Satchell Norman — OGILVIE

Satchell NormanC Carolina Mudcats

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 200 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .265 / .301

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	35	8	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	1	229	289	257	547	29	348	32	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	32	11	2	0	0	5	8	1	4	1	344	447	406	854	62	458	21	13	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	113	98	21	4	0	3	12	40	1	8	3	214	306	347	653	133	316	35	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	113	91	28	6	0	3	19	26	1	8	3	308	432	473	905	165	391	23	17	399	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	108	17	5	1	0	6	42	0	7	1	157	202	222	424	65	258	37	5	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	105	22	6	1	0	9	30	0	7	1	210	272	286	558	76	293	26	8	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	MIL	—	76	70	14	3	0	1	5	24	1	2	0	200	263	286	549	86	288	32	7	259	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIL	30%	131	119	25	5	1	2	10	40	1	3	1	210	277	319	596	109	289	31	8	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB	MIL	44%	235	214	46	9	1	5	17	70	2	5	1	215	279	336	615	121	290	30	7	274	68	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2029	27	MLB	MIL	49%	299	272	58	11	2	6	23	88	2	6	1	213	279	335	614	121	290	29	8	276	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2030	28	MLB	MIL	51%	340	308	67	13	2	7	26	100	3	7	1	218	285	341	626	123	289	29	8	276	70	-12	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.4
2031	29	MLB	MIL	51%	359	325	69	13	2	7	28	106	3	6	1	212	281	329	610	117	288	30	8	274	68	-13	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.3
2032	30	MLB	MIL	51%	370	335	70	13	2	7	29	110	3	6	1	209	278	322	600	113	287	30	8	272	66	-14	+1	-2	+7	+10	0.2
2027	25	MLB	MIL	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	287	31	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB	MIL	44%	104	94	21	4	1	2	8	31	1	2	0	223	291	351	642	128	287	30	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB	MIL	49%	146	133	28	5	1	3	11	43	1	3	1	211	276	331	607	120	287	29	8	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB	MIL	51%	175	159	33	6	1	3	13	51	1	3	1	208	272	314	586	107	287	29	7	268	63	-7	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	29	MLB	MIL	51%	185	167	35	7	1	3	14	55	2	3	1	210	279	317	596	108	286	30	8	266	62	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2032	30	MLB	MIL	51%	190	171	36	7	1	3	15	57	2	3	1	211	282	316	598	105	285	30	8	263	60	-9	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	839	760	160	30	5	15	64	249	7	15	4	211	278	322	600	112	289	30	8	266	62	-36	+1	-2	+15	+24	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	124	23	4	12	50	193	5	12	3	211	278	324	602	114	289	30	8	266	62	-28	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2075	1884	395	77	11	38	158	632	17	54	11	210	277	323	600	113	291	30	8	269	64	-84	+6	-4	+37	+59	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	123	24	3	12	49	198	5	17	3	208	274	320	595	112	290	30	8	269	64	-26	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	32	11	2	0	0	5	8	1	4	1	344	447	406	854	62	458	21	13	393	159	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	113	91	28	6	0	3	19	26	1	8	3	308	432	473	905	165	391	23	17	399	164	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	105	22	6	1	0	9	30	0	7	1	210	272	286	558	76	293	26	8	256	54	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	916	17	17	212	276	328	+16	+16	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	12	12	212	276	328	+11.9	+11.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Satchell Norman (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	202/265/301	99	288	1	2	31%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	34→42	42→45	47→50	34	170/231/269	99	302	11	12	45%	7%	33	-2.9	190/257/305	115	308	11	15	39%	7%	54	-1.4	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	51	-1.7	209/280/310	101	283	7	8	27%	8%	64	-0.8	206/280/308	102	277	6	6	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	41→40	43→50	47→45	39	202/257/309	107	296	12	10	35%	7%	54	-1.4	210/259/358	148	290	18	5	33%	6%	68	-0.5	196/241/340	144	262	19	2	33%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Jalen Washington 2019 · A	24	40	40→45	47→45	45	195/267/287	92	272	8	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	202/269/311	109	272	10	9	28%	7%	60	-1.0	178/248/292	114	229	11	8	26%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Lamar Sparks 2023 · A	24	44	41→45	49→50	42	210/274/312	101	313	9	10	34%	8%	62	-0.9	214/276/323	109	400	9	17	44%	8%	66	-0.6	210/273/318	108	396	9	19	46%	8%	59	-0.7