Marco Soto2B Hickory Crawdads
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .264 / .288
PA87
HR1
K%29
BB%6
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.1+$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 8373 11200 4234 40 151235178413 27220 285 182 -2 — — — — — —
202117 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 8369 12200 8164 40 174296203499 29226 1910 243 44 — — — — — —
202218 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 203184 44610 11364 94 239296283579 43291 185 258 56 — — — — — —
202218 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 203177 531110 18254 94 299377373750 73342 129 337 116 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Phillies — 130118 22501 4325 00 186244254498 68239 253 209 18 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Phillies — 130115 29701 7225 00 252323339662 87295 175 297 86 — — — — — —
202420 A+2 teams — 118109 13100 6482 31 119179128308 9210 415 139 -35 — — — — — —
202420 A+2 teams — 118106 15100 9352 31 142222151373 9208 308 184 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBTEX — 8781 16301 5251 10 198253272524 74283 296 253 52 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBTEX 35% 149136 29512 10412 21 213277309586 96285 287 265 61 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202824 MLBTEX 46% 269246 53915 18733 41 215277321598 106286 277 274 68 -10 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
202925 MLBTEX 52% 346315 691227 24934 51 219283337619 117287 277 279 72 -11 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.1
203026 MLBTEX 54% 397361 791428 281075 62 219284335619 116287 277 282 74 -12 +0 +0 +1 +11 0.1
203127 MLBTEX 54% 422384 851529 301145 62 221286341628 120287 277 282 74 -12 +0 +0 +2 +12 0.1
202723 MLBTEX 35% 5248 10201 3141 10 208269312582 104286 276 257 55 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202824 MLBTEX 46% 124113 24412 8342 21 212276319595 106288 276 266 62 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
202925 MLBTEX 52% 179163 36614 12482 31 221282344626 123289 277 271 66 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203026 MLBTEX 54% 215195 44815 15583 31 226291354645 128289 277 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
203127 MLBTEX 54% 229208 46815 16623 31 221286341628 120289 277 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 799727 16028417 5421611 124 220284340624 120287 277 271 66 -31 +1 +0 +3 +23 -0.5
/ 162G— — 650591 13023314 441769 103 220284340624 120287 277 271 66 -25 +1 +0 +2 +18 -0.4
Career— — 22042007 42172933 14059235 4012 210273304577 94278 276 260 57 -106 +3 +0 +8 +62 -3.4
/ 162G— — 650592 12521310 4117510 124 211273307581 96280 276 260 57 -31 +1 +0 +2 +18 -1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 8369 12200 8164 40 174296203499 29226 1910 243 44 -5 +1 — — +2 -0.2
202218 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 203177 531110 18254 94 299377373750 73342 129 337 116 +4 +0 — — +6 1.0
202319 ROKFCL Phillies — 130115 29701 7225 00 252323339662 87295 175 297 86 -2 +0 — — +4 0.2
202420 A+Hickory Crawdads — 7264 9100 5182 21 141225156382 16191 257 187 2 -8 +0 — — +2 -0.6
202420 ADown East Wood Ducks — 4642 6000 4170 10 143217143360 240 379 179 -5 -5 +0 — — +1 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27991611220282336+3+2-0.00.1
/162664139+2.4+1.7-0.0pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Marco Soto (OGILVIE) 22 — — — — 204/264/288 84283 11 29% 6% 52 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna
2022 · A 		22 39→49 38→45 48→50 44 184/272/269 85267 510 31% 8% 52 -1.6 206/276/298 92284 611 28% 6% 60 -1.0 223/293/3229929491626%7%70-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo
2017 · A 		22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
✕Blake Hunt
2021 · A 		22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Steven Baron
2013 · A 		22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Jose Sibrian
2021 · A 		22 43 38→50 49→30 39 204/261/283 79291 56 30% 6% 49 -1.8 200/255/276 76267 53 26% 5% 45 -2.1 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8
✕Wendell Rijo
2018 · AA 		22 40→41 38→55 45→50 39 194/248/274 81270 611 30% 5% 41 -2.3 205/260/312 107271 117 27% 6% 56 -1.3 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Zach Green
2016 · A 		22 43→41 41→55 49→40 39 210/252/306 96286 86 29% 5% 50 -1.7 204/259/337 133322 143 39% 5% 63 -0.8 192/267/37217930023142%8%73-0.1
✕Alex Todd
2012 · A 		22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
✕Glenn Santiago
2023 · A 		22 42 41→40 46→45 39 204/256/303 99288 98 31% 6% 52 -1.6 199/262/282 83293 79 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/253/253702696832%7%37-1.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas
2022 · A 		22 41→51 42→45 48→50 38 205/253/308 104278 109 30% 5% 52 -1.6 235/290/335 100323 1112 29% 6% 75 -0.0 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
✕Luke Williams
2019 · A 		22 41→46 37→45 50→60 41 199/250/266 67260 515 25% 5% 40 -2.4 204/263/297 93276 719 27% 7% 53 -1.5 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
✕Malvin Matos
2019 · A 		22 43→38 39→45 48→50 44 207/272/295 88279 610 26% 7% 57 -1.2 211/277/333 122296 1411 32% 7% 69 -0.4 196/266/321125267171332%7%58-0.9
✕Ramon Mendoza
2023 · A 		22 40→50 37→45 48→45 45 189/266/266 77278 47 31% 8% 47 -1.9 210/282/308 98299 85 30% 8% 65 -0.7 232/306/34711631011327%9%82+0.3
✕Luis De La Cruz
2011 · A 		22 39 40 47→30 38 193/229/294 101252 66 26% 4% 37 -2.6 234/265/316 82286 56 19% 4% 58 -1.2 263/286/335713104416%3%67-0.2
✕Brandon Barnes
2008 · A 		22 38→48 38→55 46→50 37 184/235/263 80274 57 34% 5% 33 -2.9 199/238/312 113297 116 35% 4% 46 -2.0 236/281/354118320111629%5%73-0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra
2021 · A 		22 43 36→45 50→40 46 203/265/271 69261 45 23% 7% 48 -1.9 218/265/320 102270 94 22% 5% 60 -1.0 231/267/35712627614022%4%69-0.2
✕Narbe Cruz
2023 · A 		22 41 38→40 44→45 40 197/250/273 76268 57 28% 5% 42 -2.3 215/268/305 90308 86 31% 5% 58 -1.2 215/271/305903139632%5%54-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez
2021 · A 		22 41 39→45 44→65 38 195/257/276 81309 77 37% 6% 46 -2.0 209/283/301 92307 630 31% 7% 63 -0.8 206/284/2969029954230%7%59-0.5