Carter MathisonOF
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 23
L/L
6'1" / 215 lbs
A+
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†38
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .269 / .309
PA275
HR6
SB7
K%35
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
35→35
SPD
50→50
EYE
53↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.5M | $-19M | -$18M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 44 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .161 | .409 | .194 | .603 | .032 | .333 | 36 | 20 | .297 | 85 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 285 | 245 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 1 | .143 | .253 | .241 | .493 | .098 | .268 | 46 | 9 | .225 | 30 | -22 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 41 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .083 | .154 | .111 | .265 | .028 | .188 | 51 | 5 | .124 | -47 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 234 | 210 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .181 | .259 | .295 | .554 | .114 | .274 | 36 | 8 | .254 | 52 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | 275 | 246 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 106 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .167 | .244 | .268 | .512 | .102 | .263 | 39 | 7 | .234 | 38 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | PHI | 315 | 281 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 96 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .189 | .269 | .306 | .575 | .117 | .260 | 30 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | PHI | 377 | 335 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 112 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .197 | .281 | .325 | .606 | .128 | .264 | 30 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | PHI | 417 | 370 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 122 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .200 | .285 | .330 | .615 | .130 | .266 | 29 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | PHI | 435 | 386 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 127 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .205 | .289 | .339 | .629 | .135 | .267 | 29 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | PHI | 443 | 393 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 130 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .201 | .286 | .333 | .620 | .132 | .266 | 29 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +13 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PHI | 440 | 390 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 131 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .200 | .286 | .331 | .617 | .131 | .265 | 30 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -15 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | PHI | 435 | 386 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 131 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .197 | .282 | .321 | .604 | .124 | .263 | 30 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -16 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 424 | 376 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 129 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .197 | .283 | .324 | .607 | .128 | .262 | 30 | 9 | .271 | 65 | -17 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 407 | 361 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 126 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .191 | .277 | .313 | .590 | .122 | .260 | 31 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -18 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 379 | 336 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 120 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .185 | .271 | .295 | .566 | .110 | .258 | 32 | 9 | .261 | 58 | -18 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 335 | 297 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 109 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .178 | .265 | .279 | .545 | .101 | .256 | 33 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -18 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4970 | 4397 | 841 | 157 | 21 | 112 | 447 | 1566 | 87 | 98 | 8 | .191 | .279 | .313 | .592 | .122 | .265 | 32 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -202 | +16 | -20 | -30 | +141 | -9.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 58 | 205 | 11 | 13 | 1 | .193 | .280 | .318 | .598 | .125 | .267 | 32 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -26 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 44 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .207 | .477 | .241 | .719 | .034 | .333 | 25 | 25 | .373 | 144 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 269 | 225 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 94 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .200 | .317 | .338 | .655 | .138 | .297 | 35 | 12 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .182 | .438 | .273 | .710 | .091 | .333 | 31 | 19 | .360 | 133 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carter Mathison (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20 | 35 | 50 | 45 | .190/.269/.309 | .119 | .281 | 6 | 5 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A |
23 | 39→34 | 44→45 | 50 | 45 | .197/.277/.309 | .111 | .273 | 12 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.266/.304 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.255/.299 | .117 | .273 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A |
23 | 39→41 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .192/.266/.307 | .115 | .289 | 11 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.286/.346 | .132 | .318 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .211/.286/.358 | .146 | .306 | 16 | 10 | 34% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 41→45 | 44→55 | 45 | .195/.271/.299 | .104 | .290 | 8 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.292/.304 | .112 | .255 | 10 | 14 | 26% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2013 · A |
23 | 39→37 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .187/.275/.304 | .117 | .294 | 11 | 10 | 37% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .180/.248/.290 | .110 | .299 | 11 | 10 | 41% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .166/.220/.264 | .098 | .274 | 10 | 10 | 42% | 6% | 25 | -2.2 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA |
23 | 42→33 | 45 | 47→50 | 40 | .210/.267/.331 | .122 | .301 | 13 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .196/.266/.316 | .120 | .294 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.254/.285 | .112 | .260 | 13 | 11 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A |
24 | 40→29 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .197/.258/.305 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .182/.252/.277 | .095 | .281 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A |
22 | 42→36 | 45→40 | 50 | 37 | .208/.258/.335 | .128 | .307 | 13 | 8 | 36% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .194/.243/.284 | .090 | .315 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .191/.241/.271 | .080 | .310 | 6 | 8 | 38% | 5% | 33 | -1.9 |
|
✕River Town 2023 · A |
24 | 41→38 | 45→40 | 55→50 | 46 | .206/.287/.332 | .126 | .261 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.304/.312 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.313/.285 | .071 | .263 | 6 | 15 | 19% | 10% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA |
23 | 40→43 | 42→50 | 50 | 42 | .194/.271/.297 | .103 | .298 | 9 | 12 | 36% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.279/.332 | .130 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .195/.272/.328 | .134 | .276 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A |
23 | 40→38 | 45 | 45 | 45 | .201/.269/.324 | .123 | .263 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .200/.265/.317 | .117 | .276 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .155/.226/.209 | .054 | .221 | 4 | 5 | 30% | 8% | 14 | -0.9 |
|
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A |
22 | 38 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 39 | .187/.254/.288 | .101 | .287 | 10 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .193/.256/.289 | .096 | .301 | 8 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .160/.230/.252 | .091 | .253 | 7 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 25 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A |
23 | 44→33 | 40→50 | 50→55 | 42 | .208/.269/.298 | .090 | .302 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.265/.310 | .110 | .283 | 9 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .175/.253/.291 | .117 | .236 | 10 | 18 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Travis Swaggerty 2021 · A |
23 | 43→45 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 44 | .206/.271/.299 | .093 | .295 | 8 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .214/.279/.329 | .115 | .301 | 10 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.277/.321 | .112 | .309 | 8 | 20 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Yeicok Calderon 2014 · A |
22 | 35 | 46→45 | 45 | 33 | .180/.227/.303 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .206/.250/.323 | .117 | .324 | 12 | 6 | 38% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .210/.245/.331 | .121 | .324 | 12 | 5 | 38% | 4% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A |
23 | 38→29 | 44→45 | 53→50 | 35 | .192/.244/.301 | .109 | .296 | 13 | 13 | 39% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.238/.303 | .108 | .274 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .188/.229/.295 | .108 | .250 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 37 | -1.5 |
|
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 38 | .174/.253/.288 | .114 | .306 | 12 | 10 | 44% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .167/.238/.288 | .121 | .312 | 13 | 12 | 47% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .136/.206/.264 | .128 | .253 | 14 | 14 | 49% | 7% | 19 | -1.4 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A |
24 | 43→37 | 41→45 | 48→45 | 46 | .204/.283/.298 | .095 | .292 | 8 | 12 | 31% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.278/.334 | .127 | .272 | 13 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.270/.324 | .128 | .250 | 14 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A |
24 | 40→38 | 42→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .195/.256/.302 | .107 | .293 | 9 | 11 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.248/.308 | .123 | .276 | 12 | 13 | 36% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |