Gabe Emmett

P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	21	2	36	8.00	3.60	19.4%	13.9%	—	K 13.7% · BB 18.2% · FIP 4.60
2023	22	ALAA	28	14	86	5.55	5.03	18.3%	14.2%	—	K 13.5% · BB 16.7% · FIP 6.05
2024	23	ALAA	17	3	45	8.60	4.61	19.7%	15.5%	—	K 14.6% · BB 18.2% · FIP 5.32
2027PROJ	26	MLBLAA	26	0	27	4.99	4.99	21.3%	13.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBLAA	10	0	10	4.95	4.97	21.5%	12.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Taylor Grover (age 26) · Tyler Yates (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%21.3%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	3	0	4	16	4	4	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%	7.36	11.02	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	3	0	4	16	4	4	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%	7.36	11.28	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	36	180	35	25	1	10%	1.7	13.7%	18.2%	-4.5%	0.6%	8.00	4.60	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	36	180	35	25	1	10%	1.7	19.4%	13.9%	5.6%	0.6%	8.00	3.60	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	14	86	388	71	55	11	50%	3.1	13.5%	16.7%	-3.2%	3.6%	5.55	6.05	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	14	86	388	71	55	11	50%	3.1	18.3%	14.2%	4.1%	2.8%	5.55	5.03	—
2024	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	2.1%	8.60	5.32	—
2024	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	2.1%	8.60	5.32	—
2024	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	19.7%	15.5%	4.3%	1.7%	8.60	4.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	LAA	26	0	27	114	24	15	3	0%	1.0	21.3%	13.3%	8.1%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	25	0	26	111	24	14	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.9%	8.6%	3.0%	4.95	4.97	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.9%	8.6%	3.0%	4.95	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	9	5	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.9%	8.6%	3.0%	4.95	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	104	21	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.9%	8.6%	3.0%	4.95	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		69	19	171	817	115	144	22	28%	2.5	14.1%	17.6%	-3.5%	2.7%	6.91	5.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	22	200	957	135	169	26	28%	2.5	14.1%	17.6%	-3.5%	2.7%	6.91	5.62	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Emmett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	21.3%	13.3%	3.0%	—	4.97	21.5%	8.6%	26	-0.02	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	79
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	78
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	78
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	77
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	77
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	77
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	77
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	76
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	76
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	75
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	75
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	74
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	74
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	74
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	73
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.4%	13.1%	1.16	4.97
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57