Thayron Liranzo

C Erie SeaWolves

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AA40-MANPROSPECTFG #104MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP46ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AADET	394	.206/.309/.351	11	0	53	—	.181/.261/.286
2026	23	AADET	350	.199/.321/.447	19	2	71	—	.170/.262/.361
2026	23	ADET	43	.323/.500/.387	0	0	118	—	.294/.429/.353
2027PROJ10% MLB	24	MLBDET	32	.191/.280/.334	1	0	78	0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	25	MLBDET	152	.195/.284/.346	5	1	82	0.3
2029PROJ58% MLB	26	MLBDET	230	.198/.287/.352	7	1	84	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$3M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO89

BB%83

Chase%73

wRC+53

wOBA49

Z-Con%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%

CompsBrett Cumberland (age 24) · Drew Ellis (age 25) · Ian Rice (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .280 / .334

PA32

HR1

K%31

BB%9

BABIP258

ISO138

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED27

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	68	17	4	0	1	14	20	2	3	1	250	388	353	741	103	340	24	16	345	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	148	35	11	1	8	21	42	2	0	0	236	339	486	826	250	276	25	12	363	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	345	94	24	2	24	70	112	3	2	1	272	400	562	962	290	335	27	17	418	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	429	353	86	22	0	12	75	102	1	1	0	244	378	408	786	164	310	24	17	357	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	59	48	18	6	1	2	11	9	0	0	0	375	492	667	1.158	292	432	15	19	497	222	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	339	70	16	0	11	47	125	4	0	0	206	309	351	660	145	286	32	12	300	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	350	291	58	13	1	19	50	100	2	2	2	199	321	447	767	247	218	29	14	334	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	43	31	10	2	0	0	10	7	1	0	0	323	500	387	887	65	400	16	23	407	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	74	12	3	0	0	9	24	2	3	1	162	271	203	473	41	224	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	171	155	26	8	1	6	14	61	2	0	0	168	246	348	594	181	227	36	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	364	78	19	2	17	51	156	3	2	1	214	316	418	733	203	323	37	12	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	429	376	77	20	0	11	52	136	1	1	0	205	303	346	649	141	286	32	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	353	64	13	0	8	34	147	4	0	0	181	261	286	547	105	275	37	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	350	305	52	11	1	15	36	122	2	2	2	170	262	361	623	190	202	35	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	43	34	10	2	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	294	429	353	782	59	358	23	16	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	74	12	3	0	0	9	24	2	3	1	162	271	203	473	41	240	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	68	17	4	0	1	14	20	2	3	1	250	388	353	741	103	340	24	16	345	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	171	155	26	8	1	6	14	61	2	0	0	168	246	348	594	181	227	36	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	171	148	35	11	1	8	21	42	2	0	0	236	339	486	826	250	276	25	12	363	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	364	78	19	2	17	51	156	3	2	1	214	316	418	733	203	319	37	12	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	345	94	24	2	24	70	112	3	2	1	272	400	562	962	290	335	27	17	418	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	488	428	87	22	0	12	59	154	1	1	0	203	301	339	640	136	286	32	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	488	401	104	28	1	14	86	111	1	1	0	259	391	439	830	180	326	23	18	374	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	353	64	13	0	8	34	147	4	0	0	181	261	286	547	105	279	37	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	339	70	16	0	11	47	125	4	0	0	206	309	351	660	145	286	32	12	300	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	339	61	13	1	15	43	132	3	2	2	180	278	357	635	177	230	34	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	393	322	68	15	1	19	60	107	3	2	2	211	340	441	781	230	240	27	15	342	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	74	12	3	0	0	9	24	2	3	1	162	271	203	473	41	224	28	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	171	153	26	8	1	6	14	61	2	0	0	170	246	353	599	183	227	36	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	361	78	19	2	17	51	156	3	2	1	216	316	421	737	205	323	37	12	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	488	425	87	22	0	12	59	154	1	1	0	205	301	341	642	136	286	32	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	353	64	13	0	8	34	147	4	0	0	181	261	286	547	105	275	37	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	344	61	13	1	15	43	132	3	2	2	177	278	352	630	174	219	34	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	488	425	87	22	0	12	59	154	1	1	0	205	301	341	642	136	286	32	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	353	64	13	0	8	34	147	4	0	0	181	261	286	547	105	275	37	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	344	61	13	1	15	43	132	3	2	2	177	278	352	630	174	219	34	11	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	10%	380	335	66	14	1	12	39	123	3	2	1	195	283	343	627	149	263	32	10	283	78	-10	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	10%	32	29	5	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	191	280	334	614	143	258	31	9	278	78	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	42%	359	316	64	13	1	12	37	114	3	2	1	199	288	355	643	156	265	32	10	289	82	-8	+0	-0	+6	+8	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	58%	399	352	71	15	1	13	41	124	3	2	1	202	290	362	653	160	266	31	10	293	84	-7	+0	-0	+7	+9	0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	62%	415	367	75	15	1	14	42	128	3	1	1	203	291	362	653	159	267	31	10	293	84	-8	-0	-0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	65%	421	373	77	16	1	14	42	129	3	0	1	204	290	360	650	156	268	31	10	292	84	-8	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	65%	418	370	75	15	1	13	42	128	3	0	1	203	289	356	645	152	267	31	10	290	82	-9	-0	-2	+7	+9	0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	DET	65%	413	366	74	15	1	13	41	127	3	0	0	200	285	348	633	147	265	31	10	285	79	-10	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	DET	64%	389	346	68	14	1	11	38	122	2	0	0	196	280	338	618	142	262	31	10	279	75	-12	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	DET	70%	360	320	61	12	0	10	35	114	2	0	0	191	274	325	599	134	257	32	10	271	70	-13	+0	-4	+6	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	42%	152	134	26	5	0	5	16	48	1	1	0	195	284	346	630	150	260	32	11	284	82	-3	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	58%	230	203	40	8	1	7	23	72	2	1	1	198	287	352	639	154	262	31	10	288	84	-4	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	62%	259	229	46	9	1	8	26	80	2	1	1	199	287	352	639	153	263	31	10	288	84	-5	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	65%	274	242	48	10	1	8	28	84	2	0	1	200	287	350	636	150	263	31	10	287	84	-5	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	65%	271	240	48	10	1	8	27	83	2	0	0	199	285	346	631	147	263	31	10	285	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	DET	65%	267	237	46	9	0	8	26	82	2	0	0	196	282	338	620	142	260	31	10	280	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	DET	64%	251	222	43	9	0	7	25	78	2	0	0	192	277	329	606	136	257	31	10	274	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	DET	70%	252	225	42	8	0	7	24	80	1	0	0	187	271	316	587	129	253	32	10	267	70	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1956	1732	339	68	4	58	195	607	14	3	3	196	282	340	622	144	261	31	10	281	78	-47	-1	-8	+35	+42	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	112	23	1	19	65	202	5	1	1	194	282	337	619	142	260	31	10	281	78	-15	-0	-3	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5443	4805	949	205	12	168	561	1763	39	15	10	198	287	350	637	153	269	32	10	284	78	-83	-1	-13	+62	+76	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	112	24	1	20	67	211	5	2	1	195	285	345	630	150	266	32	10	284	78	-15	-0	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#4Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.0	1,987	62	3	201	283	352	+35	-7	4.2	4.1
/162	664	21	1	+11.9	-2.3	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thayron Liranzo (OGILVIE)	24	20→34	45→56	30→27	52	193/281/340	147	263	10	2	32%	10%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	39→41	46→45	38→30	41	191/287/320	129	294	14	2	37%	8%	75	-0.5	199/302/320	121	292	12	3	34%	8%	81	-0.1	177/295/278	101	266	11	1	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Drew Ellis 2021 · AA	25	40→38	47→55	37→40	47	206/278/343	137	265	15	3	28%	8%	76	-0.4	202/292/370	168	265	18	5	29%	10%	88	+0.4	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	51→50	41→30	50	208/291/361	154	264	19	3	29%	10%	85	+0.2	201/283/316	115	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	183/271/276	93	265	9	1	32%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	51→50	38→40	46	201/294/355	155	278	19	2	33%	10%	86	+0.3	220/281/359	139	288	16	3	28%	7%	80	-0.1	222/277/356	134	285	15	2	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	41→43	50	36→30	50	215/293/365	150	260	19	2	25%	9%	86	+0.3	211/278/346	135	271	15	5	27%	7%	76	-0.4	174/243/288	114	217	12	0	25%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	39→36	49→50	37→40	46	204/272/353	148	253	16	5	26%	8%	76	-0.4	196/250/344	148	275	18	5	35%	6%	65	-1.2	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	48→50	41→40	47	185/278/325	140	290	16	2	39%	11%	72	-0.7	204/302/356	152	310	17	3	36%	12%	88	+0.4	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	226/302/384	157	284	19	4	27%	8%	94	+0.9	217/290/338	121	306	12	4	31%	9%	79	-0.2	202/280/307	105	288	10	3	31%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	44	50	35→45	37	229/263/382	153	275	18	2	24%	3%	79	-0.2	219/271/352	133	259	17	4	22%	5%	75	-0.5	205/264/324	119	239	16	2	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Julian Leon 2019 · AAA	23	40	48→45	38→30	43	201/288/338	137	303	17	3	37%	9%	79	-0.2	188/279/300	112	310	11	5	39%	9%	67	-1.1	129/234/211	82	231	8	0	44%	10%	30	-1.6
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	40→42	46→45	39→30	41	204/281/329	125	266	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.5	214/297/320	106	302	10	3	30%	9%	78	-0.3	204/295/299	95	291	10	0	30%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	41→44	46→55	41→40	44	207/273/335	128	257	14	3	25%	6%	72	-0.7	211/272/370	159	286	20	3	32%	7%	80	-0.1	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Adam Donachie 2008 · AA	24	42	45	41→30	46	213/279/334	121	275	14	2	27%	8%	74	-0.6	194/261/285	91	265	9	3	28%	8%	56	-1.9	171/241/257	87	234	9	0	29%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Colt Morton 2007 · AA	25	41	50	40→30	46	211/288/365	154	280	18	2	30%	9%	85	+0.2	200/267/340	140	279	16	3	33%	7%	71	-0.8	174/238/314	139	238	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→45	50→55	39→40	45	214/272/365	151	255	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/279/378	155	271	18	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1	252/317/421	169	318	16	4	25%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Luca Tresh 2024 · AA	24	40→42	47→50	43→40	46	207/272/339	131	258	16	4	26%	8%	72	-0.7	210/264/345	135	277	15	4	29%	6%	70	-0.8	208/257/339	131	282	15	2	31%	5%	64	-0.8
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	40→38	51→65	43→45	41	209/276/368	158	288	19	5	33%	7%	81	-0.1	212/259/381	169	304	20	5	36%	5%	77	-0.3	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕Griff Erickson 2014 · AA	26	42→50	46→45	38→40	49	211/285/339	128	263	13	4	25%	9%	77	-0.3	214/279/336	122	268	12	5	24%	7%	74	-0.5	212/274/325	113	258	11	2	22%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Omar Falcon 2007 · A	24	46	46→50	38→30	46	211/298/343	132	343	13	4	39%	10%	84	+0.1	191/273/290	99	369	9	5	46%	9%	62	-1.4	123/219/180	57	287	6	0	53%	10%	15	-1.6
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	217/297/388	171	275	20	6	28%	9%	93	+0.8	188/261/333	145	260	17	6	33%	8%	68	-1.0	153/227/285	132	210	17	5	35%	8%	41	-1.8

Thayron Liranzo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps