Kelvin Ramirez

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 187 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	AALAD	44	48	4.12	3.89	24.7%	20.2%	—	K 20.0% · BB 22.2% · FIP 4.53
2026	25	AALAD	48	66	2.45	3.51	30.6%	12.5%	—	K 24.8% · BB 13.8% · FIP 4.45
2027PROJ	26	MLBLAD	67	70	5.45	5.45	22.6%	18.5%	-0.7
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBLAD	25	26	5.36	5.37	22.7%	17.6%	-0.2
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBLAD	38	40	5.34	5.38	22.6%	17.2%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control20Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDennis Sarfate (age 27) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Esmerling Vasquez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%22.6%

BB%18.5%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	6	2	8	37	13	8	1	33%	1.4	35.1%	21.6%	13.5%	2.7%	6.48	4.36	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	6	2	8	37	13	8	1	33%	1.4	35.1%	21.6%	13.5%	2.7%	6.48	4.42	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	14	0	20	91	24	7	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	9.6%	8.3%	1.7%	6.75	3.73	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	14	0	20	91	24	7	1	0%	1.4	26.4%	7.7%	18.7%	1.1%	6.75	2.40	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	37	0	57	244	64	31	0	0%	1.5	19.4%	15.0%	4.4%	0.0%	3.92	3.36	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	37	0	57	244	64	31	0	0%	1.5	26.2%	12.7%	13.5%	0.0%	3.92	2.49	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.1%	4.78	4.56	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	3.1%	4.78	4.56	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	44	1	53	230	61	23	6	2%	1.2	26.5%	10.0%	16.5%	2.6%	4.78	3.57	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	22.2%	-2.2%	0.6%	4.12	4.53	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	22.2%	-2.2%	0.6%	4.12	4.53	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	44	0	48	223	55	45	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	20.2%	4.5%	0.4%	4.12	3.89	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	24.8%	13.8%	11.0%	3.1%	2.45	4.45	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	24.8%	13.8%	11.0%	3.1%	2.45	4.45	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	66	271	83	34	7	0%	1.4	30.6%	12.5%	18.1%	2.6%	2.45	3.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	LAD	67	0	70	296	67	55	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	18.5%	4.1%	2.8%	5.45	5.45	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAD	66	0	69	291	66	51	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	17.6%	5.0%	2.9%	5.36	5.37	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAD	64	0	67	282	64	48	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	17.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.34	5.38	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAD	61	0	64	270	60	46	8	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.0%	5.4%	3.1%	5.39	5.46	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAD	25	0	26	110	25	19	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	17.6%	5.0%	2.9%	5.36	5.37	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAD	38	0	40	169	38	29	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	17.2%	5.4%	3.0%	5.34	5.38	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAD	43	0	45	190	43	32	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.0%	5.4%	3.1%	5.39	5.46	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	468	106	81	14	0%	1.0	22.5%	17.2%	5.3%	3.0%	5.37	5.03	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	146	25	0%	1.1	22.5%	17.2%	5.3%	3.0%	5.37	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		193	3	252	1096	235	167	19	2%	1.3	21.5%	15.2%	6.3%	1.8%	4.07	4.19	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	2	200	869	187	132	15	2%	1.3	21.5%	15.2%	6.3%	1.8%	4.07	4.19	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kelvin Ramirez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	22.6%	18.5%	2.8%	—	5.40	22.6%	5.3%	200	-0.05	—	—	—
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	88
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	83
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	83
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	82
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	82
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	81
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	80
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	80
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	80
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	80
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	80
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	80
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	80
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	79
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	79
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	79
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	22.6%	17.6%	1.14	5.39
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*