Jose Rojas
P
DSL Giants Orange
+0.2
WAR
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 145 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.4 · 2030
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.7%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.7%
IP32
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2030
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 9 | 7 | 32 | 132 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 11.8% | 14.2% | 0.9% | 3.69 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 12 | 12 | 46 | 208 | 37 | 21 | 3 | 12.1% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 6.02 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 14 | 1 | 37 | 150 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 2.70 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 21 | 0 | 39 | 161 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 13.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 2.56 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | SF | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SF | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SF | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 24.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SF | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 24.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SF | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.05 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SF | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 24.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | SF | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | SF | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 24.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | SF | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | SF | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.23 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | SF | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 23.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.31 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 20 | 153 | 651 | 77 | 66 | 12 | 11.8% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 3.87 | 4.40 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 26 | 200 | 849 | 100 | 86 | 16 | 11.8% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 3.87 | 4.40 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Rojas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.13 | 23.9% | 15.5% | 103 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.20 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.95 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.75 | 4.20 | 104 | 95 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.42 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.54 | 3.19 | 181 | 94 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.08 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.47 | 3.07 | 194 | 93 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.13 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.57 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.44 | 3.39 | 214 | 92 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.30 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -0.86 | 2.92 | 367 | 91 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.34 | 3.85 | 100 | 91 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.89 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.39 | 3.18 | 144 | 90 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.10 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .309 | 4.62 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.52 | 4.10 | 215 | 90 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.33 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.80 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.33 | 286 | 90 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.22 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.84 | 2.82 | 152 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.66 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.21 | 3.66 | 123 | 90 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.78 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .341 | 4.02 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.24 | 3.40 | 259 | 90 |
| Collin Kober R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 2.76 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.63 | 2.38 | 294 | 89 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.54 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.27 | 3.27 | 128 | 89 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .241 | 5.00 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 108 | +1.17 | 3.83 | 144 | 89 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | .250 | 4.37 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.04 | 4.33 | 130 | 89 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.37 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .350 | 4.28 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.91 | 2.93 | 103 | 89 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.73 | 3.94 | 122 | 89 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.34 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.30 | 4.04 | 287 | 89 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.49 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.03 | 3.09 | 213 | 88 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $5M | +$2M | ||