Danny Wilkinson — OGILVIE

Danny Wilkinson P Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 206 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%25.4%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	34	0	57	253	106	43	3	0%	1.7	31.0%	20.1%	10.9%	1.5%	4.45	3.87	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	34	0	57	253	106	43	3	0%	1.7	31.0%	20.1%	10.9%	1.5%	4.45	3.87	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	34	0	57	253	106	43	3	0%	1.7	41.9%	17.0%	24.9%	1.2%	4.45	2.32	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	25.8%	21.6%	4.2%	0.9%	4.83	4.15	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	25.8%	21.6%	4.2%	0.9%	4.83	4.15	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	33.6%	18.8%	14.8%	0.7%	4.83	3.01	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	24.7%	18.5%	6.2%	2.4%	1.76	4.65	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	24.7%	18.5%	6.2%	2.4%	1.76	4.65	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	36.9%	13.8%	23.1%	1.5%	1.76	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	PHI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.4%	17.8%	7.6%	2.8%	5.15	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	27	0	28	120	31	20	3	0%	1.1	25.4%	16.9%	8.5%	2.8%	5.05	5.04	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	11	0	12	51	13	9	1	0%	1.1	25.4%	16.9%	8.5%	2.8%	5.05	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	13	9	1	0%	1.0	25.4%	16.9%	8.5%	2.8%	5.05	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	213	148	16	0%	1.1	25.4%	16.9%	8.5%	2.8%	5.05	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		76	0	104	467	133	95	7	0%	1.4	28.5%	20.3%	8.1%	1.5%	4.17	4.07	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	901	257	183	13	0%	1.4	28.5%	20.3%	8.1%	1.5%	4.17	4.07	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Wilkinson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	25.4%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.04	25.4%	8.5%	28	-0.11	—	—	—
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	81
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	80
Erik Sabrowski L 2023 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	24.7%	21.5%	1.4%	.267	3.11	32.6%	17.3%	109	-1.42	2.57	160	80
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	80
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	79
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	77
Zach Warren L 2021 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	29.4%	18.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.2%	-8.3%	23	+1.03	2.84	184	77
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	76
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	76
Caleb Wurster L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	25.0%	16.1%	2.1%	.241	10.33	13.9%	-5.0%	11	+6.17	3.42	100	76
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	76
Rex Brothers L 2015 · 4.05 FIP	27	SU	4.05	27.2%	23.5%	0.5%	.286	4.05	26.4%	9.1%	64	+0.00	3.10	205	75