Travis Adams

P Minnesota Twins

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 197 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX2 levels	26	22	127	3.90	3.40	22.6%	6.7%	—	K 18.4% · BB 7.1% · FIP 4.23
2025	25	MIX2 levels	41	7	102	5.10	3.81	21.2%	8.9%	0.9	K 19.2% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.81
2026	26	MIX3 levels	48	0	68	4.90	3.84	24.9%	10.4%	0.6	K 25.1% · BB 10.1% · FIP 4.03
2027PROJ	27	MLBMIN	73	0	77	4.72	4.60	22.5%	10.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ95% MLB	28	MLBMIN	68	0	71	4.67	4.66	22.5%	10.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ95% MLB	29	MLBMIN	65	0	68	4.73	4.79	22.0%	10.5%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%66

Whiff%64

FB Velo48

xwOBA vs48

CompsRoberto Gómez (age 27) · Taylor Grover (age 26) · J.P. France (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.72

FIP4.60

K%22.5%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP77

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p6427.5%

p6625.1%

xwOBA vs

p480.314

SI (11%)

CU (4%)

FB-1.4 (41%)

CH-2.1 (17%)

CT-2.2 (19%)

SL-3.0 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	1	1	1	8	3	2	0	100%	1.3	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	20.25	3.10	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	1	1	1	8	3	2	0	100%	1.3	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	20.25	3.10	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	101	412	108	26	8	100%	4.6	19.7%	7.4%	12.3%	2.5%	3.93	3.77	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	101	412	108	26	8	100%	4.6	26.2%	6.3%	19.9%	1.9%	3.93	2.76	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	26	25	110	479	97	43	16	96%	4.2	16.4%	9.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.66	4.75	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	26	25	110	479	97	43	16	96%	4.2	20.3%	9.0%	11.3%	3.3%	5.66	4.40	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.3%	3.90	4.23	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.3%	3.90	4.23	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	22.6%	6.7%	15.9%	2.5%	3.90	3.40	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	19.2%	8.4%	10.8%	2.3%	5.10	3.81	+0.9
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	19.2%	8.4%	10.8%	2.3%	5.10	3.81	+0.9
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	21.2%	8.9%	12.2%	2.4%	5.10	3.81	+0.9
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	68	289	72	30	8	0%	1.4	25.1%	10.1%	15.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.03	+0.4
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	68	289	72	30	8	0%	1.4	25.1%	10.1%	15.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.03	+0.4
2026	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	68	289	72	30	8	0%	1.4	24.9%	10.4%	14.5%	2.8%	4.90	3.84	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			58	2	93	405	93	42	14	3%	1.6	23.0%	10.4%	12.6%	3.5%	5.63	4.42	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIN	73	0	77	325	73	34	10	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.3%	12.2%	3.1%	4.72	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	71	0	74	315	71	33	10	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.4%	12.1%	3.2%	4.67	4.66	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	68	0	71	300	66	32	10	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.5%	11.5%	3.3%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	64	0	67	282	60	30	10	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.8%	10.6%	3.5%	4.87	4.97	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	68	0	71	300	67	31	10	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.4%	12.1%	3.2%	4.67	4.66	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	65	0	68	287	63	30	10	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.5%	11.5%	3.3%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	60	0	63	266	57	29	9	0%	1.1	21.3%	10.8%	10.6%	3.5%	4.87	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		250	2	294	1257	280	132	43	1%	1.2	22.3%	10.5%	11.8%	3.4%	5.03	4.40	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		170	1	200	854	190	90	29	1%	1.2	22.3%	10.5%	11.8%	3.4%	5.03	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		164	77	509	2160	417	184	63	47%	3.1	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.14	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	30	200	849	164	72	25	47%	3.1	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	2.9%	4.70	4.14	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Travis Adams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	22.5%	10.3%	3.1%	—	4.80	22.0%	11.4%	212	+0.20	—	—	—
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	72
J.P. France R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	27	SW	4.44	24.9%	10.9%	3.8%	.301	4.47	18.6%	9.0%	205	+0.03	4.04	577	72
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	72
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	71
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	71
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	70
TJ Shook R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	26	SW	4.15	23.7%	8.7%	3.5%	.317	3.92	20.0%	11.1%	107	-0.23	3.35	452	70
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	70
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	70
Ben Lively R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	27	SW	4.99	20.8%	9.5%	4.5%	.312	3.30	20.9%	12.1%	77	-1.69	3.30	1,089	70
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	69
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	69
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	69
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	69
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	68
Wil Jensen R 2024 · 3.48 FIP	26	SW	3.48	22.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	368	68
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	68
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	68
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	64	22.3%	10.5%	1.29	4.96
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Scott Service ('04)	2.1	46	22.2%	9.9%	1.23	5.04
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*