Ty Hodge

3B Salem RidgeYaks

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 203 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	ABOS	123	.188/.322/.277	2	1	34	—	.151/.256/.226
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBBOS	200	.208/.279/.309	3	2	67	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBBOS	33	.216/.287/.324	1	0	70	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBBOS	74	.218/.289/.330	1	0	72	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%93

Whiff%68

BB%63

Z-Con%61

K%52

ISO27

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDavid Sheaffer (age 24) · Nick Quintana (age 24) · Joe Cronin (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .277 / .307

PA64

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	101	19	3	0	2	17	29	3	1	3	188	322	277	600	89	236	24	14	283	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	106	16	2	0	2	12	39	3	1	3	151	256	226	483	75	209	32	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	106	16	2	0	2	12	39	3	1	3	151	256	226	483	75	209	32	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	101	19	3	0	2	17	29	3	1	3	188	322	277	600	89	236	24	14	283	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	107	16	2	0	2	12	39	3	1	3	150	256	224	480	75	209	32	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	123	107	16	2	0	2	12	39	3	1	3	150	256	224	480	75	209	32	10	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	200	181	37	6	1	3	15	60	2	2	1	208	279	309	589	102	288	30	8	268	67	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	110	99	22	4	1	2	9	33	1	1	0	210	282	317	599	106	289	30	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	167	150	32	5	1	3	13	49	2	1	0	212	284	323	607	111	289	29	8	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	211	190	40	7	1	4	17	61	2	1	0	213	285	325	609	112	288	29	8	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	33	30	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	216	287	324	611	108	298	30	9	277	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	74	67	14	3	0	1	6	22	1	0	0	218	289	330	619	112	298	30	8	280	72	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	103	93	20	4	0	2	8	30	1	1	0	219	290	332	622	113	298	29	8	281	73	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	210	190	41	8	0	4	17	62	2	1	0	216	287	321	608	105	296	30	8	280	65	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	127	25	0	12	53	192	6	3	0	216	287	320	607	104	297	30	8	280	65	-21	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	675	603	122	20	3	12	56	201	9	5	3	202	280	305	585	103	278	30	8	264	65	-19	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	118	19	3	12	54	194	9	5	3	203	281	308	590	105	279	30	8	264	65	-22	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 123 PAwOBA .281 → .219 (−61)K% 23.6% → 32.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.58%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	32.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.82%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	9.44%
HBP% /PA	2.44%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.88%
Singles /BIP	19.44%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.997	×0.990	17.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.997	×0.990	3.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.997	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	2.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .281 → .219; ISO .089 → .069; BABIP .236 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Tim Bogar'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,710 PA	2.6	1,710	24	13	217*	284*	324*	+11	+37	2.1	2.9
/162	664	9	5	+4.2	+14.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Paul Popovich'64-'75 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,909 PA	2.9	1,909	14	4	233*	288*	323*	+10	+20	0.2	0.9
/162	664	5	1	+3.5	+7.0	0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	274	5	2	212	281	321	+2	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	12	4	+6.0	+14.5	0.3	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Hodge (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	206/277/307	101	288	1	1	30%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	41→40	44→45	37	189/252/280	92	280	9	5	34%	5%	52	-2.2	205/257/297	92	299	7	7	32%	5%	56	-1.9	209/257/292	83	303	6	6	32%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Ryan Mathews 2014 · A	24	39→36	45	47→45	41	199/251/326	127	262	12	7	29%	6%	61	-1.5	206/250/326	120	292	12	7	32%	5%	61	-1.5	195/231/312	116	278	12	5	34%	4%	47	-1.5
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	180/250/288	107	273	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	203/275/296	93	275	9	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	199/276/282	82	260	9	14	26%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	38	43→45	40→45	39	195/244/303	108	262	11	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	202/268/295	93	268	8	7	26%	8%	60	-1.6	194/271/275	80	255	7	7	25%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Jacob Butler 2007 · A	24	37→40	46→50	42→30	39	192/251/319	128	278	14	4	35%	7%	60	-1.6	209/280/357	148	276	17	2	29%	8%	80	-0.2	207/284/364	157	261	19	0	27%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Darlin Moquete 2024 · A	24	38	44→45	45→55	41	196/250/307	112	252	13	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/258/321	115	275	13	19	29%	6%	63	-1.4	200/253/312	112	267	14	26	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Ryan McCarthy 2007 · A	24	41	42→45	49→45	41	202/250/306	104	265	9	7	27%	6%	55	-1.9	211/268/310	99	285	8	6	27%	6%	63	-1.3	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	47→30	42	182/255/276	95	278	10	6	36%	8%	52	-2.2	198/259/300	102	327	8	6	39%	7%	58	-1.7	181/241/300	119	309	8	3	41%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	40→41	43→50	47→45	37	200/251/306	107	303	12	10	37%	6%	57	-1.8	210/259/350	140	290	17	5	32%	6%	70	-0.9	196/242/331	135	260	17	2	31%	6%	57	-1.1

Ty Hodge

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps