Marco Soto — OGILVIE

Marco Soto2B Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 145 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .264 / .288

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%6

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	83	69	12	2	0	0	8	16	4	4	0	174	296	203	499	29	226	19	10	243	50	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	203	177	53	11	1	0	18	25	4	9	4	299	377	373	750	73	342	12	9	337	114	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	130	115	29	7	0	1	7	22	5	0	0	252	323	339	662	87	295	17	5	297	87	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	64	9	1	0	0	5	18	2	2	1	141	225	156	382	16	191	25	7	187	13	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	46	42	6	0	0	0	4	17	0	1	0	143	217	143	360		240	37	9	179	7	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	83	72	11	2	0	0	5	23	4	4	0	153	247	181	427	28	196	28	6	180	8	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	203	184	44	7	1	0	11	36	4	9	4	239	296	288	585	49	278	18	5	255	59	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	130	118	22	5	0	1	4	32	5	0	0	186	244	254	498	68	226	25	3	214	31	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	66	8	1	0	0	3	24	2	2	1	121	183	136	319	15	177	33	4	148	-14	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	46	43	5	0	0	0	3	24	0	1	0	116	174	116	290		232	52	7	126	-29	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	83	72	11	2	0	0	5	23	4	4	0	153	247	181	427	28	224	28	6	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	83	69	12	2	0	0	8	16	4	4	0	174	296	203	499	29	226	19	10	243	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	203	184	44	7	1	0	11	36	4	9	4	239	296	288	585	49	291	18	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	203	177	53	11	1	0	18	25	4	9	4	299	377	373	750	73	342	12	9	337	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	130	118	22	5	0	1	4	32	5	0	0	186	244	254	498	68	239	25	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	130	115	29	7	0	1	7	22	5	0	0	252	323	339	662	87	295	17	5	297	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	118	109	13	1	0	0	6	48	2	3	1	119	179	128	308	9	210	41	5	139	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	118	106	15	1	0	0	9	35	2	3	1	142	222	151	373	9	208	30	8	184	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	83	74	11	2	0	0	5	23	4	4	0	149	247	176	423	27	196	28	6	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	203	186	44	7	1	0	11	36	4	9	4	237	296	285	581	48	278	18	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	130	120	22	5	0	1	4	32	5	0	0	183	244	250	494	67	226	25	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	118	109	13	1	0	0	6	48	2	3	1	119	179	128	308	9	198	41	5	139	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	130	120	22	5	0	1	4	32	5	0	0	183	244	250	494	67	226	25	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	118	109	13	1	0	0	6	48	2	3	1	119	179	128	308	9	198	41	5	139	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		283	29	0	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TEX	35%	149	136	29	5	1	2	10	41	2	2	1	213	277	309	586	96	285	28	7	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	269	246	53	9	1	5	18	73	3	4	1	215	277	321	598	106	286	27	7	274	71	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	346	315	69	12	2	7	24	93	4	5	1	219	283	337	619	117	287	27	7	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	397	361	79	14	2	8	28	106	5	6	2	219	284	335	619	116	287	27	7	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	422	384	85	15	2	9	30	113	5	6	2	221	286	341	628	120	287	27	7	282	77	-12	+0	+0	+2	+9	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	434	395	86	15	2	9	31	117	5	6	2	218	283	334	617	116	286	27	7	281	76	-12	+0	-1	+2	+9	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	435	395	86	15	2	9	32	118	5	5	2	218	285	334	619	116	285	27	7	279	75	-13	+0	-1	+2	+9	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	431	392	84	15	2	8	31	118	5	5	1	214	280	324	604	110	284	27	7	276	73	-14	+1	-2	+2	+9	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	TEX	35%	52	48	10	2	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	208	269	312	582	104	287	27	6	260	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	124	113	24	4	1	2	8	34	2	2	1	212	276	319	595	106	288	27	6	268	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	179	163	36	6	1	4	12	48	2	3	1	221	282	344	626	123	289	27	7	274	75	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	215	195	44	8	1	5	15	58	3	3	1	226	291	354	645	128	289	27	7	277	77	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	229	208	46	8	1	5	16	61	3	3	1	221	286	341	628	120	289	27	7	277	77	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	236	214	47	8	1	5	17	64	3	3	1	220	286	336	623	117	288	27	7	276	76	-7	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	231	209	46	8	1	5	17	63	3	3	1	220	288	340	628	120	287	27	7	274	75	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	245	222	48	8	1	5	18	67	3	3	1	216	284	329	613	113	286	27	7	271	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1511	1372	301	52	7	32	106	409	20	21	7	219	285	337	623	118	287	27	7	274	67	-45	+1	-2	+5	+33	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	129	22	3	14	46	176	9	9	3	219	286	337	623	119	285	27	7	274	67	-19	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3424	3114	662	115	15	58	230	920	49	55	17	213	277	315	592	102	280	27	7	267	67	-87	+3	-4	+10	+63	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	126	22	3	11	44	175	9	10	3	213	278	316	594	103	281	27	7	267	67	-20	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,511	30	20	220	282	336	+5	+4	0.3	0.3
/162	664	13	9	+2.4	+1.8	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Soto (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	204/264/288	84	283	1	1	29%	6%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	42	40→55	49→40	39	208/248/301	93	281	8	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	203/258/334	131	317	14	3	39%	5%	66	-1.1	194/261/373	179	295	22	1	40%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	41→43	38→50	45→50	40	196/251/276	79	270	6	11	28%	5%	49	-2.4	204/260/307	103	266	9	7	26%	6%	60	-1.6	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40	50	39	211/267/307	95	311	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/290/309	108	293	11	12	33%	9%	74	-0.6	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→40	44→65	38	195/256/276	80	309	6	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	207/280/301	94	303	7	30	31%	7%	67	-1.1	200/278/292	91	290	6	42	30%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	42→52	41→45	48→50	38	208/254/308	100	283	9	9	29%	5%	57	-1.8	235/289/328	93	322	9	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	50	-2.3	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Javier Castillo 2006 · A	22	39→49	38→45	47→45	37	191/238/267	76	273	5	6	31%	5%	42	-2.9	226/271/334	108	298	8	7	26%	5%	70	-0.9	243/287/361	118	312	9	6	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→45	44→45	40	196/250/274	78	266	5	7	27%	5%	49	-2.4	214/267/306	92	306	8	6	31%	5%	62	-1.4	214/268/307	93	310	9	6	32%	5%	59	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps