Jose Serrano

SS Dayton Dragons

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	A+CIN	92	.143/.217/.214	2	0	-24	—	.093/.152/.128
2025	21	A+CIN	31	.214/.290/.250	0	0	9	—	.172/.226/.207
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCIN	141	.188/.252/.271	2	2	48	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCIN	31	.194/.258/.288	0	0	53	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

CompsTyler Grimes (age 23) · Arturo De Freitas (age 23) · Chris Okey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .250 / .269

PA39

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	115	33	6	4	0	12	26	0	2	1	287	354	409	763	122	371	20	9	341	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	100	86	21	4	0	1	13	35	1	1	0	244	350	326	676	81	400	35	13	315	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	30	29	5	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	172	200	207	407	34	312	43	3	187	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	168	141	32	5	4	2	22	56	4	2	4	227	347	362	709	135	357	33	13	323	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	92	84	12	0	0	2	8	45	0	0	0	143	217	214	432	71	270	49	9	204	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	31	28	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	214	290	250	540	36	429	45	10	255	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	119	22	4	2	0	8	32	0	2	1	185	236	252	488	67	259	25	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	100	91	14	2	0	1	8	50	1	1	0	154	230	209	439	55	329	50	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	30	29	4	1	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	138	167	172	339	34	296	57	3	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	168	151	21	3	2	1	12	79	4	2	4	139	222	205	427	66	280	47	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	92	86	8	0	0	1	6	57	0	0	0	93	152	128	280	35	245	62	7	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	400	58	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	119	22	4	2	0	8	32	0	2	1	185	236	252	488	67	253	25	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	127	115	33	6	4	0	12	26	0	2	1	287	354	409	763	122	371	20	9	341	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	100	91	14	2	0	1	8	50	1	1	0	154	230	209	439	55	325	50	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	100	86	21	4	0	1	13	35	1	1	0	244	350	326	676	81	400	35	13	315	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	198	180	25	4	2	1	13	96	4	2	4	139	213	200	413	61	286	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	198	170	37	6	4	2	23	69	4	2	4	218	325	335	660	118	350	35	12	303	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	92	86	8	0	0	1	6	57	0	0	0	93	152	128	280	35	250	62	7	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	92	84	12	0	0	2	8	45	0	0	0	143	217	214	432	71	270	49	9	204	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	455	58	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	31	28	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	214	290	250	540	36	429	45	10	255	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	127	118	22	4	2	0	8	32	0	2	1	186	236	254	490	68	259	25	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	100	91	14	2	0	1	8	50	1	1	0	154	230	209	439	55	329	50	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	198	179	25	4	2	1	13	96	4	2	4	140	213	201	414	61	282	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	92	86	8	0	0	1	6	57	0	0	0	93	152	128	280	35	245	62	7	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	400	58	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	92	86	8	0	0	1	6	57	0	0	0	93	152	128	280	35	245	62	7	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	400	58	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	141	129	25	4	1	2	10	50	1	2	1	188	252	271	523	84	288	35	7	239	48	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	103	94	18	3	0	2	7	36	1	1	0	192	257	283	540	91	289	35	7	246	53	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	194	258	288	546	94	290	35	6	249	53	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	278	35	6	249	23	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	105	21	0	0	42	231	0	0	0	173	226	207	433	35	279	36	6	249	23	-37	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	690	635	99	15	4	6	47	303	6	7	5	156	221	220	441	65	284	44	7	202	23	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	94	14	4	6	44	285	6	7	5	157	222	224	446	67	285	44	7	202	23	-38	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Serrano (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	186/250/269	83	288	1	1	36%	7%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	181/259/285	104	283	9	8	37%	8%	56	-1.9	202/276/296	94	307	7	5	34%	7%	64	-1.3	201/277/286	85	307	6	2	34%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/242	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	32	-3.6	182/235/282	100	271	11	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	38→28	43→50	50→45	37	187/247/298	110	305	10	7	40%	7%	53	-2.1	188/259/319	131	341	15	7	45%	8%	63	-1.4	151/235/301	150	278	21	4	50%	10%	48	-1.2
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	47→30	42	182/255/276	95	278	10	6	36%	8%	52	-2.2	198/259/300	102	327	8	6	39%	7%	58	-1.7	181/241/300	119	309	8	3	41%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/264/283	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	57	-1.8	185/252/285	100	267	8	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	36	39→40	45→40	38	178/242/260	81	271	6	4	35%	6%	42	-2.9	202/271/288	86	309	6	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/276/284	83	307	6	2	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Mateo Gil 2023 · A	23	39→33	42→45	42→45	35	195/239/298	103	291	9	6	36%	5%	50	-2.3	187/229/302	115	267	12	5	33%	5%	47	-2.5	169/209/285	116	233	12	4	33%	4%	33	-2.1
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→45	50→30	37	195/244/287	91	291	7	7	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/242/305	120	300	13	2	40%	7%	53	-2.1	151/212/258	107	282	10	0	48%	7%	29	-1.7
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Edwin Díaz 2019 · AA	23	34→33	43→50	49→40	39	177/238/284	107	268	12	4	37%	7%	47	-2.5	183/245/313	130	286	13	4	39%	7%	57	-1.8	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→45	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/251/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	47	-2.6	105/203/174	69	168	5	2	38%	10%	9	-1.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	36→30	41→40	48→45	35	181/230/280	99	273	9	6	36%	5%	42	-2.9	187/236/277	90	296	8	7	38%	5%	44	-2.8	168/214/244	77	270	8	5	40%	5%	26	-1.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→33	43→50	47→50	32	184/226/296	112	275	11	13	37%	4%	45	-2.7	192/238/311	119	300	12	12	38%	5%	53	-2.1	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7