Nelson Molina
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 237 | .215/.262/.297 | 2 | 1 | 30 | — | .196/.224/.258 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA/AACOL | 107 | .179/.243/.305 | 2 | 2 | 16 | — | .154/.203/.237 |
| 2023 | 28 | INTLRA12 | 62 | .086/.102/.086 | 0 | 1 | -57 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 120 | 109 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 110 | 178 | 119 | 297 | 9 | 128 | 12 | 5 | 147 | -38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 155 | 136 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 309 | 287 | 595 | 44 | 277 | 12 | 8 | 265 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 207 | 276 | 250 | 526 | 43 | 221 | 10 | 8 | 241 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 382 | 333 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 300 | 377 | 381 | 758 | 81 | 349 | 14 | 10 | 339 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 303 | 284 | 69 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 286 | 342 | 627 | 99 | 275 | 15 | 5 | 280 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 149 | 142 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 236 | 310 | 546 | 106 | 255 | 23 | 4 | 243 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 88 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 234 | 306 | 273 | 579 | 39 | 286 | 16 | 7 | 262 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 45 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 350 | 540 | 200 | 129 | 18 | 4 | 221 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 62 | 55 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 279 | 273 | 551 | 73 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | RA12 | — | 62 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 102 | 86 | 188 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 84 | -57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 120 | 111 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 144 | 99 | 243 | 9 | 110 | 18 | 3 | 112 | -38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 155 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 199 | 242 | 227 | 469 | 28 | 233 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 183 | 228 | 225 | 453 | 42 | 193 | 14 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 382 | 346 | 93 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 72 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 269 | 324 | 329 | 653 | 61 | 326 | 19 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 303 | 289 | 61 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 243 | 294 | 537 | 83 | 255 | 22 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 149 | 146 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 196 | 260 | 456 | 75 | 245 | 27 | 1 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 88 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 215 | 271 | 253 | 524 | 38 | 271 | 23 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 45 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 167 | 250 | 417 | 125 | 112 | 24 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 62 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 175 | 230 | 228 | 458 | 53 | 235 | 29 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 120 | 111 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 90 | 144 | 99 | 243 | 9 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 112 | -38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 120 | 109 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 110 | 178 | 119 | 297 | 9 | 128 | 12 | 5 | 147 | -38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 155 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 199 | 242 | 227 | 469 | 28 | 241 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 155 | 136 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 309 | 287 | 595 | 44 | 277 | 12 | 8 | 265 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 183 | 228 | 225 | 453 | 42 | 204 | 14 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 207 | 276 | 250 | 526 | 43 | 221 | 10 | 8 | 241 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 382 | 346 | 93 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 72 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 269 | 324 | 329 | 653 | 61 | 333 | 19 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 382 | 333 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 300 | 377 | 381 | 758 | 81 | 349 | 14 | 10 | 339 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 303 | 289 | 61 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 243 | 294 | 537 | 83 | 261 | 22 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 303 | 284 | 69 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 286 | 342 | 627 | 99 | 275 | 15 | 5 | 280 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 224 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 192 | 223 | 250 | 473 | 58 | 258 | 25 | 3 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 219 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 215 | 262 | 297 | 559 | 82 | 266 | 20 | 5 | 250 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 97 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 155 | 204 | 237 | 441 | 82 | 203 | 27 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 107 | 95 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 243 | 305 | 548 | 126 | 208 | 21 | 7 | 240 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL MLE | RA12 | — | 62 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 102 | 86 | 188 | 104 | 18 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL RAW | RA12 | — | 62 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 102 | 86 | 188 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 84 | -57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 120 | 112 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 89 | 144 | 98 | 242 | 9 | 110 | 18 | 3 | 112 | -38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 155 | 146 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 192 | 242 | 219 | 461 | 27 | 233 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 130 | 122 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 180 | 228 | 221 | 450 | 41 | 193 | 14 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 382 | 351 | 93 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 72 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 265 | 324 | 325 | 648 | 60 | 326 | 19 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 303 | 288 | 61 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 212 | 243 | 295 | 538 | 83 | 255 | 22 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 226 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 190 | 223 | 248 | 471 | 58 | 255 | 25 | 3 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 100 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 204 | 230 | 434 | 80 | 183 | 27 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1496 | 1386 | 277 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 65 | 307 | 13 | 29 | 18 | 200 | 242 | 255 | 497 | 55 | 249 | 21 | 4 | 215 | 32 | -121 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +32 | -8.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 120 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 133 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 199 | 242 | 252 | 495 | 53 | 248 | 20 | 4 | 215 | 32 | -53 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAHartford Yard Goats · 62 PAwOBA .251 → .204 (−47)K% 24.2% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.50% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 16.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.178 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.190 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 106, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .251 → .204; ISO .073 → .053; BABIP .268 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 45 PAwOBA .219 → .176 (−43)K% 17.8% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷0.957 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.974 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 6.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.136 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .176; ISO .200 → .151; BABIP .129 → .112. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAHartford Yard Goats · 149 PAwOBA .227 → .202 (−24)K% 22.8% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.82% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.01% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 1.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.011 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×1.027 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.081 | ×0.860 | ×1.040 | ×1.027 | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.950 | ×1.040 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.194 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 90, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .227 → .202; ISO .106 → .081; BABIP .255 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 88 PAwOBA .256 → .230 (−26)K% 15.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.011 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.036 | ×0.960 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.810 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 107, 3B 90, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .256 → .230; ISO .039 → .036; BABIP .286 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 303 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−45)K% 14.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.85% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.209 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 2.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.35% | ÷1.178 | ×0.960 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.942 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 89, BB 142 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .099 → .078; BABIP .275 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 382 PAwOBA .331 → .291 (−40)K% 13.9% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.87% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 27.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.232 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 90, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .331 → .291; ISO .081 → .067; BABIP .349 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKElizabethton Twins · 130 PAwOBA .235 → .194 (−41)K% 10.0% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 18.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .235 → .194; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .221 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Twins · 155 PAwOBA .262 → .210 (−52)K% 12.3% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 21.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .262 → .210; ISO .044 → .034; BABIP .277 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .