Aaron Holiday
P Peoria Chiefs
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
A+
Overview
A+PROSPECT
MLB%0%
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AMIN | 14 | 1 | 15 | 7.63 | 5.45 | 24.4% | 30.2% | — | K 18.1% · BB 35.7% · FIP 6.09 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX3 levels | 14 | 0 | 23 | 3.97 | 3.72 | 26.2% | 13.6% | — | K 20.8% · BB 16.6% · FIP 4.73 |
| 2026 | 26 | A+STL | 8 | 0 | 10 | 8.10 | 8.30 | 17.9% | 19.6% | — | K 13.8% · BB 22.6% · FIP 8.48 |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBSTL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 5.87 | 5.87 | 19.6% | 18.3% | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 28 | MLBSTL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 5.76 | 5.80 | 19.8% | 17.6% | -0.1 |
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsTyler Davis (age 25) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Stevie Branche (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 128
ERA5.87
FIP5.87
K%19.6%
BB%18.3%
K-BB%1.2%
Proj IP7
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.09 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 38.1% | 9.5% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.34 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | 35 | 0 | 57 | 250 | 74 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 4.42 | 4.81 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | 35 | 0 | 57 | 250 | 74 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.6% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 22 | 0 | 30 | 142 | 37 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.1% | 19.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 5.01 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 22 | 0 | 30 | 142 | 37 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 1.4% | 4.75 | 3.89 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 14 | 1 | 15 | 86 | 21 | 26 | 0 | 7% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 35.7% | -17.6% | 0.0% | 7.63 | 6.09 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 14 | 1 | 15 | 86 | 21 | 26 | 0 | 7% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 35.7% | -17.6% | 0.0% | 7.63 | 6.09 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 14 | 1 | 15 | 86 | 21 | 26 | 0 | 7% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 30.2% | -5.8% | 0.0% | 7.63 | 5.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 14 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 4.73 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 14 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 16.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 4.73 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 14 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.97 | 3.72 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | 8 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.8% | 22.6% | -8.8% | 6.7% | 8.10 | 8.48 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | 8 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.8% | 22.6% | -8.8% | 6.7% | 8.10 | 8.48 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | 8 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 19.6% | -1.8% | 5.4% | 8.10 | 8.30 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 18.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.80 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.80 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.42 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 136 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 17.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.76 | 5.42 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 96 | 1 | 141 | 658 | 136 | 118 | 19 | 1% | 1.5 | 20.7% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 5.20 | -0.3 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 136 | 1 | 200 | 933 | 193 | 168 | 27 | 1% | 1.5 | 20.7% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 5.20 | -2.9 | |