Carter Mathison — OGILVIE

Carter MathisonOF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 L/L 6'1" / 215 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 146 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.145 / .233 / .253

PA146

HR3

SB7

K%39

BB%8

BABIP223

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	44	31	5	1	0	0	9	16	4	6	0	161	409	194	603	32	333	36	20	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	44	29	6	1	0	0	11	11	4	6	0	207	477	241	719	34	333	25	25	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	285	245	36	8	1	5	27	125	9	11	1	147	256	249	505	102	261	44	9	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	285	236	47	9	1	7	35	99	9	11	1	199	324	335	659	136	299	35	12	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	220	195	25	3	1	6	16	108	4	19	1	128	209	246	455	118	232	49	7	201	12	-22	+3	+0	-1	+6	-1.4
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	220	187	34	4	1	9	24	81	4	19	1	182	288	358	647	176	255	37	11	288	78	-5	+3	+0	-1	+6	0.3
ROS	23	A+	PHI	0%	146	130	19	3	1	3	12	57	3	7	1	145	233	253	486	107	226	39	8	226	31	-11	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						228	0	0	214	22	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	PHI	—	221	196	25	3	1	6	16	108	4	19	1	128	208	245	453	117	229	49	7	201	12	-22	+3	+0	-1	+6	-1.4
TOT	23	A+	PHI	—	366	325	44	6	2	9	28	165	7	26	2	135	219	249	468	114	228	45	8	211	20	-33	+4	+0	-2	+10	-2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	356	317	50	9	1	8	30	132	6	12	1	158	244	268	512	110	236	37	8	239	41	-24	+2	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	108	96	16	3	0	3	9	40	2	4	0	167	252	292	544	125	238	37	8	228	33	-8	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	109	97	16	3	0	3	9	40	2	4	0	165	250	289	539	124	236	37	8	228	33	-8	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	96	18	0	18	54	239	12	24	0	166	252	291	542	125	239	37	8	228	33	-49	+5	+0	-4	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	831	723	110	21	3	16	78	330	22	36	3	152	255	256	511	104	244	40	9	237	40	-57	+6	+0	-5	+24	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	86	16	2	13	61	258	17	28	2	152	255	256	511	104	243	40	9	237	40	-44	+5	+0	-4	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	44	29	6	1	0	0	11	11	4	6	0	207	477	241	719	34	333	25	25	373	144	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	269	225	45	8	1	7	32	94	7	9	1	200	317	338	655	138	297	35	12	298	86	-4	+1	—	—	+8	0.5
2025	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	16	11	2	1	0	0	3	5	2	2	0	182	438	273	710	91	333	31	19	360	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Mathison (OGILVIE)	23	20	35	50	45	135/219/249	114	228	9	26	45%	8%	20	-2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	40→39	39→40	50	43	195/250/284	89	269	6	12	29%	7%	44	-2.1	192/253/298	106	269	10	15	30%	7%	50	-1.8	173/239/278	105	242	10	19	32%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	38→39	43→40	56→50	41	190/253/302	112	258	10	16	30%	6%	51	-1.7	197/258/287	90	287	6	16	32%	6%	49	-1.8	184/247/255	71	278	4	19	33%	6%	34	-1.9
✕Evan Chambers 2012 · A	23	36→37	42→40	47→50	47	183/270/286	104	259	10	17	32%	9%	56	-1.3	179/260/257	78	296	6	13	38%	9%	43	-2.2	138/227/178	40	255	2	14	42%	10%	9	-2.6
✕Jordan Pearce 2019 · A	23	38→34	39→40	46→40	47	189/260/270	81	253	8	3	28%	9%	46	-2.0	194/278/278	84	265	7	5	27%	9%	56	-1.3	170/274/238	68	231	6	3	26%	10%	43	-1.4
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Ethan Wilson 2023 · AA	23	38	41→45	50	38	194/232/291	97	253	9	16	28%	4%	38	-2.6	196/240/315	119	260	13	13	29%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/311	125	242	15	12	30%	5%	42	-1.6
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	36	41→45	53→50	44	181/245/281	100	235	8	18	26%	7%	42	-2.3	206/271/305	99	295	7	14	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/281/311	97	327	6	13	34%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→27	46→45	44→40	42	182/255/308	126	257	13	5	34%	8%	54	-1.4	201/255/310	109	278	11	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	164/184/226	62	212	7	4	27%	2%	-5	-0.9
✕Stefan Sabol 2015 · A	23	33→40	45	50	42	174/243/297	123	259	12	12	36%	8%	46	-2.0	194/263/293	99	307	9	9	37%	8%	53	-1.5	188/261/274	87	300	8	7	37%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	48→30	37	181/242/296	115	280	12	3	38%	6%	45	-2.1	192/250/291	99	312	9	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	162/220/236	74	276	5	0	41%	6%	20	-1.6
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	49→50	39	170/253/281	111	303	12	11	45%	9%	46	-2.0	165/237/285	120	313	13	13	48%	7%	40	-2.4	131/202/256	125	245	14	14	50%	7%	16	-1.5
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	43	180/256/253	73	280	6	7	36%	8%	40	-2.4	177/250/265	88	356	8	6	48%	8%	41	-2.3	123/208/196	72	272	8	1	53%	9%	4	-2.4
✕Chris Ellison 2012 · A	23	40→42	41→40	47→50	39	196/252/292	97	292	8	12	34%	7%	47	-1.9	201/250/278	77	281	5	7	28%	6%	43	-2.2	199/246/272	73	268	5	6	26%	5%	38	-2.7
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	48	-1.9	200/250/321	121	284	15	3	34%	5%	55	-1.4	189/240/311	122	264	17	0	35%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Shard Munroe 2019 · A	23	42	42→40	50	42	204/266/305	101	287	9	15	31%	7%	57	-1.2	189/259/286	97	296	8	11	36%	8%	49	-1.8	132/219/218	86	212	8	9	39%	10%	16	-1.5
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	37→38	43→45	48→50	37	190/241/302	112	274	11	10	34%	6%	46	-2.0	195/252/322	127	288	15	8	36%	6%	56	-1.3	171/232/305	134	240	19	7	37%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	37→38	37→40	49→45	40	178/241/247	70	276	4	6	35%	7%	31	-3.0	199/256/283	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	46	-2.0	206/267/289	83	328	0	0	34%	8%	49	-0.4