Dillon TatumC Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†27
AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .230 / .240
PA76
HR1
K%35
BB%8
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.32627
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 262224 28704 281307 02 125243210453 85258 5011 217 24
202222 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 262211 37806 41907 02 175328299627 123263 3416 295 84
202323 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 173144 17411 22896 10 118262181442 62291 5113 217 24
202323 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 173133 23711 33596 10 173360263624 90297 3419 305 92
202424 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 8073 8101 5472 01 110188164352 55280 596 162 -18
202424 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 8071 14302 7332 01 197287324611 127333 419 281 74
▸ 2026 Season
202626 MLBMIN 7669 10201 6271 10 145224217441 72223 368 221 27 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBMIN 26% 117104 16302 10402 21 154241240482 87231 349 231 35 -9 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.3
202727 MLBMIN 26% 3028 5101 2100 00 179233321555 143232 337 221 28 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 3028 5101 2100 00 179233321555 143235 337 221 28 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G 650607 10922022 432170 00 180234325558 145236 337 221 28 -53 +0 +0 +12 +18 -2.4
Career 708614 791719 7133318 44 129239204443 75253 4710 214 22 -63 -1 +0 +13 +20 -3.1
/ 162G 650564 731618 6530617 44 129240204444 74255 4710 214 22 -58 -1 +0 +12 +18 -2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 262211 37806 41907 02 175328299627 123263 3416 295 84 -5 -1 +7 0.2
202323 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels 173133 23711 33596 10 173360263624 90297 3419 305 92 -2 +0 +5 0.4
202424 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 8071 14302 7332 01 197287324611 127333 419 281 74 -2 -0 +2 -0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dillon Tatum (OGILVIE) 26 150/230/240 90223 11 35% 8% 27 -0.4
Mike Salvatore
2023 · A
26 31 41→40 49→45 40 165/225/253 88235 95 33% 7% 26 -3.4 191/259/280 89260 88 28% 8% 48 -1.9 174/253/251762286725%9%34-1.1
Stuart Levy
2019 · A
26 36 38→40 44→40 38 175/245/249 74270 65 35% 6% 34 -2.8 191/251/282 91306 87 38% 6% 45 -2.1 149/202/237882459341%6%9-0.9
Liam Spence
2023 · A
25 37 41→40 48→45 42 184/254/275 91273 96 34% 8% 45 -2.1 198/269/287 89308 78 35% 8% 54 -1.4 149/242/196472523738%10%17-0.7
Grant Koch
2023 · AA
26 36 42→45 44→30 41 181/250/278 97261 104 33% 7% 44 -2.1 201/256/297 96313 104 36% 6% 50 -1.7 187/235/2738529210038%5%31-0.8
Jake Anchia
2023 · AA
26 37 44→45 48→40 35 193/235/302 109272 133 34% 4% 43 -2.2 192/238/323 131269 165 34% 5% 50 -1.7 174/222/32314923019333%4%41-1.1
Connor Justus
2021 · AA
26 35→37 37→40 43→45 42 172/248/244 72250 58 31% 7% 35 -2.8 192/256/268 76294 67 34% 7% 43 -2.2 166/232/217512613335%7%17-2.1
Dave Wallace
2006 · A
26 35 44→45 44→40 40 179/263/296 117278 125 38% 8% 56 -1.3 190/264/315 125262 155 32% 8% 60 -1.0 177/251/29912322617329%8%48-0.6
Toby Welk
2022 · AA
25 38→33 43→45 48→45 41 191/257/300 109268 109 32% 7% 53 -1.5 202/261/308 106298 107 33% 7% 56 -1.3 189/237/29911127911035%5%42-0.7
Matt Whatley
2022 · AA
26 40→36 38→40 45→50 44 192/263/267 75276 714 31% 8% 46 -2.0 190/249/283 93268 119 32% 6% 45 -2.1 167/230/2548722612831%6%27-1.2
Connor Kaiser
2022 · AA
25 36 44→45 47→50 43 187/255/303 116259 125 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/267/312 121296 1414 37% 9% 60 -1.0 169/257/271103275111640%10%43-1.1
Jordan Betts
2018 · AA
26 35→27 45 46→40 34 182/229/301 118285 135 40% 6% 40 -2.4 198/246/305 107298 125 36% 5% 48 -1.9 181/224/2688726411035%4%27-2.0
Matt Spring
2011 · AA
26 36 46→50 46→45 36 189/238/312 124270 144 35% 6% 47 -1.9 181/235/318 137298 174 43% 6% 48 -1.9 166/218/32115525219041%5%40-0.8
Jack Conley
2022 · AAA
25 34 40→45 50→45 38 172/234/264 91270 87 38% 7% 33 -2.9 198/262/311 113286 108 32% 7% 57 -1.2 182/252/29611425610531%7%45-1.0
Wade Kirkland
2015 · A
26 37→33 41→45 48→45 32 183/227/285 102284 87 37% 4% 35 -2.8 183/214/261 78323 78 44% 3% 22 -3.7 163/185/222582996647%2%-3-2.3
Joe Hudson
2017 · AA
26 39 40→45 46→40 44 191/260/284 93262 83 29% 8% 50 -1.8 188/245/285 97263 83 30% 7% 43 -2.2 184/288/33314926521837%11%73-0.0
Madison Stokes
2022 · AA
26 38→35 42→40 41→40 36 190/239/291 101287 104 36% 5% 42 -2.3 182/255/286 104302 99 39% 8% 48 -1.9 156/243/254992638940%9%32-1.5
George Soto
2011 · A
25 34 36→40 44→45 40 169/238/230 61247 58 32% 6% 27 -3.3 190/261/281 91262 78 28% 8% 49 -1.8 163/239/259972139727%8%37-1.0
Chris Okey
2019 · AA
24 34 41→45 48→40 36 174/228/264 89257 95 35% 6% 30 -3.1 192/248/306 114290 134 36% 6% 50 -1.7 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Camden Duzenack
2021 · AA
26 35→37 45→50 48→50 39 184/243/301 118247 1410 31% 6% 47 -1.9 204/251/338 134276 1610 31% 5% 59 -1.1 203/253/332129265151029%5%56-0.7
Bryan Arias
2023 · AA
26 38 43→45 51→50 38 183/255/286 103300 1114 40% 7% 49 -1.8 201/273/302 101301 914 34% 8% 59 -1.1 198/297/2949626082425%10%65-0.1