Ezequiel SurunSS DSL Arizona Black
Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .265 / .283
PA79
HR1
K%30
BB%6
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.50.40.30.2+$16M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL D-backs 2 — 114105 13101 4364 24 124186162348 38174 324 153 -25 — — — — — —
202117 ROKDSL D-backs 2 — 114103 18201 6264 24 175248223471 49221 235 222 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 182163 30400 66010 168 184257209466 25286 333 208 17 — — — — — —
202319 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 182160 44800 94110 168 275352325677 50364 235 310 96 — — — — — —
202420 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 172153 32412 10646 91 209284288572 78333 376 253 52 — — — — — —
202420 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 172148 44622 15456 91 297385405790 108404 269 353 128 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBARI — 7973 14201 5241 20 192253260513 68286 306 252 51 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBARI 34% 114103 23412 8332 20 223292340632 117288 297 265 61 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202824 MLBARI 46% 245222 47814 17704 51 212280311591 99290 297 274 68 -9 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
202925 MLBARI 52% 331300 661127 23945 61 220287340627 120290 287 280 72 -10 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.3
203026 MLBARI 54% 388352 771328 271096 72 219286335621 116291 287 283 75 -11 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.5
203127 MLBARI 54% 418379 831429 301186 82 219287338624 119290 287 283 75 -12 +1 +0 +4 +12 0.5
203228 MLBARI 54% 433392 851529 311237 82 217286334620 117290 287 282 74 -13 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.4
203329 MLBARI 53% 436394 851429 321247 72 216286330616 114289 287 280 73 -13 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.3
203430 MLBARI 52% 433392 841429 321256 71 214284329613 115289 297 278 71 -14 +1 -2 +5 +12 0.2
202723 MLBARI 34% 3935 7101 3111 10 200282314596 114291 288 256 54 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202824 MLBARI 46% 113102 23412 8322 20 225295343638 118292 287 265 61 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202925 MLBARI 52% 171154 35614 12483 31 227296357653 130293 287 271 65 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
203026 MLBARI 54% 210190 42715 15593 41 221288347636 126293 287 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203127 MLBARI 54% 227206 45815 16643 41 218284340624 121293 287 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203228 MLBARI 54% 235212 46815 17674 41 217288335622 118292 297 273 67 -9 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.1
203329 MLBARI 53% 231209 46815 17663 41 220288340628 120292 297 272 66 -9 +0 -1 +2 +7 -0.0
203430 MLBARI 52% 227205 45815 17653 31 220289341630 122291 297 269 64 -9 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 14531313 28950732 10541222 256 220289342631 122293 287 271 66 -56 +3 -2 +16 +41 0.1
/ 162G— — 650587 12822314 4718410 113 218287337625 119291 287 271 66 -25 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.0
Career— — 33453028 6391041561 22598064 7924 211280316595 105288 297 269 64 -135 +6 -4 +36 +95 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650588 12420312 4419012 155 211280316596 105287 297 269 64 -26 +1 -1 +7 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL D-backs 2 — 114103 18201 6264 24 175248223471 49221 235 222 28 -9 -1 — — +3 -0.7
202319 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 182160 44800 94110 168 275352325677 50364 235 310 96 -1 +0 — — +5 0.4
202420 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 172148 44622 15456 91 297385405790 108404 269 353 128 +6 +1 — — +5 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,5333128218282334+16+151.21.3
/1626641312+7.1+6.50.5pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ezequiel Surun (OGILVIE) 22 — — — — 201/265/283 82286 12 30% 6% 51 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna
2022 · A 		22 39→49 38→45 48→50 44 184/272/269 85267 510 31% 8% 52 -1.6 206/276/298 92284 611 28% 6% 60 -1.0 223/293/3229929491626%7%70-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo
2017 · A 		22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
✕Luke Williams
2019 · A 		22 41→46 37→45 50→60 41 199/250/266 67260 515 25% 5% 40 -2.4 204/263/297 93276 719 27% 7% 53 -1.5 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
✕Steven Baron
2013 · A 		22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Zach Green
2016 · A 		22 43→41 41→55 49→40 39 210/252/306 96286 86 29% 5% 50 -1.7 204/259/337 133322 143 39% 5% 63 -0.8 192/267/37217930023142%8%73-0.1
✕Jose Sibrian
2021 · A 		22 43 38→50 49→30 39 204/261/283 79291 56 30% 6% 49 -1.8 200/255/276 76267 53 26% 5% 45 -2.1 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8
✕Blake Hunt
2021 · A 		22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Kyler Fedko
2022 · A 		22 45→42 38→50 51→55 44 210/281/290 80314 510 33% 8% 59 -1.1 205/288/317 112276 1010 27% 10% 70 -0.3 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0
✕Chris Roller
2019 · A 		22 40 41→50 51→55 42 193/268/296 103286 914 34% 8% 56 -1.3 205/269/314 109292 812 30% 6% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
✕Jhonny Santos
2019 · A 		22 42→43 40→50 49→50 41 207/257/300 93280 714 28% 6% 51 -1.7 210/266/344 134281 1513 30% 6% 67 -0.5 192/249/35916623924931%7%62-0.4
✕Corey Joyce
2021 · A 		22 45 40→45 50 40 213/269/309 96308 88 32% 6% 59 -1.1 202/290/319 117298 1212 34% 9% 72 -0.2 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas
2022 · A 		22 41→51 42→45 48→50 38 205/253/308 104278 109 30% 5% 52 -1.6 235/290/335 100323 1112 29% 6% 75 -0.0 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
✕Eduardo Diaz
2019 · A 		22 42→44 41→50 53→50 35 207/249/308 101292 812 31% 4% 50 -1.7 210/254/333 123287 1311 30% 4% 59 -1.1 201/245/332131273141331%4%52-1.2
✕Brandon Barnes
2008 · A 		22 38→48 38→55 46→50 37 184/235/263 80274 57 34% 5% 33 -2.9 199/238/312 113297 116 35% 4% 46 -2.0 236/281/354118320111629%5%73-0.1
✕Lane Adams
2012 · A 		22 43→46 40→50 54→60 39 206/259/299 93302 712 33% 6% 52 -1.6 219/267/333 114294 1119 28% 6% 65 -0.7 228/279/363136311163631%6%74-0.0
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo
2018 · AA 		22 40→41 38→55 45→50 39 194/248/274 81270 611 30% 5% 41 -2.3 205/260/312 107271 117 27% 6% 56 -1.3 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Ramon Mendoza
2023 · A 		22 40→50 37→45 48→45 45 189/266/266 77278 47 31% 8% 47 -1.9 210/282/308 98299 85 30% 8% 65 -0.7 232/306/34711631011327%9%82+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara
2013 · A 		21 42 41→45 50 43 201/271/299 98298 811 33% 8% 58 -1.2 193/263/287 94294 614 34% 8% 51 -1.7 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9