JoJo Blackmon — OGILVIE

JoJo BlackmonOF Down East Wood Ducks

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 183 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 125 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .269 / .327

PA125

HR3

K%34

BB%8

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	67	61	7	0	1	0	6	43	0	8	1	115	194	148	342	33	389	64	9	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	67	55	13	1	2	0	12	29	0	8	1	236	373	327	700	91	500	43	18	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	216	193	26	2	4	5	17	119	3	18	2	135	216	264	480	130	304	55	8	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	216	182	43	4	7	9	28	82	3	18	2	236	347	484	831	247	374	38	13	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	388	349	54	11	3	5	31	198	6	29	14	155	236	246	482	92	336	51	8	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	388	332	68	13	6	8	48	146	6	29	14	205	316	352	668	148	337	38	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	182	164	18	3	0	3	14	101	2	6	2	110	189	183	372	73	242	55	8	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	182	157	25	5	0	4	21	74	2	6	2	159	267	268	534	108	259	41	12	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	TEX	—	125	114	23	4	1	3	9	42	1	3	1	202	266	333	599	132	289	34	7	271	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	159	144	30	6	1	4	12	52	2	3	1	208	278	347	626	139	291	33	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	266	240	51	10	1	7	21	85	3	6	2	212	284	350	634	137	291	32	8	287	77	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	339	305	66	12	2	10	27	106	4	7	2	216	289	367	656	151	291	31	8	290	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	379	341	74	14	2	11	31	118	4	8	2	217	290	367	656	150	291	31	8	291	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.1
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	402	362	78	15	2	11	33	126	4	8	2	215	288	359	647	144	291	31	8	290	80	-9	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	48	43	9	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	209	292	326	617	116	292	33	8	274	68	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	117	106	23	4	1	3	9	37	1	2	1	217	284	358	643	142	293	32	8	280	73	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	172	154	33	6	1	5	14	54	2	4	1	214	288	364	652	149	293	31	8	283	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	199	179	39	7	1	6	16	62	2	4	1	218	289	369	658	151	293	31	8	284	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	214	192	42	8	1	6	18	67	2	4	1	219	292	365	657	146	292	31	8	283	75	-6	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	750	674	146	27	4	21	61	236	8	15	4	217	289	362	651	145	297	31	8	283	74	-22	+1	-0	-4	+21	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	125	23	3	18	53	205	7	13	3	214	287	356	643	142	294	32	8	283	74	-19	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2523	2273	427	77	17	59	201	990	29	96	29	188	262	315	577	127	298	39	8	259	56	-125	+8	-1	-15	+71	-6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	110	20	4	15	52	255	7	25	7	188	262	312	574	125	298	39	8	259	56	-32	+2	-0	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	67	55	13	1	2	0	12	29	0	8	1	236	373	327	700	91	500	43	18	327	109	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	57	50	8	0	3	1	6	22	0	2	1	160	250	340	590	180	259	39	11	258	56	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	159	132	35	4	4	8	22	60	3	16	1	265	382	538	920	273	422	38	14	396	161	+11	+3	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	388	332	68	13	6	8	48	146	6	29	14	205	316	352	668	148	337	38	12	304	91	-4	+0	—	—	+11	0.7
2024	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	164	145	24	4	0	4	16	71	1	6	2	166	253	276	529	110	278	43	10	243	44	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2024	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	18	12	1	1	0	0	5	3	1	0	0	83	389	167	556	83	111	17	28	306	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	875	24	18	213	282	356	-5	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	18	14	213	282	356	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JoJo Blackmon (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	200/269/327	127	289	3	3	34%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	40→44	50→55	47→50	42	208/268/362	154	281	18	6	32%	7%	73	-0.1	208/259/379	171	298	22	10	37%	6%	74	-0.1	207/274/387	180	263	25	4	31%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41→43	44→45	49→50	42	201/278/321	120	303	12	13	36%	8%	67	-0.5	221/291/358	137	320	14	11	33%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/378	157	308	17	10	32%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	44	45→50	46→45	46	211/291/336	125	311	13	8	34%	10%	76	+0.0	208/290/368	160	334	19	4	40%	10%	85	+0.7	205/290/360	154	326	18	2	39%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	39→47	48→55	46→45	42	204/268/342	138	279	16	8	32%	7%	68	-0.5	229/285/383	154	301	15	6	28%	7%	85	+0.7	232/301/393	160	284	18	4	24%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→43	50→55	55→50	42	210/278/365	154	290	17	11	32%	7%	78	+0.2	216/261/364	148	282	14	11	28%	5%	70	-0.3	214/254/362	148	274	14	10	27%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A	23	43→48	43→50	52→50	37	212/260/321	109	311	12	12	34%	6%	59	-1.1	229/279/333	104	309	10	6	28%	6%	69	-0.4	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	39→45	44→55	50	38	194/257/317	122	286	11	7	35%	6%	56	-1.3	217/265/358	141	299	16	9	32%	5%	70	-0.3	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Moncrief 2012 · A	23	41→49	43→55	51→50	42	192/268/306	114	317	9	12	39%	9%	59	-1.1	213/267/365	152	312	16	12	35%	7%	73	-0.1	230/284/374	144	289	16	11	25%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→41	46→45	49→45	40	205/262/334	128	285	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/327	124	293	11	6	32%	8%	65	-0.7	197/265/318	122	281	10	4	32%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Chad Castillo 2023 · A	23	45	46→50	49→45	38	216/275/349	133	334	13	6	37%	7%	72	-0.2	216/286/348	132	314	15	7	34%	6%	78	+0.2	210/287/348	138	282	19	5	31%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jaycob Brugman 2015 · A	23	43→49	48→50	47→45	41	219/274/362	143	300	15	7	32%	7%	75	-0.0	226/278/337	111	298	10	7	26%	7%	69	-0.4	236/290/349	113	311	11	7	27%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	42→45	46→50	44→50	41	215/262/342	127	276	14	7	27%	6%	65	-0.7	217/260/340	123	296	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A	23	38→42	45→60	48→50	40	190/253/309	119	285	12	5	36%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/401	190	298	24	9	35%	10%	95	+1.4	208/305/416	207	281	28	10	34%	11%	100	+1.5
✕Cody Thomas 2018 · A	23	35→45	50→60	44→45	33	187/239/332	145	292	19	6	42%	5%	53	-1.5	193/244/343	150	301	19	5	41%	5%	58	-1.2	213/263/419	207	278	27	4	34%	5%	82	+0.4