Ezequiel Surun — OGILVIE

Ezequiel SurunSS DSL Arizona Black

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .264 / .283

PA6

HR0

K%30

BB%6

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	114	103	18	2	0	1	6	26	4	2	4	175	248	223	471	49	221	23	5	222	37	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	160	44	8	0	0	9	41	10	16	8	275	352	325	677	50	364	23	5	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	20	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	148	44	6	2	2	15	45	6	9	1	297	385	405	790	108	404	26	9	353	125	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	114	105	13	1	0	1	4	37	4	2	4	124	186	162	348	38	173	32	4	154	-10	-15	-1	—	—	+2	-1.4
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	163	31	5	0	0	6	59	10	16	8	190	263	221	483	31	277	32	3	212	30	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	153	32	4	1	2	10	64	6	9	1	209	284	288	572	78	319	37	6	249	55	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	114	105	13	1	0	1	4	37	4	2	4	124	186	162	348	38	176	32	4	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	—	114	103	18	2	0	1	6	26	4	2	4	175	248	223	471	49	221	23	5	222	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	163	31	5	0	0	6	59	10	16	8	190	263	221	483	31	292	32	3	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	160	44	8	0	0	9	41	10	16	8	275	352	325	677	50	364	23	5	310	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	153	32	4	1	2	10	64	6	9	1	209	284	288	572	78	333	37	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	148	44	6	2	2	15	45	6	9	1	297	385	405	790	108	404	26	9	353	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	114	105	13	1	0	1	4	37	4	2	4	124	186	162	348	38	173	32	4	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	164	31	5	0	0	6	59	10	16	8	189	263	220	482	30	277	32	3	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	154	32	4	1	2	10	64	6	9	1	208	284	286	570	78	319	37	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	182	164	31	5	0	0	6	59	10	16	8	189	263	220	482	30	277	32	3	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	172	154	32	4	1	2	10	64	6	9	1	208	284	286	570	78	319	37	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		287	33	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	114	103	23	4	1	2	8	33	2	2	0	223	292	340	632	117	288	29	7	265	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	46%	245	222	47	8	1	4	17	70	4	5	1	212	280	311	591	99	290	29	7	274	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	331	300	66	11	2	7	23	93	5	6	1	220	287	340	627	120	290	28	7	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	388	352	77	13	2	8	27	109	6	7	2	219	286	335	621	116	290	28	7	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	418	379	83	14	2	9	30	118	6	8	2	219	287	338	624	119	290	28	7	283	77	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	433	392	85	15	2	9	31	122	7	8	2	217	286	334	620	117	290	28	7	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	436	394	85	14	2	9	32	124	7	7	2	216	286	330	616	114	289	28	7	280	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	433	393	84	14	2	9	31	124	6	7	1	214	281	328	610	115	288	29	7	277	74	-13	+1	-2	+5	+9	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	39	35	7	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	200	282	314	596	114	294	28	8	257	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	46%	113	102	23	4	1	2	8	32	2	2	0	225	295	343	638	118	296	28	7	265	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	171	154	34	6	1	3	12	48	3	3	1	221	290	331	621	110	296	28	7	271	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	210	190	42	8	1	4	15	59	3	4	1	221	288	337	625	116	296	28	7	274	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	227	206	46	8	2	5	16	64	3	4	1	223	289	354	643	131	296	28	7	274	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	235	212	47	8	2	5	17	66	4	4	1	222	292	349	641	127	296	28	7	273	77	-6	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	231	209	46	8	1	5	17	66	3	4	1	220	288	340	628	120	295	29	7	272	76	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	227	206	44	8	1	4	16	65	3	3	1	214	280	320	600	107	294	29	7	269	74	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1453	1314	289	51	9	29	104	411	22	25	6	220	288	339	627	119	295	28	7	271	69	-43	+3	-2	+16	+31	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	129	23	4	13	47	184	10	11	3	219	289	338	627	119	294	28	7	271	69	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3272	2962	627	103	15	60	219	955	63	77	24	212	280	317	598	106	288	29	7	270	69	-83	+6	-4	+30	+61	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	124	20	3	12	44	190	13	15	5	211	281	316	597	105	287	29	7	270	69	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,533	31	28	218	282	334	+16	+15	1.5	1.6
/162	664	13	12	+7.1	+6.5	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Surun (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	201/264/283	82	287	1	2	30%	6%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40	50	39	211/267/307	95	311	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/290/309	108	293	11	12	33%	9%	74	-0.6	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Raul Beracierta 2021 · A	22	46	40→50	50	45	218/288/314	95	304	7	8	29%	8%	72	-0.7	218/267/347	129	329	14	6	36%	5%	72	-0.7	216/262/355	138	319	17	3	36%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	47	-2.6	214/268/322	108	306	8	14	31%	6%	66	-1.1	216/270/330	114	301	9	15	30%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	42→52	41→45	48→50	38	208/254/308	100	283	9	9	29%	5%	57	-1.8	235/289/328	93	322	9	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	61	-1.5	186/266/262	76	308	6	22	38%	9%	53	-2.1	145/240/204	59	242	5	33	39%	9%	30	-1.1
✕Eduardo Diaz 2019 · A	22	43→45	41→50	53→50	35	209/250/310	101	293	8	12	31%	4%	57	-1.8	212/257/333	121	287	12	11	30%	4%	65	-1.2	208/252/338	130	279	14	13	30%	4%	62	-1.1
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	51	-2.2	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	50	-2.3	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	37	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps