Creed Willems

C Norfolk Tides

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #374Pre-ArbFA 2033

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AABAL	434	.253/.340/.441	16	1	82	—	.230/.298/.368
2026	23	AAABAL	453	.254/.355/.414	19	0	79	—	.221/.299/.334
2027PROJ10% MLB	24	MLBBAL	32	.228/.297/.365	1	0	84	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	25	MLBBAL	122	.231/.300/.376	4	0	87	0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	26	MLBBAL	189	.232/.302/.382	6	1	89	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$2M2031Arb-2$3M2032Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV78

K%57

BB%51

Whiff%47

Z-Con%44

Chase%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 72%

CompsRonaldo Hernández (age 25) · Austin Allen (age 25) · Lenyn Sosa (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .297 / .365

PA32

HR1

K%25

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO138

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED24

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	1	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	7	245	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	221	42	9	4	4	14	68	9	0	0	190	266	321	588	131	252	28	6	266	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	311	276	53	8	0	9	26	86	4	0	1	192	271	319	590	127	237	28	8	266	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	120	96	29	6	0	8	20	29	4	2	0	302	442	615	1.056	313	356	24	17	457	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	69	65	17	3	0	4	2	13	0	1	0	262	284	492	776	231	260	19	3	328	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	326	281	67	18	2	13	35	68	6	1	1	238	335	456	791	217	266	21	11	347	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	87	80	27	5	1	2	6	14	1	0	0	338	391	500	891	162	391	16	7	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	379	96	21	1	16	38	83	12	1	2	253	340	441	781	187	283	19	9	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	453	382	97	4	0	19	51	98	9	0	0	254	355	414	769	160	284	22	11	340	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	191	36	4	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	225	35	7	3	3	10	87	9	0	0	156	221	253	475	98	228	35	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	311	287	42	6	0	8	15	114	4	0	1	146	199	251	450	105	194	37	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	120	103	23	4	0	6	13	39	4	2	0	223	333	437	770	214	292	32	11	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	69	66	14	2	0	3	1	16	0	1	0	212	224	379	603	167	234	23	1	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	326	294	53	14	1	11	22	90	6	1	1	180	252	347	598	167	211	28	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	391	90	19	1	11	26	97	12	1	2	230	298	368	667	138	271	22	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	453	398	88	3	0	14	35	118	9	0	0	221	299	334	633	113	257	26	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	200	36	4	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	2	7	2	0	1	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	7	245	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	225	35	7	3	3	10	87	9	0	0	156	221	253	475	98	234	35	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	221	42	9	4	4	14	68	9	0	0	190	266	321	588	131	252	28	6	266	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	431	389	66	10	0	15	29	153	8	2	1	170	242	311	553	141	226	35	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	431	372	82	14	0	17	46	115	8	2	1	220	319	395	714	175	265	27	11	319	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	440	84	20	2	17	29	129	7	2	1	191	252	361	613	170	224	27	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	482	426	111	26	3	19	43	95	7	2	1	261	338	469	808	209	290	20	9	353	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	391	90	19	1	11	26	97	12	1	2	230	298	368	667	138	276	22	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	379	96	21	1	16	38	83	12	1	2	253	340	441	781	187	283	19	9	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	453	398	88	3	0	14	35	118	9	0	0	221	299	334	633	113	268	26	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	453	382	97	4	0	19	51	98	9	0	0	254	355	414	769	160	284	22	11	340	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	1	10	2	0	1	120	214	160	374	40	191	36	4	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	246	225	35	7	3	3	10	87	9	0	0	156	221	253	475	98	228	35	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	431	391	66	10	0	15	29	153	8	2	1	169	242	309	551	141	221	35	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	443	84	20	2	17	29	129	7	2	1	190	252	359	611	169	215	27	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	393	90	19	1	11	26	97	12	1	2	229	298	366	665	137	271	22	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	453	406	88	3	0	14	35	118	9	0	0	217	299	328	626	111	257	26	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	482	443	84	20	2	17	29	129	7	2	1	190	252	359	611	169	215	27	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	434	393	90	19	1	11	26	97	12	1	2	229	298	366	665	137	271	22	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	453	406	88	3	0	14	35	118	9	0	0	217	299	328	626	111	257	26	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	380	343	77	10	1	11	26	95	8	2	1	224	293	356	649	132	273	25	7	292	84	-7	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	32	29	7	1	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	228	297	365	662	137	277	25	6	297	84	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	33%	370	334	76	10	1	12	26	92	7	1	1	227	297	366	663	139	275	25	7	297	87	-6	-0	-2	+7	+8	0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	407	367	84	12	1	13	29	100	8	1	1	228	299	372	671	143	276	25	7	300	89	-5	-0	-2	+7	+9	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	420	379	86	12	1	13	30	104	8	1	1	228	299	371	670	143	276	25	7	300	89	-5	-0	-2	+8	+9	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	425	384	86	12	1	13	31	105	7	1	1	227	298	368	666	141	276	25	7	299	88	-6	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	420	379	86	12	1	13	31	105	7	1	0	226	296	364	660	138	275	25	7	296	86	-7	+0	-4	+8	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	414	374	83	12	1	12	30	105	7	1	0	223	292	356	648	133	273	25	7	291	83	-8	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	389	352	77	11	1	11	28	100	6	1	0	218	287	346	633	127	270	26	7	285	79	-10	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	361	327	70	10	0	10	25	94	6	0	0	213	281	333	615	120	266	26	7	278	74	-11	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	33%	122	110	25	3	0	4	9	30	2	0	0	231	300	376	676	145	279	25	7	303	87	-2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	189	169	39	6	0	6	14	47	4	1	0	232	302	382	684	149	280	25	7	306	89	-2	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	219	197	46	7	0	7	16	54	4	0	0	232	303	381	683	148	280	25	7	305	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	236	213	50	7	1	8	17	58	4	0	0	231	301	378	679	146	280	25	7	304	88	-3	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	236	213	48	7	0	7	17	59	4	0	0	230	300	373	673	143	279	25	7	301	86	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	234	211	47	7	0	7	17	59	4	0	0	227	296	365	661	138	277	25	7	296	83	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	221	199	43	6	0	6	16	57	4	0	0	222	291	355	645	132	274	26	7	290	79	-5	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	206	187	41	6	0	6	14	54	3	0	0	217	285	342	626	125	270	26	7	282	74	-6	+0	-3	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1663	1499	339	49	1	51	120	418	29	1	0	226	296	362	658	136	277	25	7	298	77	-31	+0	-15	+30	+36	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	132	19	0	20	47	163	11	0	0	225	295	360	655	135	276	25	7	298	77	-12	+0	-6	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5600	5053	1079	160	14	166	382	1479	109	13	10	214	283	349	632	136	265	26	7	281	77	-64	-0	-29	+63	+76	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	126	19	2	19	44	172	13	2	1	215	285	351	636	136	267	26	7	281	77	-12	-0	-5	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#4George Mitterwald'66-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,919 PA	4.4	2,919	76	14	235*	294*	396*	+47	-1	6.5	7.4
/162	664	17	3	+10.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.6	1,696	51	4	225	291	361	+30	-16	4.5	4.3
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	-6.3	1.7	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Creed Willems (OGILVIE)	24	35→42	50→55	20→24	35	222/291/353	131	273	9	1	25%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	44	50	35→45	37	229/263/382	153	275	18	2	24%	3%	79	-0.2	219/271/352	133	259	17	4	22%	5%	75	-0.5	205/264/324	119	239	16	2	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	46→53	53→60	35→40	41	239/283/406	168	286	22	2	25%	5%	93	+0.8	241/281/431	190	289	25	3	26%	5%	97	+1.1	237/280/421	184	287	24	0	26%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Lenyn Sosa 2024 · MLB	24	46→53	49→50	36→40	39	236/269/376	140	287	18	3	25%	4%	79	-0.2	242/274/383	141	292	18	4	23%	4%	83	+0.1	242/273/379	136	290	18	3	23%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2018 · MLB	24	46→54	46→50	39→40	46	229/292/361	132	296	14	3	27%	8%	84	+0.2	231/288/362	131	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.1	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	226/302/384	157	284	19	4	27%	8%	94	+0.9	217/290/338	121	306	12	4	31%	9%	79	-0.2	202/280/307	105	288	10	3	31%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	39→36	49→50	37→40	46	204/272/353	148	253	16	5	26%	8%	76	-0.4	196/250/344	148	275	18	5	35%	6%	65	-1.2	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	41→44	46→55	41→40	44	207/273/335	128	257	14	3	25%	6%	72	-0.7	211/272/370	159	286	20	3	32%	7%	80	-0.1	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Drew Ellis 2021 · AA	25	40→38	47→55	37→40	47	206/278/343	137	265	15	3	28%	8%	76	-0.4	202/292/370	168	265	18	5	29%	10%	88	+0.4	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	39→41	46→45	38→30	41	191/287/320	129	294	14	2	37%	8%	75	-0.5	199/302/320	121	292	12	3	34%	8%	81	-0.1	177/295/278	101	266	11	1	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→45	50→55	39→40	45	214/272/365	151	255	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/279/378	155	271	18	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1	252/317/421	169	318	16	4	25%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Jett Bandy 2015 · AA	25	44	46→50	38→45	44	222/284/350	129	254	14	4	19%	5%	80	-0.2	227/286/361	134	270	16	4	22%	5%	83	+0.1	223/282/358	135	265	17	2	22%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Emerson Frostad 2007 · A	24	47	49→50	38→40	45	237/291/393	156	291	17	5	24%	7%	92	+0.7	219/277/349	130	283	13	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	206/270/323	116	265	11	3	25%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	41→43	50	36→30	50	215/293/365	150	260	19	2	25%	9%	86	+0.3	211/278/346	135	271	15	5	27%	7%	76	-0.4	174/243/288	114	217	12	0	25%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Matt Dominguez 2014 · MLB	24	46→48	49→50	38→30	45	235/279/376	141	253	17	2	16%	5%	83	+0.1	221/261/344	123	249	16	2	18%	4%	69	-0.9	220/253/332	112	248	14	1	18%	3%	60	-1.2
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	46→50	46→50	41→40	41	231/279/355	124	299	14	5	27%	6%	78	-0.3	228/278/368	140	284	16	4	25%	6%	81	-0.1	223/275/367	144	271	17	2	24%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	51→50	41→30	50	208/291/361	154	264	19	3	29%	10%	85	+0.2	201/283/316	115	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	183/271/276	93	265	9	1	32%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Bobby Wilson 2007 · AA	24	51→52	45→50	35→40	46	250/292/376	126	277	13	3	16%	5%	88	+0.4	246/293/362	116	287	11	4	18%	6%	84	+0.2	246/295/355	109	295	10	0	20%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Alvin Colina 2006 · AA	24	45	46→45	38→40	42	226/281/349	122	285	15	5	26%	6%	78	-0.3	206/252/323	117	270	13	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	207/259/330	123	274	15	3	30%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Matthew Brown 2008 · AAA	25	45→49	49→55	39→45	43	227/286/384	156	293	16	6	28%	6%	88	+0.4	220/275/376	156	282	17	6	27%	6%	82	+0.0	207/262/359	151	264	16	5	28%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Drew Ward 2019 · AAA	24	46→48	45→50	40→30	45	221/294/345	124	317	13	2	32%	9%	82	-0.0	216/275/365	149	344	18	4	40%	7%	80	-0.2	200/254/358	158	328	21	2	44%	6%	68	-0.5

Creed Willems

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps