Danny Wilkinson
P
Clearwater Threshers
+0.1
WAR
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 206 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.1%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%12.3%
IP19
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 34 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 106 | 43 | 3 | 31.0% | 20.1% | 1.5% | 4.45 | 3.87 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 30 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 50 | 28 | 1 | 25.8% | 21.6% | 0.9% | 4.83 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 12 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 24.7% | 18.5% | 2.3% | 1.76 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 24.2% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 0 | 104 | 467 | 133 | 95 | 7 | 28.5% | 20.3% | 1.5% | 4.17 | 4.07 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 0 | 200 | 901 | 257 | 183 | 14 | 28.5% | 20.3% | 1.5% | 4.17 | 4.07 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Wilkinson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.45 | 24.2% | 12.8% | 20 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.47 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 4.16 | 19.5% | 9.2% | 53 | -0.31 | 4.16 | 101 | 87 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.49 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 3.65 | 27.7% | 17.1% | 129 | +0.16 | 3.47 | 160 | 86 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.63 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.62 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.99 | 3.63 | 206 | 86 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.3% | .382 | 3.83 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.22 | 2.44 | 171 | 84 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .341 | 8.17 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.12 | 3.97 | 158 | 83 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 83 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 28.0% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .303 | 4.47 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 113 | +0.77 | 3.70 | 229 | 82 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.18 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.62 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.31 | 1.66 | 186 | 81 |
| Miguel Aguilar L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.40 | 22.9% | 12.2% | 1.3% | .273 | 3.59 | 22.5% | 14.4% | 87 | +0.19 | 2.19 | 261 | 81 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.63 | 25.2% | 14.7% | 1.5% | .381 | 4.34 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 109 | +0.71 | 3.04 | 194 | 80 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .338 | 3.49 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.22 | 1.78 | 560 | 80 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.54 | 25.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .284 | 5.08 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 42 | +0.54 | 3.43 | 152 | 80 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.09 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.75 | 3.09 | 145 | 80 |
| Jake Miednik L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 23.7% | 11.7% | 4.3% | .308 | 6.03 | 10.5% | -4.1% | 32 | +1.10 | 1.55 | 126 | 80 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 80 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 80 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 79 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.16 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 25 | +0.17 | 3.29 | 128 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.