Samir Chires — OGILVIE

Samir Chires P ACL Giants

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 193 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%21.0%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	13	3	27	117	12	6	1	23%	2.1	7.0%	6.4%	0.6%	1.1%	3.33	3.95	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	13	3	27	117	12	6	1	23%	2.1	10.3%	5.1%	5.1%	0.9%	3.33	3.36	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	15	7	44	183	38	17	1	47%	2.9	14.1%	11.6%	2.5%	0.8%	2.45	3.81	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	15	7	44	183	38	17	1	47%	2.9	20.8%	9.3%	11.5%	0.5%	2.45	2.83	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	13	5	50	212	47	27	0	38%	3.8	15.1%	15.9%	-0.8%	0.0%	4.68	3.84	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	13	5	50	212	47	27	0	38%	3.8	15.1%	15.9%	-0.8%	0.0%	4.68	3.84	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	13	5	50	212	47	27	0	38%	3.8	22.2%	12.7%	9.4%	0.0%	4.68	2.84	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	6.0%	21.9%	-16.0%	2.1%	3.65	6.52	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	6.0%	21.9%	-16.0%	2.1%	3.65	6.52	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	8.8%	17.5%	-8.8%	1.8%	3.65	5.78	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	20.3%	1.0%	2.9%	6.23	5.46	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	20.3%	1.0%	2.9%	6.23	5.46	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	31.4%	16.3%	15.1%	2.3%	6.23	3.91	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	31	1	53	216	68	17	4	3%	1.7	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.0%	2.05	3.39	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	31	1	53	216	68	17	4	3%	1.7	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.0%	2.05	3.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	SF	15	1	26	110	40	10	2	7%	1.7	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	1.8%	2.08	2.18	—
2026	22	A RAW	SF	15	0	25	94	27	5	1	0%	1.6	28.7%	5.3%	23.4%	1.1%	1.82	1.93	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	SF	1	0	2	12	1	2	1	0%	2.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	8.3%	4.50	9.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SF	51	0	54	226	50	33	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	14.6%	7.4%	2.9%	5.20	5.08	-0.3
2028	24	MLB MLE	SF	52	0	55	231	52	30	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	12.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.94	4.80	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SF	25	0	26	110	24	16	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	14.6%	7.4%	2.9%	5.20	5.08	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SF	36	0	38	160	36	21	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	12.9%	9.7%	2.9%	4.94	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	65	273	61	37	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.05	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	115	25	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.05	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		91	18	203	871	138	112	11	20%	2.2	15.8%	12.9%	2.9%	1.2%	3.41	4.07	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	18	200	857	135	110	11	20%	2.2	15.8%	12.9%	2.9%	1.2%	3.41	4.07	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samir Chires (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	21.0%	17.1%	3.0%	—	4.94	22.3%	8.5%	108	-0.56	—	—	—
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	86
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	84
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	83
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	83
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	83
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	82
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	82
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	82
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	82
Junior Montero R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	18.5%	15.8%	1.8%	.319	5.31	20.2%	-3.7%	32	+0.77	4.54	100	82
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	82
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	22.2%	14.1%	1.13	5.11
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99