Bryan Perez

P Spokane Indians

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 167 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ROKCOL	10	10	36	7.43	4.53	20.6%	8.9%	—	K 14.0% · BB 11.1% · FIP 5.81
2024	20	ACOL	22	22	112	4.26	3.23	24.5%	10.5%	—	K 18.1% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.26
2026	22	MIX2 levels	14	0	19	11.57	7.28	15.5%	14.6%	—	K 11.7% · BB 16.3% · FIP 7.64
2027PROJ	23	MLBCOL	4	4	19	5.47	5.47	17.3%	13.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCOL	2	2	9	5.22	5.12	19.0%	11.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsNoah Skirrow (age 23) · Ray Gaither (age 24) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%17.3%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	9	32	131	35	10	3	82%	2.9	18.2%	9.5%	8.6%	2.8%	2.78	4.32	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	9	32	131	35	10	3	82%	2.9	26.7%	7.6%	19.1%	2.3%	2.78	3.07	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	3	12	61	9	2	1	75%	3.0	10.0%	4.1%	5.9%	2.5%	9.00	4.14	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	3	12	61	9	2	1	75%	3.0	14.8%	3.3%	11.5%	1.6%	9.00	3.18	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	10	36	180	37	16	6	100%	3.6	14.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.5%	7.43	5.81	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	10	10	36	180	37	16	6	100%	3.6	20.6%	8.9%	11.7%	3.3%	7.43	4.53	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	22	22	112	507	124	53	8	100%	5.1	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	2.0%	4.26	4.26	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	22	22	112	507	124	53	8	100%	5.1	18.1%	12.3%	5.8%	2.0%	4.26	4.26	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	22	22	112	507	124	53	8	100%	5.1	24.5%	10.5%	14.0%	1.6%	4.26	3.23	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	19	103	16	15	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	16.3%	-4.6%	6.3%	11.57	7.64	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	19	103	16	15	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	16.3%	-4.6%	6.3%	11.57	7.64	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	19	103	16	15	5	0%	1.3	15.5%	14.6%	1.0%	4.9%	11.57	7.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	COL	4	4	19	80	14	11	3	100%	4.8	17.3%	13.4%	3.9%	3.2%	5.47	5.47	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	4	4	20	84	16	10	3	100%	5.0	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.2%	5.22	5.12	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	2	2	9	38	7	5	1	100%	4.5	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.2%	5.22	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	7	4	1	100%	4.3	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.2%	5.22	4.74	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	163	93	23	100%	5.6	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.2%	5.22	4.74	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		61	44	211	982	159	114	30	72%	3.5	16.2%	11.6%	4.5%	3.1%	5.49	4.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	42	200	929	150	108	29	72%	3.5	16.2%	11.6%	4.5%	3.1%	5.49	4.90	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryan Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	17.3%	13.4%	3.2%	—	5.12	19.0%	7.1%	20	-0.35	—	—	—
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	84
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	83
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	83
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	83
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	81
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	81
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	79
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Rubén Menes R 2024 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	15.8%	15.2%	3.5%	.235	4.77	15.6%	2.4%	81	-0.85	3.39	112	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	78
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	78
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	78
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	78
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	78