Jared Jones

1B Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 246 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+PIT	58	.160/.276/.420	4	0	22	—	.115/.207/.308
2026	22	A+PIT	358	.311/.412/.567	23	0	107	—	.246/.314/.443
2026	22	APIT	23	.368/.478/.474	0	0	113	—	.300/.391/.400
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBPIT	2	.220/.290/.399	0	0	96	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBPIT	121	.223/.293/.403	5	1	98	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBPIT	195	.224/.295/.404	8	2	99	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wOBA93

wRC+92

ISO91

BB%69

Chase%47

Whiff%30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 86%

CompsSergio Pedroza (age 23) · Juan Yepez (age 24) · Ryan Strieby (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .290 / .399

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO184

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	1	0	4	6	26	2	0	0	160	276	420	696	260	200	45	10	310	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	358	305	95	9	0	23	50	105	2	0	0	311	412	567	979	256	404	29	14	427	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	23	19	7	2	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	368	478	474	952	105	500	22	17	430	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	6	1	0	3	4	34	2	0	0	115	207	308	515	192	173	59	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	358	325	80	7	0	19	30	137	2	0	0	246	314	443	757	197	358	38	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	23	20	6	2	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	300	391	400	791	100	443	30	13	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	6	1	0	3	4	34	2	0	0	115	207	308	515	192	200	59	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	1	0	4	6	26	2	0	0	160	276	420	696	260	200	45	10	310	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	381	345	87	9	0	19	33	144	2	0	0	252	321	443	765	191	372	38	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	381	324	102	11	0	23	54	110	2	0	0	315	416	562	978	247	411	29	14	427	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	6	1	0	3	4	34	2	0	0	115	207	308	515	192	173	59	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	381	343	87	9	0	19	33	144	2	0	0	254	321	446	767	192	363	38	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	6	1	0	3	4	34	2	0	0	115	207	308	515	192	173	59	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	381	343	87	9	0	19	33	144	2	0	0	254	321	446	767	192	363	38	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	462	418	94	14	2	21	37	142	4	5	1	223	292	412	705	189	280	31	8	311	96	-2	+1	-2	-8	+10	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	220	290	399	689	179	280	50	0	305	96	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	398	360	81	12	1	18	32	120	3	4	1	226	295	415	711	190	281	30	8	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-7	+9	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	44%	440	397	90	14	2	19	36	131	4	4	1	227	297	416	714	190	282	30	8	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-8	+10	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	466	420	96	15	2	20	39	137	4	4	1	228	298	416	714	188	282	29	8	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-8	+10	0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	476	429	97	15	2	20	40	139	4	3	1	227	298	412	711	185	282	29	8	314	99	-1	+0	-1	-8	+10	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	478	431	98	15	2	20	40	139	4	3	1	226	297	407	704	181	281	29	8	311	97	-2	+0	-2	-9	+10	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	472	426	95	15	1	19	39	138	4	2	1	223	294	400	694	177	279	29	8	307	94	-3	+0	-3	-8	+10	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	464	420	91	14	1	18	38	137	3	2	3	220	290	391	681	171	276	30	8	302	90	-5	-1	-3	-8	+10	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	121	109	24	4	0	5	10	36	1	1	0	223	293	403	696	180	281	30	8	308	98	-0	+0	-0	-2	+3	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	44%	195	175	39	6	1	8	16	58	2	2	0	224	295	404	699	180	282	30	8	309	99	-0	+0	-1	-3	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	237	213	49	8	1	10	20	69	2	2	1	225	296	403	699	179	282	29	8	309	99	-0	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	250	225	51	8	1	10	21	73	2	2	1	225	296	400	696	176	282	29	8	308	99	-0	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	255	230	52	9	1	10	21	74	2	1	1	223	295	395	690	172	281	29	8	306	97	-1	-0	-1	-5	+6	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	248	224	49	8	1	9	20	73	2	1	1	221	292	389	680	168	278	29	8	302	94	-2	-0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	242	218	48	8	1	9	20	72	2	1	2	217	287	380	667	163	276	30	8	297	90	-3	-1	-2	-4	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1548	1394	312	51	6	61	128	455	13	10	6	224	295	400	695	176	284	29	8	305	97	-7	-0	-7	-28	+34	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	131	21	3	26	54	191	5	4	3	224	295	403	698	179	283	29	8	305	97	-3	-0	-3	-12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3953	3568	805	119	12	170	327	1217	33	25	10	226	297	409	705	183	289	31	8	311	97	-14	+1	-14	-63	+76	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	133	20	2	28	54	200	5	4	2	227	297	411	708	184	290	31	8	311	97	-3	+0	-3	-12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Steve Balboni'81-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	181	1	227*	293*	471*	-69	-19	2.6	3.3
/162	664	35	0	-13.3	-3.7	0.5	pk7: 4
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Babe Dahlgren'35-'46 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,506 PA	6.8	4,506	82	18	246*	312*	409*	-73	-30	-0.4	2.1
/162	664	12	3	-10.8	-4.5	-0.1	pk7: 4
#6John Ganzel'01-'08 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,599 PA	3.9	2,599	14	43	251*	309*	428*	-46	-0	1.5	1.5
/162	664	4	11	-11.6	-0.1	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.3	1,548	65	10	226	293	409	-28	-12	0.8	0.9
/162	664	28	4	-11.9	-5.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Jones (OGILVIE)	23	30	50→60	30	45	221/290/408	187	280	14	3	31%	8%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→46	56→60	38→45	48	221/315/416	195	294	24	3	32%	10%	107	+1.8	229/303/389	160	305	18	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	227/297/375	148	293	16	7	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	44→49	57→60	39→45	47	237/307/438	201	277	26	4	25%	8%	109	+2.0	234/292/406	172	275	21	3	23%	7%	95	+1.0	232/290/385	153	271	19	3	22%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Ryan Strieby 2009 · A	23	42→45	54→60	43→40	46	223/287/401	178	268	22	3	26%	8%	93	+0.8	231/303/400	169	308	21	4	30%	8%	98	+1.2	226/302/382	156	315	20	3	33%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Justin Foscue 2022 · AA	23	44→48	59→55	43→50	40	232/305/445	213	313	27	5	34%	7%	110	+2.1	236/316/397	161	272	17	7	20%	9%	102	+1.5	232/321/385	153	262	16	7	18%	10%	99	+0.9
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2024 · AAA	23	37→42	52→55	41→45	40	203/265/366	163	260	22	3	31%	6%	76	-0.4	209/265/378	169	271	22	3	31%	6%	80	-0.2	201/256/375	174	256	24	1	32%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jamie Romak 2009 · AA	23	39→48	54→55	39→45	41	206/280/385	179	292	22	2	36%	8%	86	+0.3	202/262/336	134	270	15	4	30%	6%	68	-1.0	202/257/379	177	268	21	5	33%	6%	74	-0.4
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	40→48	61→60	40→50	46	223/295/441	219	278	30	5	32%	9%	105	+1.7	225/305/410	185	278	22	6	26%	10%	101	+1.4	217/299/394	178	268	20	5	26%	10%	96	+1.0
✕Yazy Arbelo 2013 · AA	25	35→31	57→60	38→30	39	197/263/386	188	271	26	2	37%	7%	81	-0.1	208/271/354	146	301	18	5	35%	7%	76	-0.4	160/239/257	97	243	12	0	37%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Allan Cerda 2022 · A	22	40→25	53→55	39→45	40	204/285/385	180	305	20	5	38%	8%	88	+0.5	177/277/336	159	278	19	7	40%	10%	75	-0.5	147/260/300	153	223	20	7	41%	11%	58	-0.9
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2024 · A	22	39→42	58→60	43→40	40	213/276/412	199	288	28	4	36%	7%	91	+0.7	216/281/389	173	272	22	3	28%	7%	88	+0.4	206/277/374	167	248	21	2	26%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	217/297/388	171	275	20	6	28%	9%	93	+0.8	188/261/333	145	260	17	6	33%	8%	68	-1.0	153/227/285	132	210	17	5	35%	8%	41	-1.8
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	47→46	53→55	38→30	41	242/312/410	168	298	22	3	26%	5%	105	+1.7	220/309/361	141	268	15	2	23%	7%	93	+0.8	208/299/335	127	258	13	0	24%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	55→60	38→30	38	239/286/424	185	309	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.2	216/259/333	117	277	12	4	26%	4%	66	-1.1	194/230/280	86	245	7	0	24%	2%	40	-1.4
✕Bobby Dalbec 2020 · AAA	25	36→42	54→60	41→50	41	195/275/366	171	281	23	5	38%	8%	81	-0.1	223/293/432	209	301	28	5	35%	8%	103	+1.5	212/285/410	198	297	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	43→51	56→60	38→30	37	228/276/415	187	306	25	3	34%	6%	92	+0.7	246/303/435	189	333	25	2	32%	7%	107	+1.8	247/307/448	201	309	26	1	28%	7%	110	+1.8
✕Ibandel Isabel 2019 · A	24	40→37	56→55	39→30	31	199/254/376	177	343	26	2	48%	6%	75	-0.5	191/248/361	170	343	24	3	49%	6%	69	-0.9	161/220/324	162	281	25	0	50%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Joe Koshansky 2006 · AA	24	42→48	60→55	41→40	39	232/284/444	212	294	29	5	32%	6%	102	+1.5	236/295/420	184	312	24	4	31%	7%	100	+1.3	233/295/416	183	313	23	2	32%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/433	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	218/274/334	116	262	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	189/233/258	68	230	4	5	19%	5%	35	-0.8
✕Christopher Cook 2006 · A	23	39	53→55	41→45	36	206/259/369	163	298	22	3	38%	6%	75	-0.5	201/262/308	107	318	11	6	38%	6%	61	-1.5	194/256/287	92	310	10	8	38%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Kiel Roling 2010 · A	23	49→37	54→55	42→30	40	250/299/431	181	331	22	3	31%	6%	103	+1.6	213/261/362	149	299	18	3	34%	6%	74	-0.6	199/248/357	158	262	21	1	32%	5%	66	-0.8

Jared Jones

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps