Jace Avina

LF Somerset Patriots

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AANYY	194	.224/.316/.341	3	2	55	—	.189/.264/.274
2025	22	A+NYY	221	.295/.423/.506	8	3	101	—	.235/.335/.401
2026	23	AANYY	532	.254/.352/.467	21	16	85	—	.216/.293/.379
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBNYY	6	.213/.286/.365	0	0	81	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	25	MLBNYY	85	.215/.289/.372	3	2	84	-0.1
2029PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBNYY	143	.217/.291/.374	4	3	85	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO78

wRC+77

Chase%77

wOBA70

Speed64

BB%61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 80%

CompsJordan Beck (age 23) · Brandon Meredith (age 24) · Maxwell Costes (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .286 / .365

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO149

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	119	102	25	4	2	5	12	42	3	2	3	245	342	471	812	225	351	35	10	353	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	149	119	35	8	1	10	15	51	15	2	0	294	436	630	1.066	336	431	34	10	461	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	326	76	22	2	14	56	118	17	10	3	233	373	442	815	209	320	30	14	367	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	351	86	24	0	10	32	108	8	4	1	245	322	399	721	154	318	27	8	320	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	194	170	38	11	0	3	19	50	4	2	2	224	316	341	657	118	297	26	10	300	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	221	176	52	13	0	8	30	54	9	3	1	295	423	506	929	210	367	24	14	402	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	532	460	117	29	3	21	61	126	8	16	6	254	352	467	819	213	304	24	11	361	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	119	105	17	3	1	3	9	58	3	2	3	162	248	295	543	133	291	49	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	—	149	124	21	4	1	6	10	73	15	2	0	169	309	363	672	194	307	49	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	343	56	15	2	10	39	162	17	10	3	163	281	306	587	143	258	41	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	365	64	16	0	8	18	150	8	4	1	175	230	285	515	110	251	38	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	194	175	33	9	0	2	14	63	4	2	2	189	264	274	539	86	283	32	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	221	187	44	10	0	7	19	72	9	3	1	235	335	401	736	166	297	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	532	477	103	24	3	16	44	154	8	16	6	216	293	379	672	164	277	29	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	268	229	38	7	2	9	19	132	18	4	3	166	282	332	614	166	322	49	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	268	221	60	12	3	15	27	93	18	4	3	271	395	557	951	285	391	35	10	413	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	343	56	15	2	10	39	162	17	10	3	163	281	306	587	143	269	41	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	326	76	22	2	14	56	118	17	10	3	233	373	442	815	209	320	30	14	367	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	365	64	16	0	8	18	150	8	4	1	175	230	285	515	110	263	38	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	351	86	24	0	10	32	108	8	4	1	245	322	399	721	154	318	27	8	320	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	362	78	19	0	10	33	135	13	5	3	215	304	351	655	135	304	33	8	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	415	346	90	24	0	11	49	104	13	5	3	260	373	425	797	165	332	25	12	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	532	477	103	24	3	16	44	154	8	16	6	216	293	379	672	164	281	29	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	532	460	117	29	3	21	61	126	8	16	6	254	352	467	819	213	304	24	11	361	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	268	229	38	7	2	9	19	132	18	4	3	166	282	332	614	166	300	49	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	399	340	56	15	2	10	39	162	17	10	3	165	281	309	590	144	258	41	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	368	64	16	0	8	18	150	8	4	1	174	230	283	513	109	251	38	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	366	78	19	0	10	33	135	13	5	3	213	304	347	651	134	290	33	8	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	532	475	103	24	3	16	44	154	8	16	6	217	293	381	674	164	277	29	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	397	368	64	16	0	8	18	150	8	4	1	174	230	283	513	109	251	38	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	366	78	19	0	10	33	135	13	5	3	213	304	347	651	134	290	33	8	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	532	475	103	24	3	16	44	154	8	16	6	217	293	381	674	164	277	29	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	380	342	72	17	1	10	29	113	6	8	3	211	285	358	643	147	279	30	8	288	81	-9	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	213	286	365	651	152	279	33	0	291	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	23%	370	332	70	16	1	10	29	108	6	8	3	214	288	364	652	150	280	29	8	292	84	-7	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	35%	407	365	79	18	1	12	32	118	7	9	4	215	290	367	657	152	280	29	8	294	85	-7	+0	+0	-4	+9	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	40%	420	377	81	18	1	12	33	121	7	9	4	216	290	366	656	150	280	29	8	294	85	-8	+0	+0	-4	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	425	382	82	18	1	12	34	122	6	9	4	215	289	363	653	148	279	29	8	292	84	-8	+0	-1	-5	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	23%	85	77	17	4	0	3	7	25	1	2	1	215	289	372	661	156	280	29	8	295	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	35%	143	129	27	6	0	4	11	41	2	3	1	217	291	374	666	157	280	29	8	297	85	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	40%	170	152	33	7	1	5	13	49	3	4	2	217	292	373	665	156	280	29	8	297	85	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	186	166	37	8	1	6	15	53	3	4	2	217	291	370	661	154	279	28	8	296	84	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	584	524	114	25	2	18	46	168	9	13	6	218	292	376	668	158	282	29	8	296	75	-11	+0	-0	-6	+13	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	127	28	2	20	51	187	10	14	7	218	291	376	667	158	282	29	8	296	75	-12	+0	-0	-7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3953	3520	712	165	12	108	305	1297	95	81	34	202	284	348	632	146	282	33	8	279	75	-37	+1	-0	-21	+42	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	117	27	2	18	50	213	16	13	6	202	284	349	633	147	280	33	8	279	75	-13	+0	-0	-7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Danny Moeller'07-'16 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,912 PA	4.4	2,912	15	171	242*	323*	402*	-31	-13	2.8	2.8
/162	664	3	39	-7.0	-3.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.9	591	17	13	216	287	367	-6	+0	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	19	15	-7.1	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Phil Todt'24-'31 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,765 PA	5.7	3,765	57	29	228*	277*	399*	-67	+17	-2.8	-1.9
/162	664	10	5	-11.8	+3.0	-0.5	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jace Avina (OGILVIE)	24	40	50	50	50	209/283/355	145	279	9	7	30%	8%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	43→39	49→50	46→45	47	218/299/372	154	287	16	8	29%	9%	90	+0.6	209/283/347	138	275	16	7	28%	8%	78	-0.3	191/266/325	134	242	17	5	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Maxwell Costes 2024 · AA	25	42	47→50	50→45	46	213/296/347	134	270	16	8	26%	8%	84	+0.1	204/274/304	100	255	10	8	23%	7%	65	-1.2	162/236/211	50	196	5	3	20%	7%	29	-1.2
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2015 · AAA	24	46→47	48→55	50	40	232/279/378	146	298	16	13	28%	5%	84	+0.1	222/279/367	145	279	17	13	26%	6%	81	-0.1	207/269/346	139	258	16	13	26%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	44	214/288/348	134	285	14	9	29%	7%	81	-0.1	214/278/341	127	301	13	7	32%	6%	75	-0.5	201/264/327	126	284	14	4	33%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	41	234/280/377	144	297	16	15	27%	5%	84	+0.1	217/263/360	143	281	16	14	28%	5%	74	-0.6	205/250/346	141	263	15	14	28%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41	44→55	46→50	45	204/280/319	115	283	11	13	30%	8%	72	-0.7	220/279/374	154	275	17	14	26%	6%	84	+0.1	218/278/389	170	267	20	17	26%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	45→42	50	48→45	47	227/317/378	151	300	17	10	29%	9%	99	+1.2	200/269/321	121	316	13	8	38%	7%	68	-1.0	196/260/324	128	287	14	6	35%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Ben Harrison 2007 · AA	25	45→48	49→50	50	43	230/291/376	146	294	18	11	28%	6%	88	+0.4	213/275/343	130	306	16	11	34%	7%	75	-0.5	197/269/322	125	291	15	10	36%	7%	66	-0.7
✕D.J. Peterson 2016 · AA	24	43→45	49→55	51→40	40	221/270/370	149	285	18	6	29%	6%	78	-0.3	222/269/360	138	288	16	5	28%	5%	76	-0.4	221/265/358	137	285	16	3	28%	5%	71	-0.7
✕Richie Shaffer 2015 · AA	24	39→40	48→55	52→40	43	201/263/348	147	262	15	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	203/273/365	162	281	19	5	33%	8%	79	-0.2	192/268/351	159	273	20	4	36%	8%	72	-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Jonathan Rodríguez 2014 · A	24	44→50	49→50	48→50	44	220/290/372	152	297	16	11	30%	8%	87	+0.4	225/286/338	113	301	12	9	28%	7%	77	-0.3	222/296/363	141	301	17	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	42	49→50	45→50	41	213/282/354	140	287	17	12	31%	7%	80	-0.1	210/279/347	137	276	16	12	29%	6%	77	-0.3	202/274/337	135	264	15	13	29%	6%	70	-0.8
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→41	51→55	46→45	47	194/276/357	163	259	19	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	192/259/327	135	269	16	6	33%	7%	65	-1.2	167/233/291	124	223	18	2	34%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Daz Cameron 2021 · MLB	24	43→48	44→50	52→55	42	207/281/333	126	299	11	16	33%	8%	74	-0.5	216/280/347	131	298	13	20	30%	7%	77	-0.3	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	41→32	48→50	48→55	42	201/281/349	148	306	14	10	37%	8%	78	-0.3	200/285/350	150	270	16	20	31%	9%	81	-0.1	182/277/337	156	233	18	25	29%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0

Jace Avina

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps