120	33	7	5	0	16	26	9	0	0	275	400	417	817	142	351	18	11	371	142	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	97	90	21	6	0	0	6	25	1	3	0	233	289	300	589	67	323	26	6	270	65	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	359	311	89	24	1	4	38	68	6	18	3	286	375	408	783	122	350	19	11	351	127	+11	+2	—	—	+10	2.4
2025	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	63	51	13	2	0	0	11	13	1	3	1	255	397	294	691	39	342	21	17	332	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,256	42	32	215	290	325	+40	-5	3.4	3.2
	/162	664	12	9	215	290	325	+11.9	-1.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lamar King Jr. (OGILVIE)	22	30→47	40	30→36	40	193/273/263	70	280	4	20	31%	8%	44	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Donny Sands 2018 · A	22	48	38→45	37→40	42	231/271/309	79	289	6	4	22%	5%	59	-1.1	208/253/290	82	290	5	4	28%	5%	46	-2.0	227/287/347	121	276	14	2	22%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Michael Barash 2017 · A	22	45	39→45	41→45	40	218/271/304	85	290	7	5	27%	5%	58	-1.2	210/279/332	122	282	13	4	28%	8%	69	-0.4	196/272/325	129	257	14	2	28%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Rayder Ascanio 2018 · A	22	42→46	40	42→45	43	205/260/300	95	274	7	8	27%	7%	53	-1.5	211/264/300	89	272	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	203/253/289	86	251	11	4	23%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Christian Lopes 2015 · A	22	43→50	38→45	42→50	45	206/262/287	81	260	4	4	22%	6%	50	-1.7	217/275/301	84	277	5	9	22%	7%	59	-1.1	218/301/343	126	271	13	13	23%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Brian Schales 2018 · A	22	40→49	37→45	39→40	44	191/261/256	64	267	5	3	29%	7%	43	-2.2	209/272/327	118	306	10	4	33%	7%	66	-0.6	208/270/345	137	301	12	3	33%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Dusty Ryan 2007 · A	22	41→46	40→50	41→40	39	195/256/279	85	300	7	5	36%	7%	46	-2.0	208/275/339	131	318	15	4	37%	8%	70	-0.3	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Niko Vasquez 2011 · A	22	41	41→50	40→45	47	199/280/301	102	285	8	3	31%	9%	63	-0.9	197/265/307	110	265	10	3	28%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Matt Kennelly 2011 · A	22	42	40	34→40	41	208/251/293	85	273	8	3	26%	5%	46	-2.0	217/270/301	84	280	6	4	23%	6%	57	-1.2	222/276/286	64	284	3	2	22%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Juan Fernandez 2021 · A	22	42→52	38→40	46→50	43	203/260/282	79	265	5	6	25%	6%	48	-1.9	232/291/335	103	298	11	9	24%	6%	75	-0.0	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Travis Harrison 2016 · AA	23	45→48	39→40	37→45	46	213/290/302	89	294	5	4	28%	8%	67	-0.5	184/268/265	81	282	5	9	33%	8%	49	-1.8	157/249/227	71	251	5	10	36%	9%	29	-2.2
✕Brian Serven 2018 · A	23	42	37→45	40→30	45	200/257/277	77	250	4	6	21%	6%	46	-2.0	189/243/292	103	253	9	4	28%	5%	44	-2.1	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Corey Kemp 2009 · A	23	43→49	38→40	41→40	42	206/268/282	76	272	6	3	26%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	296	5	4	24%	8%	66	-0.6	230/298/316	86	301	4	2	23%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Lenyn Sosa 2022 · AA	22	42→51	43→50	39→40	34	212/238/317	105	284	11	4	30%	3%	47	-1.9	235/269/367	132	290	16	4	25%	4%	74	-0.1	246/275/385	139	290	18	4	22%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Stephen Alemais 2017 · A	22	43→52	40	45→50	38	208/259/303	96	304	7	10	33%	5%	53	-1.5	225/276/305	80	294	5	13	24%	6%	60	-1.0	231/286/303	73	295	4	14	22%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Diory Hernandez 2006 · A	22	46→56	42→45	41→50	39	225/271/327	102	286	9	7	24%	4%	65	-0.7	241/282/336	95	297	8	12	21%	4%	71	-0.3	250/298/379	129	273	15	6	15%	5%	87	+0.4
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2015 · AA	22	44→49	42→45	39→40	43	215/275/322	107	294	10	2	29%	7%	65	-0.7	217/271/315	98	287	9	3	26%	7%	62	-0.9	237/294/332	95	297	8	3	22%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Kyle Overstreet 2016 · A	22	40→45	37→45	42→30	45	191/256/261	70	267	4	4	28%	8%	41	-2.3	223/277/322	99	281	9	3	23%	7%	66	-0.6	220/263/317	97	269	11	1	22%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Devin Lohman 2011 · A	22	40→46	36→40	40→50	42	192/249/257	66	258	3	4	26%	6%	37	-2.7	214/274/301	87	276	8	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	211/272/299	88	264	8	16	22%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Blake Ochoa 2008 · A	22	43	41→45	41→40	40	209/257/306	97	272	8	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	227/283/347	120	284	12	4	23%	7%	75	-0.0	233/296/376	142	280	16	2	22%	7%	87	+0.3