Liam Spence
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 332 | .216/.344/.337 | 6 | 3 | 67 | — | .160/.247/.244 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 237 | .260/.396/.365 | 3 | 5 | 96 | — | .158/.252/.221 |
| 2024 | 26 | INTLAdelaide Gian… | 161 | .202/.331/.295 | 1 | 1 | 78 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 54 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 185 | 102 | 287 | 156 | 31 | 9 | 148 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 149 | 120 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 340 | 308 | 649 | 100 | 256 | 23 | 15 | 296 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 67 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 284 | 298 | 582 | 140 | 195 | 22 | 12 | 272 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 116 | 96 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 260 | 383 | 396 | 778 | 135 | 284 | 12 | 16 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 107 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 346 | 303 | 649 | 90 | 300 | 26 | 16 | 307 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 130 | 103 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 301 | 438 | 417 | 855 | 117 | 358 | 16 | 18 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 161 | 129 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 202 | 331 | 295 | 626 | 93 | 245 | 19 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 54 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 148 | 80 | 228 | 143 | 43 | 7 | 111 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 149 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 271 | 250 | 521 | 70 | 240 | 32 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 67 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 194 | 230 | 424 | 115 | 145 | 33 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 107 | 95 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 252 | 221 | 473 | 63 | 251 | 35 | 10 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 54 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 148 | 80 | 228 | 148 | 43 | 7 | 111 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 54 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 185 | 102 | 287 | 156 | 31 | 9 | 148 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 292 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 154 | 242 | 236 | 479 | 82 | 216 | 32 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 332 | 273 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 344 | 337 | 681 | 121 | 255 | 19 | 15 | 311 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 159 | 255 | 207 | 462 | 48 | 254 | 35 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 192 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 49 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 260 | 396 | 365 | 760 | 104 | 333 | 21 | 17 | 350 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL MLE | Adelaide Giants | — | 161 | 129 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 202 | 331 | 295 | 626 | 93 | 245 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL RAW | Adelaide Giants | — | 161 | 129 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 202 | 331 | 295 | 626 | 93 | 245 | 19 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 54 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 148 | 80 | 228 | 143 | 43 | 7 | 111 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 295 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 153 | 242 | 234 | 476 | 81 | 211 | 32 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 159 | 255 | 207 | 462 | 48 | 251 | 35 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 784 | 679 | 108 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 82 | 242 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 159 | 257 | 227 | 484 | 68 | 230 | 31 | 10 | 167 | -1 | -94 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +17 | -7.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 563 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 68 | 201 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 160 | 259 | 229 | 488 | 69 | 231 | 31 | 10 | 167 | -1 | -78 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -5.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 A+South Bend Cubs · 107 PAwOBA .300 → .219 (−81)K% 26.2% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.17% | ÷0.966 | ×1.270 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.89% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.31% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 19.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.197 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .300 → .219; ISO .090 → .058; BABIP .300 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 149 PAwOBA .295 → .242 (−53)K% 22.8% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.82% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.44% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 10.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 21.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .295 → .242; ISO .100 → .084; BABIP .256 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Cubs · 67 PAwOBA .266 → .172 (−93)K% 22.4% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.39% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.94% | ÷1.083 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×0.955 | 7.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×0.955 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.054 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×0.955 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 1.84% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 111, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .266 → .172; ISO .140 → .095; BABIP .195 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 54 PAwOBA .145 → .111 (−34)K% 31.5% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.48% | ÷1.012 | ×1.350 | — | — | 42.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 14.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .145 → .111; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .156 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .