Carter Mathison
OF Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | APHI | 44 | .207/.477/.241 | 0 | 6 | 82 | — | .156/.386/.188 |
| 2025 | 22 | A/ROKPHI | 285 | .199/.324/.335 | 7 | 11 | 35 | — | .150/.253/.247 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+PHI | 293 | .161/.278/.331 | 12 | 26 | 15 | — | .115/.194/.237 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBPHI | 1 | .170/.246/.294 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 53 | .175/.251/.302 | 1 | 2 | 54 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 477 | 241 | 719 | 34 | 333 | 25 | 25 | 373 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 269 | 225 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 94 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 200 | 317 | 338 | 655 | 138 | 297 | 35 | 12 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 438 | 273 | 710 | 91 | 333 | 31 | 19 | 360 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 248 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 110 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 161 | 278 | 331 | 608 | 169 | 220 | 38 | 12 | 275 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 156 | 386 | 188 | 574 | 31 | 299 | 34 | 18 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 269 | 235 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 120 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 149 | 245 | 247 | 492 | 98 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 375 | 250 | 625 | 83 | 248 | 44 | 12 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 262 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 144 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 115 | 194 | 237 | 431 | 122 | 177 | 49 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 156 | 386 | 188 | 574 | 31 | 294 | 34 | 18 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 477 | 241 | 719 | 34 | 333 | 25 | 25 | 373 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 247 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 127 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 146 | 249 | 243 | 492 | 97 | 261 | 45 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 99 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 199 | 324 | 335 | 659 | 136 | 299 | 35 | 12 | 301 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 262 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 144 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 115 | 194 | 237 | 431 | 122 | 191 | 49 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 248 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 110 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 161 | 278 | 331 | 608 | 169 | 220 | 38 | 12 | 275 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 156 | 386 | 188 | 574 | 31 | 299 | 34 | 18 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 249 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 127 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 145 | 249 | 241 | 490 | 96 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 265 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 144 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 113 | 194 | 234 | 428 | 121 | 177 | 49 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 44 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 156 | 386 | 188 | 574 | 31 | 299 | 34 | 18 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 249 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 127 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 145 | 249 | 241 | 490 | 96 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 293 | 265 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 144 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 113 | 194 | 234 | 428 | 121 | 177 | 49 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 343 | 309 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 122 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 168 | 245 | 287 | 532 | 119 | 241 | 36 | 8 | 243 | 50 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | PHI | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 246 | 294 | 540 | 124 | 242 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 50 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 174 | 156 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 173 | 249 | 295 | 544 | 122 | 244 | 35 | 7 | 248 | 54 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 53 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 251 | 302 | 553 | 127 | 245 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 53 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 146 | 226 | 229 | 456 | 83 | 207 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 37 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 85 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 221 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 144 | 225 | 226 | 450 | 81 | 205 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 37 | -36 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 946 | 833 | 122 | 20 | 4 | 22 | 77 | 400 | 24 | 52 | 4 | 146 | 239 | 259 | 498 | 113 | 239 | 42 | 8 | 223 | 37 | -18 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 275 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 147 | 238 | 260 | 499 | 114 | 240 | 42 | 8 | 223 | 37 | -37 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 293 PAwOBA .269 → .191 (−78)K% 37.5% → 49.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 49.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 13.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 7.64% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .269 → .191; ISO .169 → .131; BABIP .220 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 269 PAwOBA .295 → .219 (−76)K% 34.9% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.94% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | — | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | — | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | — | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .295 → .219; ISO .138 → .098; BABIP .297 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 16 PAwOBA .352 → .236 (−116)K% 31.2% → 45.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.928 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 12.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 12.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 8.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 13.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 11.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .352 → .236; ISO .091 → .057; BABIP .333 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 44 PAwOBA .366 → .289 (−77)K% 25.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 18.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 9.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 7.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 24.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .366 → .289; ISO .034 → .030; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).