Satchell Norman — OGILVIE

Satchell NormanC Carolina Mudcats

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 200 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .264 / .298

PA6

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	32	11	2	0	0	5	8	1	4	1	344	447	406	854	62	458	21	13	393	152	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	113	91	28	6	0	3	19	26	1	8	3	308	432	473	905	165	391	23	17	399	156	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	105	22	6	1	0	9	30	0	7	1	210	272	286	558	76	293	26	8	256	59	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	35	8	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	1	229	289	257	547	29	373	32	5	279	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	113	98	21	4	0	2	12	39	1	8	3	214	306	316	623	102	306	35	11	285	79	-3	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	108	18	5	1	0	6	42	0	7	1	167	211	231	442	65	257	37	5	185	11	-12	+1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	35	8	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	1	229	289	257	547	29	348	32	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	32	11	2	0	0	5	8	1	4	1	344	447	406	854	62	458	21	13	393	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	113	98	21	4	0	2	12	39	1	8	3	214	306	316	623	102	322	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	113	91	28	6	0	3	19	26	1	8	3	308	432	473	905	165	391	23	17	399	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	108	18	5	1	0	6	42	0	7	1	167	211	231	442	65	273	37	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	105	22	6	1	0	9	30	0	7	1	210	272	286	558	76	293	26	8	256	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	38	35	8	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	1	229	289	257	547	29	373	32	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	113	99	21	4	0	2	12	39	1	8	3	212	306	313	619	101	306	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	107	18	5	1	0	6	42	0	7	1	168	211	234	444	65	257	37	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	113	99	21	4	0	2	12	39	1	8	3	212	306	313	619	101	306	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	114	107	18	5	1	0	6	42	0	7	1	168	211	234	444	65	257	37	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		289	33	0	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	30%	131	119	25	5	1	2	10	40	1	3	1	210	277	319	596	109	289	31	8	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	44%	235	214	45	9	1	4	17	70	2	5	1	210	275	318	592	107	289	30	7	272	70	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	299	272	58	11	2	6	23	88	2	6	1	213	279	335	614	121	289	29	8	275	72	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	340	308	66	12	2	7	26	100	3	7	1	214	282	334	616	120	289	29	8	275	72	-11	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	359	325	69	13	2	7	28	106	3	6	1	212	281	329	610	117	288	30	8	273	71	-12	+1	-1	+6	+8	0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	370	335	70	13	2	7	29	111	3	6	1	209	278	322	600	113	287	30	8	270	69	-14	+1	-2	+7	+8	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	287	31	8	261	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	44%	104	94	21	4	1	2	8	31	1	2	0	223	291	351	642	128	288	30	8	267	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	146	133	28	5	1	3	11	43	1	3	1	211	276	331	607	120	288	29	8	269	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	175	159	34	6	1	4	13	52	1	3	1	214	277	340	617	126	287	30	7	270	72	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	185	167	36	7	1	4	14	55	2	3	1	216	284	341	625	126	286	30	8	268	71	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	190	171	37	7	1	4	15	57	2	3	1	216	287	339	626	123	285	30	8	265	69	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	839	760	163	30	5	18	64	250	7	15	4	214	282	338	620	124	292	30	8	267	68	-29	+1	-2	+15	+18	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	126	23	4	14	50	194	5	12	3	214	281	338	619	124	291	30	8	267	68	-23	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2005	1820	381	73	11	35	153	610	16	52	11	209	277	319	596	110	292	30	8	268	68	-61	+4	-4	+31	+38	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	124	24	4	11	50	198	5	17	4	210	278	320	598	110	294	30	8	268	68	-23	+2	-2	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	916	17	17	212	275	326	+16	+16	1.0	1.0
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+11.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Satchell Norman (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	201/264/298	97	289	1	2	31%	7%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→50	50→45	33	174/221/277	103	286	10	9	42%	5%	38	-3.2	186/241/326	140	295	17	10	41%	5%	58	-1.7	164/222/309	144	249	20	10	42%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	205/266/301	96	298	7	10	32%	8%	61	-1.5	190/261/305	115	269	10	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	41	42→50	49→50	43	202/263/308	106	276	10	11	30%	7%	61	-1.5	185/246/300	115	257	13	11	32%	6%	54	-2.0	146/220/249	103	210	14	11	37%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Nicholas Moresi 2009 · A	24	40→39	42→45	50→45	36	196/248/298	103	292	9	10	35%	5%	53	-2.1	192/232/297	105	294	9	5	36%	4%	47	-2.6	179/214/286	106	275	8	2	37%	3%	34	-1.9
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	36→46	43→45	47→50	34	179/237/284	104	302	12	12	43%	6%	47	-2.6	194/261/311	117	308	11	15	38%	7%	62	-1.4	219/287/336	117	327	11	16	34%	7%	74	-0.5
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	40	45→50	49→45	36	202/256/323	121	297	12	10	35%	5%	63	-1.4	207/269/354	147	293	17	5	34%	7%	75	-0.5	199/265/350	151	277	19	2	34%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Brandon Downes 2017 · A	24	38→35	44→50	49→50	32	188/237/310	122	297	11	13	39%	5%	52	-2.2	193/249/334	141	296	16	9	39%	6%	63	-1.4	178/238/334	157	254	20	6	38%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Beau Philip 2023 · A	24	37→36	42→40	50	38	177/249/269	92	310	11	13	43%	8%	48	-2.5	196/270/293	97	328	10	9	40%	8%	61	-1.5	169/254/257	88	289	9	3	41%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps