Miguel Vargas — OGILVIE

Miguel VargasCF FCL Cardinals

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .254 / .264

PA52

HR0

K%35

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	93	87	14	1	0	1	6	36	0	2	0	161	215	207	422	46	260	39	6	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	93	83	19	1	0	1	10	25	0	2	0	229	312	277	589	48	316	27	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	152	139	20	2	1	4	10	62	1	6	2	144	207	259	466	115	213	41	7	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	152	133	28	2	1	7	16	42	1	6	2	211	300	398	698	188	244	28	11	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	99	88	7	2	0	1	11	46	0	2	0	80	182	136	318	57	146	46	11	149	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	99	81	10	3	0	1	18	32	0	2	0	123	283	198	480	74	188	32	18	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	74	66	8	2	1	0	6	33	0	3	1	121	194	182	376	61	229	45	8	165	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	74	62	10	3	1	0	10	24	0	3	1	161	278	242	520	81	250	32	14	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	STL	—	52	48	8	2	0	0	4	18	0	1	0	167	231	208	439	42	286	35	8	240	42	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	STL	34%	107	96	19	4	1	1	9	36	1	1	0	198	274	292	565	94	288	34	8	252	51	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	STL	46%	237	214	43	8	2	4	19	77	2	3	1	201	272	313	585	112	289	32	8	261	58	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	STL	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	176	243	206	449	29	287	32	8	247	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	STL	46%	109	98	21	4	1	2	9	35	1	1	0	214	287	337	624	122	289	32	8	255	54	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	146	132	27	5	1	2	12	47	1	1	0	205	276	303	579	98	298	32	8	253	52	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	120	22	4	9	53	209	4	4	0	204	274	301	575	97	297	32	8	253	52	-35	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	814	738	119	21	5	11	65	308	4	18	4	161	233	248	481	87	254	38	8	216	24	-70	+2	+0	+3	+23	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	95	17	4	9	52	246	3	14	3	161	233	250	482	88	254	38	8	216	24	-56	+2	+0	+2	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	93	83	19	1	0	1	10	25	0	2	0	229	312	277	589	48	316	27	11	277	70	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	152	133	28	2	1	7	16	42	1	6	2	211	300	398	698	188	244	28	11	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	99	81	10	3	0	1	18	32	0	2	0	123	283	198	480	74	188	32	18	242	43	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	74	62	10	3	1	0	10	24	0	3	1	161	278	242	520	81	250	32	14	242	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Vargas (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	184/254/264	80	286	0	1	35%	8%	42	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A	22	30→37	41→50	44→40	38	156/224/248	92	251	9	4	40%	7%	25	-3.5	196/259/332	136	263	17	5	31%	7%	62	-0.9	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Rolando Gomez 2011 · A	22	41	40→45	51→50	38	199/247/296	97	297	6	10	34%	6%	45	-2.1	211/252/302	91	314	5	14	33%	5%	49	-1.8	218/256/307	90	317	5	16	32%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	35→27	41→45	46→40	41	174/249/277	103	262	8	5	35%	8%	43	-2.2	190/252/309	119	267	13	5	32%	7%	53	-1.5	168/232/286	119	228	14	3	32%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	48	-1.9	189/254/288	99	297	8	6	37%	7%	48	-1.9	161/231/261	100	250	9	3	37%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	39→33	37→50	46→40	39	183/245/258	75	293	4	4	37%	7%	36	-2.7	188/254/331	143	272	18	4	37%	7%	59	-1.1	172/243/327	155	240	22	2	37%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Cody Morissette 2022 · A	22	40→30	39→45	43→50	44	195/263/280	86	281	6	5	31%	8%	50	-1.8	187/242/315	128	251	15	7	31%	6%	50	-1.7	177/232/287	110	241	13	21	31%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	40	-2.4	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Alan Rick 2006 · A	22	37	39→45	46→30	41	183/241/270	87	267	6	4	33%	7%	37	-2.7	201/262/319	118	296	12	3	34%	7%	59	-1.1	192/258/318	126	281	14	1	35%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Leandro Emiliani 2022 · A	22	37	41→45	46→30	39	179/252/273	94	292	9	4	40%	8%	43	-2.2	183/243/288	105	295	10	3	39%	6%	43	-2.2	169/230/274	105	270	10	1	39%	6%	32	-1.6
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A	22	38→25	40→45	49→50	38	185/246/272	86	289	8	10	37%	7%	40	-2.4	167/226/268	101	255	10	10	37%	6%	31	-3.0	149/212/266	116	217	14	12	37%	6%	23	-2.4
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2022 · A	22	42→35	42→45	48→50	41	201/278/302	101	315	11	8	37%	8%	62	-0.9	191/267/301	110	282	11	12	34%	8%	57	-1.2	178/257/294	116	258	11	14	33%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	44→31	40→45	50→55	43	208/271/296	88	303	7	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	195/261/304	109	286	9	16	33%	7%	55	-1.4	172/247/285	113	246	10	19	32%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	37	36→40	48→55	37	175/244/240	65	289	3	14	38%	6%	31	-3.0	173/255/277	104	332	9	19	46%	9%	46	-2.0	140/234/249	109	282	11	25	49%	10%	28	-1.4
✕Zach Malis 2019 · A	22	40	35→40	47→30	44	190/254/252	62	278	3	6	31%	8%	37	-2.6	204/258/287	83	268	6	5	25%	6%	49	-1.8	196/246/274	78	242	8	1	22%	5%	37	-1.0