Nick McLain — OGILVIE

Nick McLainOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 S/L 5'10" / 190 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .268 / .257

PA82

HR1

K%30

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	58	50	10	2	0	0	7	24	1	4	0	200	310	240	550	40	385	41	12	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	58	46	12	2	0	0	11	17	1	4	0	261	414	304	718	43	414	29	19	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	CWS	—	123	107	19	3	0	2	14	40	0	2	1	178	273	262	534	84	254	33	11	243	44	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
YTD	23	A	CWS	—	123	99	23	4	0	2	22	28	0	2	1	232	372	333	705	101	296	23	18	325	107	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
ROS	23	A	CWS	0%	82	74	14	2	0	1	7	25	1	1	0	189	268	257	525	68	282	30	9	263	60	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	CWS	—	123	108	19	3	0	2	14	40	0	2	1	176	273	259	532	83	250	33	11	243	44	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
TOT	23	A	CWS	—	205	181	33	5	0	3	21	65	1	3	1	182	271	260	531	77	261	32	10	251	50	-11	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	226	202	42	7	1	4	20	67	2	3	1	208	286	312	598	104	286	30	9	272	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	309	277	58	10	1	6	27	90	2	4	1	209	284	318	602	108	287	29	9	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	68	62	12	2	0	1	6	20	0	1	0	194	265	274	539	81	287	29	9	269	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	136	122	26	4	1	3	12	40	1	2	0	213	289	336	625	123	288	29	9	274	68	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	204	185	38	6	1	4	18	60	1	3	0	205	281	314	594	108	279	29	9	272	66	-8	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	19	3	13	57	191	3	10	0	205	280	314	594	109	278	29	9	272	66	-25	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	675	603	124	21	2	11	61	206	6	12	2	206	285	302	587	96	290	31	9	272	66	-26	+2	+0	-4	+19	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	120	20	2	11	59	198	6	12	2	207	287	305	591	98	291	30	9	272	66	-25	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	58	46	12	2	0	0	11	17	1	4	0	261	414	304	718	43	414	29	19	345	122	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	306	6	4	211	283	319	-2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	12	9	211	283	319	-4.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick McLain (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	182/271/260	77	261	3	3	32%	10%	50	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohan Silva 2008 · A	23	41→40	42→45	47→45	47	203/270/305	102	262	9	8	26%	8%	59	-1.1	206/279/318	112	274	10	9	27%	9%	66	-0.6	166/255/273	107	220	9	8	27%	10%	42	-0.7
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	41→37	42→45	51→45	45	199/269/307	108	284	9	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/306	116	279	10	6	34%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/284	120	238	10	3	34%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→36	42→50	49→45	42	208/284/314	106	306	8	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	195/290/334	139	313	15	5	39%	10%	76	+0.1	179/286/335	156	287	19	4	41%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Zavier Warren 2022 · A	23	42→39	46→45	53→45	47	213/290/341	128	281	14	7	29%	9%	77	+0.1	190/258/315	125	256	14	7	30%	8%	57	-1.2	176/245/294	119	237	14	6	31%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Ruben Ibarra 2022 · A	23	45→35	40→50	48→30	44	206/297/298	92	315	7	6	34%	9%	70	-0.3	204/278/346	142	283	19	4	33%	7%	74	-0.1	191/265/346	155	252	23	0	33%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	41→45	49→45	46	201/266/303	102	266	8	5	27%	8%	56	-1.3	214/272/330	116	284	11	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	212/266/328	116	280	12	3	28%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	37→34	47→55	49→45	41	190/260/325	135	291	15	9	38%	8%	61	-1.0	189/263/347	158	268	20	7	36%	9%	68	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Nicholas Romero 2010 · A	23	40→42	41→40	50→45	46	198/272/295	97	268	9	6	28%	8%	58	-1.2	190/254/275	85	268	5	6	29%	7%	44	-2.1	176/239/256	80	250	4	4	29%	7%	32	-2.3
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A	23	39	40→50	47→50	40	192/250/287	95	270	7	9	30%	6%	46	-2.0	199/257/325	126	291	11	10	34%	7%	59	-1.1	238/304/382	144	312	16	12	28%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	38→36	43→45	48→50	49	189/273/296	108	264	11	14	31%	10%	59	-1.1	189/270/286	97	280	9	13	33%	9%	55	-1.4	142/231/225	83	214	8	12	35%	9%	21	-1.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→43	42→55	50	36	194/252/305	111	271	9	7	31%	4%	51	-1.7	207/256/343	136	305	15	13	36%	5%	63	-0.8	199/246/342	143	292	17	15	37%	4%	55	-0.6
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	43→45	49→50	36	172/250/279	107	313	10	6	45%	8%	45	-2.1	200/277/324	124	319	13	9	38%	8%	68	-0.5	191/267/322	131	301	15	11	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jacob Berry 2023 · A	22	43→41	42→45	46→55	43	211/288/314	103	281	10	6	27%	7%	70	-0.3	200/251/312	112	256	11	12	26%	5%	53	-1.5	205/272/308	102	253	10	23	22%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A	23	43→35	41→40	47→45	43	206/286/301	95	302	9	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	190/250/251	61	273	4	7	30%	6%	36	-2.7	166/220/202	35	237	1	6	28%	5%	7	-3.2
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0