Ryan Schiefer — OGILVIE

Ryan Schiefer P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%22.2%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	23	120	26	21	1	5%	1.2	18.5%	17.0%	1.5%	2.1%	5.79	4.86	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	23	120	26	21	1	5%	1.2	18.5%	17.0%	1.5%	2.1%	5.79	4.86	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	1	23	120	26	21	1	5%	1.2	21.7%	17.5%	4.2%	0.8%	5.79	4.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	40	1	53	240	62	36	5	2%	1.3	19.1%	17.7%	1.4%	2.7%	4.75	5.21	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	40	1	53	240	62	36	5	2%	1.3	19.1%	17.7%	1.4%	2.7%	4.75	5.21	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	CWS	40	1	53	240	62	36	5	2%	1.3	25.8%	15.0%	10.8%	2.1%	4.75	3.96	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	51	0	54	227	52	28	7	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.4%	10.7%	2.9%	4.81	4.72	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	52	0	55	233	55	26	7	0%	1.1	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	2.9%	4.62	4.51	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	53	0	56	236	56	25	7	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.48	4.38	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CWS	53	0	56	236	57	25	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	10.5%	13.7%	2.9%	4.41	4.36	+0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	CWS	52	0	55	232	56	25	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	3.0%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CWS	25	0	26	110	25	14	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.4%	10.7%	2.9%	4.81	4.72	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	36	0	38	160	38	18	5	0%	1.1	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	2.9%	4.62	4.51	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	43	0	45	190	46	20	6	0%	1.0	24.0%	10.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.48	4.38	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CWS	47	0	49	207	50	22	6	0%	1.0	24.2%	10.5%	13.7%	2.9%	4.41	4.36	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CWS	48	0	50	211	51	22	6	0%	1.0	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	3.0%	4.40	4.40	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		199	0	209	881	210	96	26	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.51	4.07	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	92	25	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.51	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		59	2	76	360	68	63	9	3%	1.3	18.9%	17.5%	1.4%	2.5%	5.07	5.10	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	5	200	943	178	165	24	3%	1.3	18.9%	17.5%	1.4%	2.5%	5.07	5.10	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Schiefer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	22.2%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.53	23.6%	12.2%	165	-0.50	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	92
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	88
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	88
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	86
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	86
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	85
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	85
David Ellingson R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	23	SU	4.15	20.5%	14.6%	1.7%	.362	3.52	18.0%	10.2%	105	-0.63	3.43	150	85
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	84
Carlos A. Francisco R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	22	SU	5.38	21.6%	14.3%	4.2%	.250	4.23	20.2%	6.4%	162	-1.15	2.45	211	84
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	84
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	84
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	48	23.7%	11.1%	1.13	4.56
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99