Ryan McCrystal — OGILVIE

Ryan McCrystalC Dayton Dragons

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION271 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .257 / .296

PA180

HR2

K%27

BB%6

BABIP266

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	42	40	8	2	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	296	31	5	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	42	39	10	3	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	256	310	333	643	77	333	21	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	338	309	73	16	2	3	18	90	5	1	1	236	289	330	619	94	323	27	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	338	304	88	21	3	4	23	65	5	1	1	289	349	418	767	128	356	19	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	271	246	56	16	1	3	18	78	4	0	1	228	291	337	628	110	315	29	7	275	69	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	271	238	65	20	1	3	26	59	4	0	1	273	354	403	758	130	346	22	10	338	117	+5	-0	+0	+5	+8	1.8
ROS	23	A+	CIN	0%	180	165	33	8	1	2	11	48	2	1	1	199	257	296	553	97	264	27	6	249	49	-10	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						266	0	0	242	44	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CIN	—	272	247	56	16	1	3	18	78	4	0	1	227	290	336	626	109	314	29	7	275	68	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
TOT	23	A+	CIN	—	451	411	89	24	2	5	29	126	6	1	2	216	278	321	598	104	295	28	6	265	61	-20	-1	+0	+8	+13	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	426	392	80	19	2	6	26	110	5	3	1	204	262	309	571	105	266	26	6	256	54	-22	+0	+0	+8	+12	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	456	419	87	20	2	7	29	116	5	4	2	208	267	315	582	107	268	25	6	265	61	-20	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.1
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	475	435	91	21	2	8	31	121	6	4	2	209	271	322	593	113	270	25	7	270	65	-19	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	479	438	93	21	2	9	32	122	6	4	2	212	275	331	606	119	270	25	7	272	66	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.4
2031	28	MLB	CIN	53%	477	435	92	21	2	9	33	122	6	4	2	211	276	331	607	120	269	26	7	271	65	-19	+0	-1	+9	+14	0.3
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	129	118	24	6	0	2	8	33	2	1	0	203	266	305	571	102	269	26	6	250	50	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	202	185	39	9	1	3	13	52	2	2	1	211	270	319	589	108	271	26	6	259	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	241	220	47	11	1	4	16	61	3	2	1	214	276	327	603	114	272	25	7	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	251	229	49	11	1	5	17	64	3	2	1	214	277	336	613	122	273	25	7	266	62	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2031	28	MLB	CIN	53%	254	232	49	11	1	5	17	65	3	2	1	211	274	332	606	121	272	26	7	265	61	-11	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1078	985	208	48	4	19	71	275	13	9	4	211	273	326	599	115	272	26	7	262	59	-50	+0	-0	+19	+31	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	125	29	2	11	43	166	8	5	2	210	273	322	594	111	271	26	7	262	59	-30	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2873	2633	557	128	13	44	182	742	35	21	11	211	272	320	592	109	276	26	6	266	62	-124	-0	-1	+51	+81	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	126	29	3	10	41	168	8	5	2	211	271	320	592	109	276	26	6	266	62	-28	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	42	39	10	3	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	256	310	333	643	77	333	21	7	292	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	74	70	19	7	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	271	311	371	682	100	358	23	4	306	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	264	234	69	14	3	4	20	48	4	1	1	295	360	432	792	137	355	18	8	347	123	+7	-0	—	—	+7	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,079	18	8	211	270	324	+19	+8	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	11	5	211	270	324	+11.9	+4.9	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McCrystal (OGILVIE)	23	50	35	40	30	216/278/321	104	295	5	1	28%	6%	61	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Brito 2021 · A	23	42→48	38→40	42→50	39	202/250/275	73	275	6	9	28%	5%	42	-2.3	236/287/348	112	305	9	7	24%	6%	76	+0.1	256/304/381	125	322	10	4	23%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Brady Whalen 2021 · A	23	42→50	39→45	39→40	44	202/260/289	87	266	7	3	26%	6%	50	-1.7	222/276/345	123	279	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	225/279/359	134	275	14	7	23%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Joey Wong 2011 · A	23	39→49	38→40	44→45	39	192/234/267	75	254	5	6	27%	5%	33	-2.9	213/258/291	78	275	5	6	23%	4%	49	-1.8	207/288/261	54	275	4	1	24%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Larry Infante 2008 · A	23	46→51	40	43→45	40	224/263/317	93	283	8	7	24%	4%	58	-1.2	231/274/310	79	306	5	9	25%	5%	60	-1.0	238/281/301	62	317	2	9	24%	5%	57	-0.9
✕L.T. Tolbert 2019 · A	23	45→53	37→40	45→40	48	211/268/286	75	257	4	6	19%	7%	53	-1.5	236/282/317	81	290	6	5	20%	5%	66	-0.6	251/293/325	73	302	7	3	19%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Tony Wolters 2015 · AA	23	45→49	38→40	40→45	42	216/269/295	79	292	5	5	27%	6%	55	-1.4	208/276/286	78	282	5	6	26%	8%	56	-1.3	217/297/286	69	280	4	1	22%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Seth Dhaenens 2007 · A	23	43	34→30	40→30	42	201/251/248	47	268	2	7	25%	6%	34	-2.8	209/261/261	52	299	1	5	28%	6%	43	-2.2	206/259/244	38	297	0	3	29%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Joel Naughton 2010 · A	23	46	40	44→30	44	221/265/313	91	269	8	3	21%	6%	57	-1.2	233/277/334	101	308	10	5	26%	6%	69	-0.4	264/300/351	87	357	9	0	28%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Nick Noonan 2012 · AAA	23	41→50	38→45	44→50	42	199/246/278	78	254	6	6	24%	6%	40	-2.4	216/258/299	83	284	7	6	25%	5%	51	-1.7	221/256/301	80	298	5	4	27%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Kyle Holder 2018 · A	24	47→45	37→40	43→45	41	223/257/290	67	277	4	6	21%	4%	47	-1.9	225/270/320	95	270	8	6	19%	5%	62	-0.9	220/273/310	89	271	7	5	21%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Wilfredo Flores 2023 · A	23	46	39→30	47→50	38	222/253/304	82	284	7	9	24%	4%	50	-1.8	228/263/301	73	299	5	9	24%	4%	53	-1.5	246/273/282	35	320	0	8	22%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Jin-De Jhang 2016 · A	23	49→56	38→40	42→40	43	235/268/312	76	273	6	4	16%	4%	58	-1.2	231/267/309	78	259	5	4	13%	4%	57	-1.2	231/267/306	75	253	4	1	11%	4%	54	-0.5
✕Jonathan Morales 2018 · AA	23	43→47	38→40	40→30	41	210/245/284	74	252	6	3	20%	4%	41	-2.3	211/256/283	72	261	5	3	20%	5%	46	-2.0	197/251/289	92	234	11	1	21%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Trent Gilbert 2016 · A	23	44→45	38→40	44→40	39	213/249/288	75	282	5	4	26%	4%	43	-2.2	215/252/306	91	300	5	4	29%	4%	50	-1.8	214/248/309	95	301	4	1	29%	4%	46	-1.1
✕Levi Hyams 2013 · A	23	42→48	42→40	47→45	43	209/261/312	103	276	10	9	28%	6%	56	-1.3	216/276/308	92	295	5	8	27%	7%	62	-0.9	218/282/313	95	296	5	7	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Joey August 2010 · A	23	42	39→45	41→50	42	206/250/293	87	262	6	6	24%	5%	46	-2.0	223/272/322	99	267	8	9	19%	5%	63	-0.8	230/278/326	96	264	7	10	15%	5%	64	-0.3
✕Jake Opitz 2009 · A	23	36→46	37→40	48→45	40	176/228/247	71	233	4	9	26%	5%	25	-3.5	213/267/299	86	271	4	6	22%	6%	55	-1.4	216/267/305	89	272	5	4	21%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Jermaine Palacios 2019 · AA	23	43→47	39→45	45→50	38	209/245/298	89	273	6	10	26%	4%	45	-2.1	205/256/297	92	279	9	13	28%	6%	50	-1.7	211/262/352	141	281	20	13	32%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Corey Kemp 2009 · A	23	43→49	38→40	41→40	42	206/268/282	76	272	6	3	26%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	296	5	4	24%	8%	66	-0.6	230/298/316	86	301	4	2	23%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Wilbis Santiago 2019 · A	23	49	37→40	47→30	42	230/262/307	77	261	4	6	14%	3%	54	-1.4	235/268/316	81	269	4	5	14%	3%	59	-1.1	263/291/346	83	292	3	2	11%	2%	73	-0.0