Jaime Ferrer — OGILVIE

Jaime FerrerOF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 218 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION454 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP274

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	78	21	8	0	0	6	10	8	6	1	269	380	372	752	103	304	11	6	345	120	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	319	69	20	2	5	23	84	16	1	1	216	296	339	634	122	270	23	6	282	77	-10	-0	—	—	+8	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	79	18	7	0	0	5	14	8	6	1	228	337	316	653	89	270	15	5	297	87	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	333	58	15	2	4	16	116	16	1	1	174	247	267	514	93	232	31	4	226	39	-27	-0	—	—	+8	-2.0
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	79	18	7	0	0	5	14	8	6	1	228	337	316	653	89	273	15	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	78	21	8	0	0	6	10	8	6	1	269	380	372	752	103	304	11	6	345	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	333	58	15	2	4	16	116	16	1	1	174	247	267	514	93	245	31	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	319	69	20	2	5	23	84	16	1	1	216	296	339	634	122	270	23	6	282	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	80	18	7	0	0	5	14	8	6	1	225	337	312	649	87	270	15	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	338	58	15	2	4	16	116	16	1	1	172	247	263	510	92	232	31	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	80	18	7	0	0	5	14	8	6	1	225	337	312	649	87	270	15	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	373	338	58	15	2	4	16	116	16	1	1	172	247	263	510	92	232	31	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	MIN	—	454	407	85	15	1	12	28	137	19	9	1	209	291	339	630	130	283	30	6	274	72	-15	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	MIN	—	146	119	33	4	0	9	21	33	6	0	0	277	411	538	949	261	312	23	14	418	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	MIN	—	308	275	64	14	1	6	19	76	13	9	1	233	312	356	668	124	301	25	6	305	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	MIN	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		274	30	10	273	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	MIN	—	464	416	86	15	1	12	29	140	19	9	1	207	289	334	623	127	280	30	6	274	72	-16	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	31%	441	397	82	17	1	9	26	123	15	6	1	207	281	322	603	116	277	28	6	280	76	-13	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	470	423	92	19	2	11	29	128	15	6	1	217	291	350	641	132	278	27	6	286	79	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	487	438	95	19	2	12	31	131	15	7	1	217	291	352	643	135	279	27	6	289	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	491	441	96	19	2	12	32	132	15	7	1	218	293	351	645	134	279	27	7	290	82	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	489	438	95	19	2	12	33	132	15	6	1	217	294	352	646	135	278	27	7	289	82	-11	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	481	431	92	19	1	11	32	131	15	6	1	213	291	339	630	125	277	27	7	287	80	-11	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	31%	137	123	25	5	0	3	8	38	5	2	0	203	279	317	596	114	277	28	6	256	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	209	187	41	8	1	5	13	57	7	3	0	219	295	353	648	134	278	27	6	263	79	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	248	222	49	10	1	6	16	67	8	3	1	221	297	356	653	135	279	27	6	266	82	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	258	231	50	10	1	6	17	69	8	3	1	216	293	346	639	130	279	27	7	268	82	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	261	234	50	10	1	6	17	71	8	3	1	214	290	342	631	128	279	27	7	267	82	-6	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	253	226	49	10	1	6	17	69	8	3	0	217	295	350	644	133	278	27	7	265	80	-6	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1366	1223	264	53	5	32	88	371	44	17	3	216	292	346	638	130	281	27	6	265	76	-32	+2	-1	-8	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	125	25	2	15	42	177	21	8	1	215	291	342	633	127	280	27	6	265	76	-15	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3335	2989	629	134	12	71	205	910	114	45	8	210	287	335	621	124	275	27	6	280	76	-68	+5	-2	-17	+62	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	122	26	2	14	40	177	22	9	2	209	285	333	618	123	273	27	6	280	76	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,372	32	18	216	288	346	-8	+0	0.0	0.1
/162	664	15	9	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaime Ferrer (OGILVIE)	23	35	35	40	25	203/278/316	113	274	6	5	29%	5%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alika Williams 2022 · A	23	46→44	39→45	42→45	40	223/261/311	88	285	7	8	24%	4%	61	-1.5	218/276/318	100	282	9	7	25%	7%	69	-0.9	238/286/342	104	298	8	5	22%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Anthony Villa 2017 · A	23	41	39→45	41→30	43	198/274/289	91	261	6	3	25%	6%	63	-1.4	209/293/338	129	317	13	3	35%	9%	80	-0.1	199/292/342	143	314	15	1	38%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jeremy Farrell 2010 · A	23	45→38	41→45	43→45	40	215/275/310	95	303	8	4	30%	6%	66	-1.1	226/288/335	109	310	9	6	28%	6%	77	-0.3	219/285/319	100	302	8	5	28%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Cam Balego 2018 · A	23	45→40	39→45	41→30	45	215/281/311	97	293	5	6	27%	7%	69	-0.9	209/278/303	94	276	8	3	26%	6%	67	-1.1	201/277/296	95	259	11	1	26%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Josh Petersen 2007 · A	24	42	40	45→40	36	207/244/298	91	283	8	5	30%	4%	51	-2.2	235/274/332	97	305	8	5	25%	4%	71	-0.8	252/293/347	94	319	7	4	22%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2016 · AA	23	43→47	40→45	40	42	209/260/302	93	277	7	2	27%	6%	58	-1.7	226/285/321	95	290	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	237/296/327	90	294	7	3	21%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	41→45	45→50	39	209/255/305	96	283	9	11	29%	5%	57	-1.8	226/286/347	121	297	13	9	27%	6%	79	-0.2	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jaime Trejo 2008 · AAA	24	43→32	40	43→50	38	210/254/302	92	279	8	7	27%	4%	56	-1.9	236/290/338	102	282	10	11	19%	5%	78	-0.3	258/318/352	94	301	9	13	17%	6%	90	+0.3
✕Pedro Castellanos 2021 · A	23	47→46	40→45	44→45	39	227/264/316	89	278	7	7	21%	3%	63	-1.4	230/271/352	122	282	13	4	23%	4%	74	-0.5	225/263/343	118	276	14	2	24%	3%	67	-0.7
✕David Urias 2008 · AAA	23	44	39→40	37→45	38	212/246/291	79	267	7	6	23%	4%	50	-2.3	237/272/312	75	288	4	9	18%	4%	64	-1.3	285/312/357	72	333	5	6	15%	3%	86	+0.1
✕Anthony Giansanti 2012 · A	23	43→38	43→40	44→45	43	211/258/321	110	255	10	6	22%	5%	62	-1.4	222/267/308	86	279	6	6	22%	5%	62	-1.4	231/275/294	63	291	3	5	21%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Jimmy Herron 2019 · A	23	45	44→45	41→55	46	222/285/331	109	272	12	6	23%	7%	76	-0.4	197/269/292	95	258	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Lazaro Benitez 2023 · A	23	42	40→45	45→40	38	201/262/304	103	291	6	7	31%	6%	61	-1.5	219/267/307	88	303	5	6	28%	5%	62	-1.4	236/271/303	67	315	2	0	25%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	39	41→45	48→30	32	192/231/285	93	290	9	6	36%	4%	44	-2.8	198/248/282	84	293	6	6	33%	4%	50	-2.3	152/200/202	49	235	0	0	33%	2%	10	-1.2
✕Webster Rivas 2014 · A	23	43	37→40	40	44	205/254/274	69	255	5	5	21%	5%	49	-2.4	213/252/291	78	266	5	3	21%	5%	53	-2.1	217/293/305	88	282	8	1	24%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Dalton Guthrie 2019 · A	23	43→53	41→45	39→50	42	211/256/303	92	259	8	5	22%	5%	57	-1.8	208/249/302	94	268	7	7	24%	4%	54	-2.0	242/300/345	103	322	8	16	26%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→35	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/282	95	234	9	7	24%	4%	48	-2.5	200/255/288	88	257	7	6	24%	4%	54	-2.0	195/249/276	81	251	5	3	23%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Robert Pehl 2016 · A	23	44	39→40	43→40	42	215/273/297	82	283	7	5	26%	6%	63	-1.4	215/281/301	86	304	5	5	29%	7%	67	-1.1	213/284/298	85	308	2	3	29%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Paul Franko 2007 · A	23	42	41→50	44→30	42	205/277/303	98	285	9	3	30%	7%	66	-1.1	214/285/308	94	315	7	4	32%	7%	70	-0.8	231/318/360	129	326	13	0	30%	10%	95	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps