Gavin Adams

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	13	6	16	2.30	5.01	25.6%	29.3%	—	K 17.7% · BB 37.3% · FIP 6.34
2026	23	APIT	34	0	33	9.18	7.45	18.4%	34.7%	—	K 13.6% · BB 40.9% · FIP 7.50
2027PROJ	24	MLBPIT	15	0	16	6.04	6.04	17.4%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPIT	12	0	13	5.67	5.53	18.9%	16.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChristian Ruebeck (age 23) · Jack Hartman (age 24) · Yordy Cabrera (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.04

FIP6.04

K%17.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.6%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	16	82	21	24	0	46%	1.2	17.7%	37.3%	-19.7%	0.0%	2.30	6.34	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	16	82	21	24	0	46%	1.2	17.7%	37.3%	-19.7%	0.0%	2.30	6.34	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	6	16	82	21	24	0	46%	1.2	25.6%	29.3%	-3.7%	0.0%	2.30	5.01	—
2026	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	34	0	33	196	36	68	1	0%	1.0	13.6%	40.9%	-27.3%	0.7%	9.18	7.50	—
2026	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	34	0	33	196	36	68	1	0%	1.0	13.6%	40.9%	-27.3%	0.7%	9.18	7.50	—
2026	23	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	34	0	33	196	36	68	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	34.7%	-16.3%	0.5%	9.18	7.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PIT	15	0	16	68	12	14	2	0%	1.1	17.4%	20.0%	-2.6%	2.7%	6.04	6.04	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	29	0	30	128	24	22	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	16.9%	2.0%	2.7%	5.67	5.53	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	12	0	13	55	10	9	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	16.9%	2.0%	2.7%	5.67	5.53	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	10	9	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	16.9%	2.0%	2.7%	5.67	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	139	31	0%	1.1	18.9%	16.9%	2.0%	2.7%	5.67	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		47	6	49	278	41	111	1	13%	1.0	14.8%	39.9%	-25.1%	0.5%	6.98	7.16	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		192	24	200	1135	168	452	5	13%	1.0	14.8%	39.9%	-25.1%	0.5%	6.98	7.16	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gavin Adams (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.04	17.4%	20.0%	2.7%	—	5.53	18.9%	2.0%	30	-0.51	—	—	—
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	87
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	87
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	85
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	85
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	84
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	84
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	84
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	83
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	82
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	82
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	82
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	82
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	82
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	81
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	81
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81