Luigi Hernandez

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	18	MIX2 levels	13	2	25	3.96	3.30	31.6%	14.9%	—	K 23.9% · BB 18.6% · FIP 4.28
2023	19	MIX2 levels	9	4	17	4.32	4.30	25.6%	25.6%	—	K 25.6% · BB 25.6% · FIP 4.18
2024	20	APIT	23	1	57	7.11	4.08	24.2%	19.6%	—	K 17.9% · BB 23.2% · FIP 5.00
2027PROJ	23	MLBPIT	38	0	40	5.30	5.30	21.9%	16.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPIT	16	0	17	5.05	4.95	22.6%	14.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsAlec Barger (age 23) · Blake Holub (age 23) · Jarret Whorff (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%21.9%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%5.7%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	12	11	31	147	37	14	3	92%	2.6	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	3.2%	7.18	4.91	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	12	11	31	147	37	14	3	92%	2.6	25.2%	9.5%	15.6%	2.0%	7.18	3.32	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	2	25	114	36	17	2	15%	1.9	23.9%	18.6%	5.3%	1.5%	3.96	4.28	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	2	25	114	36	17	2	15%	1.9	31.6%	14.9%	16.7%	1.8%	3.96	3.30	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	4	17	78	20	20	0	44%	1.9	25.6%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	4.32	4.18	—
2023	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	4	17	78	20	20	0	44%	1.9	25.6%	25.6%	0.0%	0.0%	4.32	4.30	—
2024	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	17.9%	23.2%	-5.3%	0.9%	7.11	5.00	—
2024	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	17.9%	23.2%	-5.3%	0.9%	7.11	5.00	—
2024	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	23	1	57	285	69	56	2	4%	2.5	24.2%	19.6%	4.6%	0.7%	7.11	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PIT	38	0	40	169	37	27	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	16.2%	5.7%	2.9%	5.30	5.30	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	39	0	41	173	39	24	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	14.0%	8.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.95	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	16	0	17	72	16	10	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	14.0%	8.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	17	74	17	10	2	0%	1.0	22.6%	14.0%	8.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	114	23	0%	1.1	22.6%	14.0%	8.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		57	18	130	624	123	125	9	32%	2.3	19.8%	20.0%	-0.2%	1.4%	6.16	4.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	28	200	960	190	192	14	32%	2.3	19.8%	20.0%	-0.2%	1.4%	6.16	4.75	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luigi Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	21.9%	16.2%	2.9%	—	4.95	22.6%	8.6%	41	-0.35	—	—	—
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	84
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	83
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	83
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	82
Corey Black R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	23	SW	4.19	22.1%	13.9%	2.2%	.310	3.56	22.1%	6.0%	53	-0.63	3.56	139	81
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	81
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	78
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	78
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	78
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	78
Carlton Perkins R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	21	SW	4.16	18.6%	15.7%	1.2%	.356	4.88	18.2%	0.2%	66	+0.72	3.61	124	77
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	77
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	77
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	22.2%	15.1%	1.13	5.17
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*