Scarlyn Lebron

P ACL Cubs

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 178 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	20	ROKDSL Cubs Red	17	34	2.41	2.45	28.1%	7.2%	—	K 19.1% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.59
2023	21	ACHC	23	47	6.36	3.91	18.8%	10.3%	—	K 13.9% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.87
2024	22	MIX2 levels	22	30	5.40	3.93	24.0%	18.7%	—	K 16.9% · BB 22.5% · FIP 5.07
2027PROJ	25	MLBCHC	17	18	4.96	4.96	22.5%	13.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCHC	9	9	4.88	4.87	22.8%	13.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Sam Gardner (age 26) · Brad Boxberger (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%22.5%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	10	1	26	115	16	25	2	10%	2.6	9.5%	27.2%	-17.7%	1.6%	4.21	6.62	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	10	1	26	115	16	25	2	10%	2.6	13.9%	21.7%	-7.8%	1.7%	4.21	5.79	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	17	0	34	139	39	10	2	0%	2.0	19.1%	9.0%	10.1%	1.7%	2.41	3.59	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	17	0	34	139	39	10	2	0%	2.0	28.1%	7.2%	20.9%	1.4%	2.41	2.45	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	0	47	213	40	22	4	0%	2.0	13.9%	12.2%	1.7%	2.6%	6.36	4.87	—
2023	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	0	47	213	40	22	4	0%	2.0	18.8%	10.3%	8.5%	1.9%	6.36	3.91	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	22.5%	-5.6%	1.0%	5.40	5.07	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	22.5%	-5.6%	1.0%	5.40	5.07	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	30	150	36	28	1	0%	1.4	24.0%	18.7%	5.3%	0.7%	5.40	3.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CHC	17	0	18	76	17	10	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	13.8%	8.7%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.88	4.87	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	13.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.88	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.88	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.88	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		72	1	136	617	92	103	11	1%	1.9	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.76	4.95	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	1	200	907	136	152	16	1%	1.9	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.76	4.95	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Scarlyn Lebron (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	22.5%	13.8%	3.0%	—	4.87	22.8%	9.5%	20	-0.09	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	86
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	84
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	84
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	84
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	82
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	82
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	82
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	82
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	82
Eduardo Herrera R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.5%	15.7%	2.2%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.31	4.13	127	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	82
Layne Henderson R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	22.9%	14.8%	2.6%	.289	4.29	24.3%	10.5%	126	-0.17	3.91	233	82