Davis Diaz — OGILVIE

Davis DiazC Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 188 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION228 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .311 / .331

PA152

HR2

K%19

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$12M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$43M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	56	11	3	0	0	5	12	7	0	0	196	338	250	588	54	250	18	7	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	53	12	3	0	0	8	9	7	0	0	226	397	283	680	57	273	13	12	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	432	382	68	13	2	2	38	91	7	8	4	178	265	238	503	60	224	21	9	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	432	363	84	17	3	2	57	66	7	8	4	231	347	311	658	80	273	15	13	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	228	204	55	13	0	5	17	42	7	7	1	270	346	407	753	137	318	18	7	328	109	+2	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.4
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	228	197	62	15	0	6	24	32	7	7	1	315	408	482	890	168	352	14	11	398	163	+16	+1	+0	+4	+6	2.8
ROS	23	A+	OAK	0%	152	136	32	7	0	2	12	29	3	3	1	235	311	331	642	96	285	19	8	294	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	275	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	OAK	—	229	205	55	13	0	5	17	42	7	7	1	268	345	405	750	137	316	18	7	328	109	+2	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.4
TOT	23	A+	OAK	—	380	340	87	20	0	7	29	71	10	10	2	256	332	376	709	121	304	19	8	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	450	401	94	20	1	6	37	87	9	7	2	234	313	334	647	100	284	19	8	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.4
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	479	427	102	21	2	8	40	93	9	7	2	239	317	354	671	115	285	19	8	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	496	442	106	22	2	9	41	97	10	7	2	240	318	360	678	120	285	20	8	305	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	501	443	107	22	2	9	43	99	10	7	2	242	323	361	684	120	285	20	9	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.0
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	499	444	106	22	2	9	43	99	9	7	2	239	319	358	677	119	285	20	9	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.8
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	492	438	102	21	1	8	42	99	9	6	2	233	313	340	653	107	284	20	9	302	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.6
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	482	428	100	21	1	8	42	98	9	6	2	234	315	343	659	110	283	20	9	300	87	-7	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2034	31	MLB	OAK	52%	455	405	93	19	1	7	39	94	8	5	1	230	310	333	643	104	280	21	9	295	84	-8	+1	-3	+8	+13	1.1
2035	32	MLB	OAK	52%	424	377	85	17	1	6	36	89	8	5	1	225	306	324	630	98	277	21	8	290	80	-10	+1	-4	+8	+12	0.7
2036	33	MLB	OAK	56%	384	341	75	15	1	5	33	83	7	4	1	220	302	314	616	94	273	22	9	283	75	-11	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.3
2037	34	MLB	OAK	51%	331	294	63	12	1	4	28	73	6	3	1	214	296	303	598	88	267	22	8	274	68	-12	+0	-5	+6	+9	-0.1
2038	35	MLB	OAK	47%	275	245	50	9	1	3	23	63	5	2	1	204	286	286	571	82	261	23	8	264	61	-12	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	136	121	28	6	0	2	11	26	3	2	1	231	311	331	642	99	282	19	8	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	212	188	44	9	1	3	18	41	4	3	1	234	314	340	655	106	282	19	8	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	252	224	53	11	1	4	21	49	5	4	1	237	316	348	664	112	283	19	8	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	263	234	55	11	1	5	22	52	5	4	1	235	314	355	669	120	283	20	8	289	79	-6	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.7
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	266	236	56	11	1	5	23	53	5	4	1	237	318	356	674	119	282	20	9	288	79	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	259	230	54	11	1	4	22	52	5	3	1	235	315	343	659	109	282	20	8	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.5
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	251	222	52	11	1	4	22	51	5	3	1	234	317	347	664	113	280	20	9	283	75	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2034	31	MLB	OAK	52%	236	210	49	10	1	4	20	49	4	3	1	233	312	348	660	114	278	21	8	279	72	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2035	32	MLB	OAK	52%	219	194	44	9	1	3	19	46	4	2	1	227	309	330	639	103	275	21	9	274	68	-8	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.0
2036	33	MLB	OAK	56%	215	191	41	8	0	3	18	46	4	2	1	215	296	304	599	89	271	21	8	267	63	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	OAK	51%	170	151	31	6	0	2	14	38	3	2	0	205	286	285	570	79	265	22	8	259	56	-8	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.3
2038	35	MLB	OAK	47%	129	115	22	4	0	1	11	30	2	1	0	191	273	252	526	61	259	23	9	250	49	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2609	2317	529	107	8	40	221	533	49	33	10	228	309	333	642	105	278	20	8	279	72	-83	+3	-13	+47	+74	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	132	27	2	10	55	133	12	8	2	229	309	334	643	106	279	20	8	279	72	-21	+1	-3	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5920	5259	1194	244	18	86	502	1206	116	77	24	227	308	329	638	102	277	20	8	290	80	-133	+6	-25	+106	+168	12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	131	27	2	9	55	132	13	8	3	227	308	328	636	101	278	20	8	290	80	-15	+0	-3	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	53	12	3	0	0	8	9	7	0	0	226	397	283	680	57	273	13	12	334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	242	211	46	7	0	2	28	38	1	2	1	218	312	280	592	62	254	16	12	276	70	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	190	152	38	10	3	0	29	28	6	6	3	250	390	355	746	105	299	15	15	342	120	+4	+0	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,609	41	32	232	309	340	+42	+24	7.2	6.6
	/162	664	11	8	232	309	340	+10.7	+6.1	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	40	25	40	50	256/332/376	121	304	7	10	19%	8%	99	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	47	36→30	40	48	217/303/275	58	294	4	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	231/316/301	70	322	3	5	27%	8%	78	+0.2	238/330/299	62	337	1	3	26%	9%	80	+0.1
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Roy Morales 2018 · A	23	50	37→30	49→45	50	234/300/300	66	275	4	8	16%	7%	70	-0.3	228/291/302	74	282	4	10	19%	7%	66	-0.6	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Angelo Amendolare 2016 · AAA	23	47	37→30	44→50	51	220/293/292	73	263	4	7	18%	8%	66	-0.6	228/299/298	70	312	3	9	26%	8%	69	-0.4	241/317/283	43	341	0	10	26%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Brian Serven 2018 · A	23	42	37→45	40→30	45	200/257/277	77	250	4	6	21%	6%	46	-2.0	189/243/292	103	253	9	4	28%	5%	44	-2.1	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Stephen Wickens 2012 · A	23	45→44	36→40	40→55	49	207/280/282	75	258	2	5	20%	8%	57	-1.2	227/302/302	75	282	3	12	19%	8%	72	-0.2	223/296/292	69	277	3	15	19%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Brallan Perez 2019 · A	23	53	35→30	42→50	45	246/300/305	58	305	3	7	20%	6%	70	-0.3	218/277/277	59	287	3	8	24%	6%	53	-1.5	197/258/230	32	262	2	8	24%	6%	30	-1.7
✕Blake Ochoa 2009 · A	23	44	40→45	40	45	213/266/308	96	269	8	5	24%	6%	57	-1.2	237/296/383	146	289	16	5	23%	7%	90	+1.0	247/310/422	174	290	22	2	22%	7%	106	+0.7
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Juan Fuentes 2008 · A	22	48	36→40	46→40	47	226/275/296	70	271	2	5	17%	6%	57	-1.2	239/291/321	82	297	4	4	19%	7%	70	-0.3	271/325/363	92	329	4	0	18%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Justin Viele 2014 · A	23	46	38→30	47→50	51	216/296/290	74	273	5	10	22%	9%	66	-0.6	194/261/262	68	287	4	8	31%	7%	44	-2.1	106/169/132	26	180	0	6	38%	4%	-31	-1.3
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2013 · A	23	46→51	35→30	40→50	46	216/280/278	63	275	2	7	22%	7%	56	-1.3	223/286/281	58	273	3	10	18%	7%	59	-1.1	225/290/273	48	271	3	12	17%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Chris Clare 2018 · A	23	46→45	38→30	47→40	47	217/293/289	73	284	5	5	24%	8%	65	-0.7	192/269/259	67	259	4	5	25%	8%	47	-1.9	167/250/222	55	227	2	4	25%	8%	27	-1.8
✕James Guerrero 2007 · A	23	43→46	39→40	39→45	53	204/284/288	84	238	6	6	17%	9%	61	-1.0	206/293/291	85	259	6	8	21%	10%	66	-0.6	196/294/272	75	250	5	8	22%	11%	59	-0.5
✕Yhoxian Medina 2013 · A	23	43→53	36→30	44→50	48	202/278/267	65	267	4	6	24%	8%	53	-1.5	234/291/298	64	299	2	9	21%	7%	65	-0.7	247/301/303	56	311	1	11	19%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Dixon Mavares 2008 · A	22	46	35→30	47→50	50	212/288/274	62	252	2	11	16%	7%	59	-1.1	224/295/299	75	271	4	9	17%	8%	68	-0.5	241/316/306	65	285	2	11	15%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jhonny Pereda 2019 · A	23	45	39→45	42→40	45	219/269/296	77	269	7	4	21%	6%	55	-1.4	209/265/280	71	256	4	4	19%	7%	50	-1.8	279/349/386	107	370	8	0	25%	9%	107	+1.0
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/270	70	282	5	5	29%	7%	44	-2.1	202/252/250	48	271	3	6	25%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Richard Rodriguez 2016 · A	23	54	34→30	43→50	48	251/299/297	46	305	1	9	18%	6%	67	-0.5	211/252/271	60	282	3	8	25%	5%	41	-2.3	148/174/156	8	197	0	7	24%	3%	-26	-1.4
✕J.J. Franco 2015 · A	23	49	37→30	39→45	44	234/290/302	68	299	5	6	23%	6%	66	-0.6	208/265/268	60	282	3	5	25%	7%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5