Gabe Craig

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 209 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #434

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	APHI	3	3	0.00	0.77	50.0%	10.0%	—	K 50.0% · BB 10.0% · FIP 0.14
2026	25	MIX2 levels	38	42	4.93	2.98	28.9%	13.9%	—	K 21.7% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	26	MLBPHI	57	60	4.94	4.94	24.6%	15.8%	-0.3
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBPHI	20	21	4.90	4.91	24.5%	15.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBPHI	31	33	4.91	4.95	24.3%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff70Control52Command40FB velo52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEsmerling Vasquez (age 26) · Dennis Sarfate (age 27) · Mitchell Stumpo (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%24.6%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6070

CTRL—50

CMD3040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.14	—
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.14	—
2025	24	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.77	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	194	56	27	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.3%	4.93	4.04	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	194	56	27	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.3%	4.93	4.04	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	42	194	56	27	2	0%	1.1	28.9%	13.9%	14.9%	1.0%	4.93	2.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PHI	57	0	60	253	62	40	7	0%	1.1	24.6%	15.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	56	0	59	247	61	38	7	0%	1.0	24.5%	15.2%	9.3%	2.9%	4.90	4.91	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54	0	57	240	58	36	7	0%	1.1	24.3%	14.9%	9.4%	3.0%	4.91	4.95	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	22	13	3	0%	1.1	24.5%	15.2%	9.3%	2.9%	4.90	4.91	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PHI	31	0	33	139	34	21	4	0%	1.1	24.3%	14.9%	9.4%	3.0%	4.91	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	231	56	35	7	0%	1.1	24.4%	15.0%	9.3%	2.9%	4.91	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	205	128	26	0%	1.1	24.4%	15.0%	9.3%	2.9%	4.91	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		41	0	45	204	47	32	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	1.2%	4.60	3.85	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		182	0	200	907	209	144	11	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	1.2%	4.60	3.85	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Craig (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	24.6%	15.8%	2.8%	—	4.93	24.4%	9.3%	115	-0.01	—	—	—
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	90
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	88
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	86
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	86
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	85
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Eduard Santos R 2016 · 3.86 FIP	26	SU	3.86	22.2%	14.4%	1.5%	.248	2.04	31.1%	18.7%	16	-1.82	2.04	138	84
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	84
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	84
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	84
Eduardo Herrera R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.5%	15.7%	2.2%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.31	4.13	127	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	83
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	83
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	83
Stevie Branche R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	25.6%	19.1%	1.2%	.274	5.67	19.3%	1.7%	28	+1.63	3.23	162	81
Zac Leigh R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	21.8%	15.4%	1.8%	.367	4.74	19.4%	2.7%	87	+0.53	3.70	201	81
Ryan Jensen R 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	26.6%	17.2%	1.6%	.331	4.35	21.9%	5.6%	50	+0.43	3.92	311	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	24.5%	15.3%	1.11	4.92
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*