Sean Hermann — OGILVIE

Sean Hermann P Inland Empire 66ers

+0.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs A peak 0.6 · 2028

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.2%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%9.4%

IP66

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2028

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†4050

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	10	10	54	219	57	13	8	18.1%	7.2%	4.6%	2.52	5.01	-0.0
2023	20	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	23	23	113	496	91	45	10	13.4%	11.0%	2.6%	4.79	4.77	+0.7
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	37	0	60	258	45	33	0	12.9%	15.1%	0.0%	3.17	3.92	+0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A	Inland Empire 66ers	2	2	9	37	12	4	0	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	SEA	12	12	66	281	50	39	7	17.8%	13.8%	2.6%	5.16	5.16	-0.1
2026 Total	23	MLB	SEA	—	—	76	318	62	43	7	19.5%	13.5%	2.3%	4.54	4.54	+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	SEA	12	12	68	288	54	37	8	18.9%	12.9%	2.6%	5.01	4.96	+0.0
2028	25	MLB	SEA	13	13	69	292	57	36	8	19.6%	12.4%	2.6%	4.89	4.85	+0.1
2029	26	MLB	SEA	13	13	69	292	58	36	8	20.0%	12.2%	2.7%	4.82	4.80	+0.2
2030	27	MLB	SEA	12	12	69	290	58	35	8	20.1%	12.2%	2.7%	4.80	4.80	+0.2
2031	28	MLB	SEA	12	12	68	285	57	35	8	20.1%	12.2%	2.7%	4.81	4.82	+0.2
2032	29	MLB	SEA	12	12	66	279	56	34	8	19.9%	12.3%	2.8%	4.84	4.87	+0.1
2033	30	MLB	SEA	12	12	64	271	53	34	8	19.7%	12.4%	2.8%	4.89	4.93	+0.0
2034	31	MLB	SEA	11	11	62	261	51	33	8	19.5%	12.5%	2.9%	4.96	5.00	-0.0
2035	32	MLB	SEA	59	—	59	251	48	32	7	19.2%	12.7%	3.0%	5.04	5.09	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	SEA	57	—	57	239	45	31	7	18.9%	12.8%	3.1%	5.13	5.19	-0.2
2037	34	MLB	SEA	54	—	54	228	42	30	7	18.6%	13.1%	3.2%	5.23	5.30	-0.2
2038	35	MLB	SEA	51	—	51	214	39	28	7	18.2%	13.3%	3.3%	5.34	5.42	-0.3
2039	36	MLB	SEA	48	—	48	201	36	27	7	17.7%	13.5%	3.4%	5.47	5.55	-0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			72	35	235	1010	152	113	23	15.0%	11.2%	2.3%	3.68	4.49	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—			61	30	200	860	129	96	20	15.0%	11.2%	2.3%	3.68	4.49	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Hermann (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	17.8%	13.8%	2.6%	—	4.87	19.5%	7.0%	206	-0.29	—	—	—
Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	23	SW	4.74	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.09	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.65	4.09	116	96
David Trexler R 2027 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	94
Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	17.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-1.97	2.66	145	94
Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	16.9%	14.7%	2.1%	.297	3.79	18.1%	3.6%	58	-0.89	3.79	117	94
Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SW	4.94	18.8%	13.8%	3.1%	.301	3.44	18.6%	10.2%	76	-1.50	3.36	178	92
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	18.3%	14.4%	1.9%	.265	4.51	22.7%	9.8%	58	+0.09	4.42	155	92
Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	23	SW	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.94	18.5%	7.4%	135	-0.43	3.84	213	92
Jack Noble R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	16.5%	13.1%	1.9%	.258	6.05	20.3%	8.2%	58	+1.63	4.42	125	92
Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.47 FIP	23	SW	4.47	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.38	3.17	514	91
Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	91
Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.24 FIP	23	SW	5.24	18.5%	13.5%	3.6%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.49	5.24	107	91
Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.21 FIP	23	SW	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.26	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.95	3.58	327	91
Jhondaniel Medina R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	23	SW	4.54	19.3%	13.9%	2.4%	.261	5.27	19.3%	4.4%	35	+0.73	4.38	167	90
Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.40	17.1%	3.3%	48	-1.04	4.40	122	90
Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SW	5.00	17.9%	12.6%	3.3%	.273	4.48	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.52	3.80	215	90
Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.78	16.2%	5.7%	316	+0.22	3.98	371	90
Mike Ruff R 2026 · 3.97 FIP	23	SW	3.97	18.5%	12.4%	1.6%	.301	5.72	16.0%	5.0%	185	+1.75	3.97	260	90
Aaron Hernandez R 2025 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.77	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.05	4.61	194	89
Jacinto Arredondo R 2026 · 4.96 FIP	23	SW	4.96	14.4%	12.7%	2.7%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.07	4.89	101	89
Reid Schaller R 2025 · 5.17 FIP	22	SW	5.17	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.41	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.76	3.63	186	89

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.