Mark Coley II

OF Biloxi Shuckers
Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 194 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+/AMIA482.226/.338/.405123354—.166/.261/.293
202524AAA/AAMIA299.251/.337/.37361952—.199/.266/.288
202625AAMIL292.202/.303/.352101838—.156/.238/.263
2027PROJMLE26MLBMIL3.180/.254/.2930056-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBMIL55.182/.257/.2961257-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed85
ISO52
BB%46
Chase%43
wOBA27
wRC+25
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsPhillip Sikes (age 25) · Adam Engel (age 26) · Stephen Wrenn (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .254 / .293
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%6
BABIP277
ISO107
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 AJupiter Hammerheads — 12298 26823 16365 91 265395480875 214390 3013 380 81 — — — — — —
202423 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 445380 8114712 4613519 302 213328382710 168296 3010 323 47 — — — — — —
202423 AJupiter Hammerheads — 3732 12240 3112 31 3754596881.147 312571 308 487 134 — — — — — —
202524 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 1914 3001 352 11 214421429850 214250 2616 392 100 — — — — — —
202524 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 280249 631215 23866 186 253331369700 116362 318 316 49 — — — — — —
202625 AABiloxi Shuckers — 292253 516110 29998 186 202303352655 150281 3410 298 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 122103 20612 11475 91 194303330633 136328 399 288 81 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 445394 621059 3216919 302 157254277531 119242 387 237 47 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 3733 9130 2152 31 273351485836 212494 415 366 134 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 1915 3001 262 11 200368400768 200223 3211 316 100 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 280257 511013 151066 186 198259280539 82311 385 241 49 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 292262 41517 201218 186 156238263501 107242 417 225 38 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 122103 20612 11475 91 194303330633 136333 399 288 81 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 12298 26823 16365 91 265395480875 214390 3013 380 81 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 482426 721289 3518421 333 169266298564 129270 387 247 53 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAW2 teams — 482412 93161112 4914621 333 226338405744 180319 3010 336 53 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 299272 531014 171128 197 195263283546 88310 376 246 52 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 299263 661216 26918 197 251337373709 122357 309 321 52 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 292262 41517 201218 186 156238263501 107250 417 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 292253 516110 29998 186 202303352655 150281 3410 298 38 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 122105 20612 11475 91 190303324626 133328 399 288 81 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 482423 721289 3518421 333 170266300566 130261 387 247 53 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 299272 531014 171128 197 195263283546 88305 376 246 52 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 292262 41517 201218 186 156238263501 107242 417 225 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 482423 721289 3518421 333 170266300566 130261 387 247 53 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 299272 531014 171128 197 195263283546 88305 376 246 52 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 292262 41517 201218 186 156238263501 107242 417 225 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEMIL 2% 342309 571027 221308 144 182256293549 111281 386 251 56 -18 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXMIL 2% 33 0000 010 00 180254293547 112277 330 250 56 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEMIL 27% 204183 34614 14765 82 184258296554 112281 377 253 57 -10 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.7
202827 MLB CTXMIL 27% 5550 8101 4211 21 182257296552 113277 387 252 57 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5550 8101 4211 21 160236240476 80250 387 252 53 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 9512012 4724812 2412 161237242479 81251 387 252 53 -33 +0 +0 -4 +14 -2.3
Career— MLE — 15541386 245431329 10759951 9321 177261289550 113283 397 247 53 -19 +1 +0 -2 +8 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 10218512 4525121 399 176260286547 110281 397 247 53 -34 +2 +0 -4 +14 -2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 292 PAwOBA .292 → .225 (−67)K% 33.9% → 41.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.90%÷1.000×1.220——41.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.93%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9886.67%
HBP% /PA2.74%—×0.840—×0.9882.27%
Singles /BIP22.08%÷1.000×0.920×0.966×0.98819.39%
Doubles /BIP3.90%÷1.000×0.910×0.966×0.9883.38%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.000×0.880×0.966×0.9880.55%
Home runs /BIP6.49%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9885.13%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .292 → .225; ISO .150 → .114; BABIP .281 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 280 PAwOBA .311 → .241 (−69)K% 30.7% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.71%÷0.995×1.220——37.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.21%÷1.045×0.680—×0.9985.33%
HBP% /PA2.14%—×0.840—×0.9981.80%
Singles /BIP27.61%÷1.017×0.920×0.950×0.99823.67%
Doubles /BIP7.36%÷0.955×0.910×0.950×0.9986.65%
Triples /BIP0.61%÷0.941×0.880×0.950×0.9980.54%
Home runs /BIP3.07%÷1.103×0.800—×0.9982.22%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .311 → .241; ISO .116 → .089; BABIP .362 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 19 PAwOBA .383 → .316 (−67)K% 26.3% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.32%÷0.978×1.200——32.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.027×0.690—×1.03310.96%
HBP% /PA10.53%—×0.940—×1.03310.22%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.051×0.930—×1.03320.30%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.830—×1.0330.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷0.903×0.700—×1.0338.90%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .383 → .316; ISO .214 → .169; BABIP .250 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 445 PAwOBA .315 → .237 (−77)K% 30.3% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.34%÷1.014×1.270——38.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷0.998×0.710—×0.9887.27%
HBP% /PA4.27%—×0.790—×0.9883.33%
Singles /BIP19.59%÷1.034×0.920×0.964×0.98816.60%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷0.962×0.810×0.964×0.9884.58%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.150×0.850×0.964×0.9882.01%
Home runs /BIP4.90%÷0.935×0.800—×0.9884.14%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .315 → .237; ISO .168 → .127; BABIP .296 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 37 PAwOBA .475 → .366 (−109)K% 29.7% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.73%÷1.029×1.360——39.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.11%÷0.993×0.690—×0.9805.52%
HBP% /PA5.41%—×0.780—×0.9804.13%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.065×0.920—×0.98024.18%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.032×0.830—×0.9807.51%
Triples /BIP19.05%÷0.960×0.910—×0.98017.69%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.888×0.800—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .475 → .366; ISO .312 → .253; BABIP .571 → .494. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AJupiter Hammerheads · 122 PAwOBA .370 → .288 (−82)K% 29.5% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.51%÷1.039×1.360——38.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.11%÷0.996×0.690—×0.9909.00%
HBP% /PA4.10%—×0.780—×0.9903.16%
Singles /BIP20.97%÷0.985×0.920×0.976×0.99018.91%
Doubles /BIP12.90%÷1.031×0.830×0.976×0.99010.03%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.150×0.910×0.976×0.9902.47%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷0.924×0.800—×0.9904.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .370 → .288; ISO .214 → .168; BABIP .390 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).