J.R. Freethy

LF Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 S/R 6'0" / 215 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+TOR	120	.253/.383/.364	1	2	68	—	.200/.300/.295
2025	22	ATOR	193	.252/.408/.377	3	4	73	—	.204/.325/.296
2026	23	AATOR	116	.198/.296/.257	1	2	37	—	.183/.261/.240
2026	23	A+TOR	366	.238/.375/.356	5	5	61	—	.187/.295/.276
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTOR	2	.189/.288/.270	0	0	62	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBTOR	112	.194/.292/.287	1	1	68	-0.3
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTOR	180	.198/.294/.298	3	2	71	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Whiff%86

Z-Con%83

Chase%81

K%72

BB%42

Speed14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsKawika Emsley-Pai (age 24) · Jose Herrera (age 24) · Frainyer Chavez (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .288 / .270

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	55	10	0	0	1	17	18	4	4	0	182	408	236	644	55	250	24	22	329	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	120	99	25	8	0	1	18	23	3	2	0	253	383	364	747	111	320	19	15	347	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	193	151	38	6	2	3	35	41	5	4	3	252	408	377	786	126	321	21	18	361	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	40	30	5	0	1	0	7	11	3	1	0	167	375	233	608	67	263	28	18	308	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	116	101	20	3	0	1	11	24	3	2	2	198	296	257	553	59	247	21	9	261	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	298	71	18	1	5	57	89	8	5	2	238	375	356	730	117	319	24	16	337	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	60	10	0	0	1	12	23	4	4	0	167	342	217	559	50	238	30	16	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	120	105	21	7	0	1	12	32	3	2	0	200	300	295	595	95	279	27	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	193	162	33	5	2	2	24	58	5	4	3	204	325	296	621	93	284	30	12	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	40	33	4	0	1	0	4	16	3	1	0	121	275	182	457	61	192	40	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	116	104	19	3	0	1	8	29	3	2	2	183	261	240	501	58	236	25	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	366	315	59	14	1	4	40	120	8	5	2	187	295	276	571	89	277	33	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	60	10	0	0	1	12	23	4	4	0	167	342	217	559	50	250	30	16	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	55	10	0	0	1	17	18	4	4	0	182	408	236	644	55	250	24	22	329	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	353	300	57	11	3	3	40	106	11	7	3	190	308	277	584	87	280	30	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	353	280	68	14	3	4	60	75	11	7	3	243	396	357	753	114	315	21	17	350	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	419	79	17	1	5	48	149	11	7	4	189	289	270	558	81	275	31	10	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	482	399	91	21	1	6	68	113	11	7	4	228	356	331	686	103	299	23	14	319	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	60	10	0	0	1	12	23	4	4	0	167	342	217	559	50	238	30	16	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	353	299	57	11	3	3	40	106	11	7	3	191	308	278	585	87	272	30	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	420	79	17	1	5	48	149	11	7	4	188	289	269	558	81	267	31	10	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	76	60	10	0	0	1	12	23	4	4	0	167	342	217	559	50	238	30	16	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	353	299	57	11	3	3	40	106	11	7	3	191	308	278	585	87	272	30	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	420	79	17	1	5	48	149	11	7	4	188	289	269	558	81	267	31	10	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	380	331	63	14	1	4	39	108	7	5	2	189	287	269	556	81	264	28	10	260	62	-17	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	189	288	270	558	81	265	50	0	261	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	370	322	62	13	1	5	38	104	7	4	2	194	291	286	577	92	266	28	10	268	68	-14	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	407	356	70	15	1	6	41	113	7	5	2	197	294	297	590	100	268	28	10	273	71	-14	+0	+0	-4	+9	-1.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	420	368	72	15	1	6	42	116	7	4	2	199	294	300	594	101	268	28	10	274	72	-14	+0	+0	-4	+9	-1.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	112	98	18	4	0	1	11	31	2	1	1	194	292	287	578	92	267	28	10	269	68	-4	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	180	157	31	6	1	3	18	50	3	2	1	198	294	298	592	100	269	28	10	273	71	-6	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	206	179	36	7	1	3	21	57	4	2	1	199	294	301	595	101	269	28	10	275	72	-7	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	498	434	85	17	2	7	50	138	9	5	3	196	292	293	585	97	267	28	10	273	65	-18	-0	+0	-5	+11	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	111	22	3	9	65	180	12	7	4	196	292	293	586	97	268	28	10	273	65	-23	-0	+0	-7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2428	2103	402	82	8	29	254	702	53	35	15	191	294	279	573	88	269	29	10	265	65	-57	+0	+0	-16	+33	-4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	108	22	2	8	68	188	14	9	4	192	295	281	575	89	270	29	10	265	65	-24	+0	+0	-7	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	500	7	6	198	291	297	+2	+1	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	10	7	+2.3	+1.3	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.R. Freethy (OGILVIE)	24	40	35	45	60	187/285/267	80	264	3	4	28%	10%	62	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	42	36→30	46→40	55	197/296/268	72	273	3	7	26%	12%	66	-1.1	193/287/268	75	277	5	7	29%	11%	62	-1.4	157/268/213	56	230	5	4	30%	12%	43	-0.7
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	44	40	47→40	51	210/290/306	96	280	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/296/316	93	296	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	220/296/301	80	288	8	3	24%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Frainyer Chavez 2024 · AAA	25	42→47	38→40	44→50	44	200/265/273	72	276	6	10	28%	7%	54	-2.0	218/280/300	82	291	7	15	26%	7%	66	-1.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Joseph Rosa 2021 · A	24	43→45	38→40	44→50	42	206/272/288	81	291	6	9	30%	7%	60	-1.6	213/281/321	108	313	9	17	32%	7%	72	-0.7	204/281/306	102	306	8	21	33%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	37→45	39→40	47→40	54	180/284/263	83	241	7	6	26%	11%	61	-1.5	193/282/279	86	272	8	4	29%	10%	63	-1.3	203/293/298	95	263	9	0	25%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Casey Turgeon 2017 · AA	24	44	39→40	47→45	54	210/298/302	91	261	5	7	20%	10%	74	-0.6	208/287/304	96	270	9	8	24%	9%	70	-0.8	186/273/268	81	238	10	6	25%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/265/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	215/286/290	75	307	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	46	200/275/266	66	266	4	5	25%	8%	57	-1.8	215/292/303	88	278	6	4	23%	8%	72	-0.7	212/295/296	84	268	6	2	21%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Ronald Bueno 2017 · AA	24	46	38→40	49→50	45	215/273/296	81	290	4	11	26%	7%	62	-1.4	216/275/325	109	279	9	7	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/323	116	259	10	2	23%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Victor Cruzado 2016 · AA	24	47→48	40	46→45	48	222/287/323	101	291	6	5	25%	8%	74	-0.6	222/287/314	92	298	8	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	221/288/304	83	294	8	6	26%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA	24	41→44	41→40	52→50	48	197/277/294	96	279	9	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	209/289/307	98	301	8	14	30%	10%	72	-0.7	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕James Free 2022 · A	24	41→45	40→45	48→30	43	195/265/289	94	297	7	6	35%	8%	58	-1.7	221/276/343	122	294	14	3	28%	6%	74	-0.5	226/281/358	133	288	16	1	27%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	42	41→40	43→45	42	204/275/301	97	290	9	7	31%	7%	65	-1.2	221/294/314	93	294	7	9	26%	7%	75	-0.5	217/296/305	87	288	7	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Chris Berset 2012 · A	24	42	38→40	42→40	51	198/289/279	80	256	5	6	23%	9%	65	-1.2	200/272/290	90	244	8	4	20%	8%	61	-1.5	189/258/268	79	226	7	1	19%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Travis Harrison 2017 · AA	24	44→50	38→40	42→45	46	207/286/293	86	290	5	9	28%	8%	68	-1.0	189/274/282	93	286	6	9	33%	8%	61	-1.5	139/245/223	84	222	4	5	35%	9%	36	-1.8
✕Jhon Nuñez 2019 · AA	24	48	38→40	46→50	42	228/277/306	78	295	5	10	24%	5%	65	-1.2	227/278/327	100	286	9	10	23%	5%	72	-0.7	238/279/337	100	287	11	10	21%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Louis Ott 2009 · AA	24	48	37→30	42→45	47	224/293/293	68	313	4	6	28%	8%	69	-0.9	229/303/303	74	328	5	8	29%	9%	75	-0.5	239/324/289	50	345	4	7	28%	11%	78	-0.1
✕Danny Serretti 2024 · AA	24	48	41→45	43→45	50	229/305/332	102	299	8	7	25%	9%	82	+0.0	203/281/305	102	282	10	8	29%	9%	68	-1.0	195/284/308	113	267	12	9	30%	10%	68	-0.6
✕Micah Gibbs 2012 · A	24	45	37→30	43→45	49	212/286/284	72	286	4	4	26%	9%	65	-1.2	190/271/267	77	289	6	6	33%	9%	56	-1.9	174/237/256	82	244	6	4	29%	7%	38	-0.7
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2008 · AAA	24	45	40	44→45	47	216/278/304	88	268	8	7	22%	7%	66	-1.1	233/306/342	109	293	11	6	23%	8%	86	+0.3	238/312/336	99	295	9	4	21%	8%	84	+0.1

J.R. Freethy

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps