Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
23
AMLE
BOS
—
123
107
16
2
0
2
11
41
3
1
3
150
248
224
472
75
212
33
9
220
35
-10
-1
+0
+0
+3
-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD
23
ARAW
BOS
—
123
101
19
3
0
2
17
29
3
1
3
188
322
277
600
89
236
24
14
283
35
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
23
AMLE
BOS
0%
17
16
2
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0
125
176
125
301
273
29
6
262
63
-1
+0
+0
+0
+0
-0.0
TOT
23
AMLE
BOS
—
140
123
18
2
0
2
12
46
3
1
3
146
239
211
451
65
208
33
9
225
38
-10
-1
+0
+0
+3
-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
24
MLBMLE
BOS
30%
339
303
62
10
2
6
28
99
5
2
1
205
283
310
593
106
279
29
8
271
70
-12
+0
+0
+1
+7
-0.4
2028
25
MLBMLE
BOS
44%
449
403
84
14
2
9
37
129
6
3
2
208
285
320
605
112
280
29
8
276
73
-14
-0
+0
+2
+10
-0.3
2029
26
MLBMLE
BOS
51%
518
463
98
17
2
11
43
147
7
3
2
212
288
328
617
117
281
28
8
280
75
-15
-0
+0
+2
+11
-0.2
2030
27
MLBMLE
BOS
52%
559
499
106
18
3
12
47
158
8
3
2
212
291
333
623
120
281
28
8
281
76
-16
-0
+0
+2
+12
-0.2
2031
28
MLBMLE
BOS
53%
581
519
110
19
3
12
49
165
8
3
2
212
290
329
619
118
281
28
8
280
76
-17
-0
-1
+2
+13
-0.3
2032
29
MLBMLE
BOS
53%
588
525
110
19
2
12
50
168
8
3
2
210
288
322
610
112
280
29
9
278
74
-18
-0
-1
+2
+13
-0.5
2033
30
MLBMLE
BOS
52%
588
525
108
18
2
12
50
170
8
3
2
206
285
316
601
110
279
29
9
276
73
-19
-0
-2
+2
+13
-0.7
2027
24
MLBCTX
BOS
30%
102
92
18
3
0
2
8
30
1
1
0
196
267
293
561
98
284
29
8
263
70
-4
+0
+0
+0
+2
-0.1
2028
25
MLBCTX
BOS
44%
198
177
38
7
1
4
16
57
3
1
1
215
291
333
624
119
285
29
8
268
73
-6
-0
+0
+1
+4
-0.2
2029
26
MLBCTX
BOS
51%
263
235
50
9
1
5
22
75
4
2
1
213
291
323
615
111
286
29
8
271
75
-8
+0
+0
+1
+6
-0.1
2030
27
MLBCTX
BOS
52%
293
262
56
10
1
6
25
83
4
2
1
214
292
328
620
115
286
28
9
273
76
-8
+0
+0
+1
+6
-0.1
2031
28
MLBCTX
BOS
53%
310
277
59
11
1
6
26
88
4
2
1
213
290
325
615
112
286
28
8
272
76
-9
+0
-0
+1
+7
-0.2
2032
29
MLBCTX
BOS
53%
309
276
58
10
1
6
26
88
4
2
1
210
288
319
606
109
285
28
8
270
74
-9
+0
-1
+1
+7
-0.2
2033
30
MLBCTX
BOS
52%
306
273
57
10
1
6
26
88
4
2
1
209
287
319
606
110
284
29
8
268
73
-10
+0
-1
+1
+7
-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
A+C
—
1781
1592
336
60
6
35
149
509
24
12
6
211
288
322
611
111
284
29
8
270
74
-54
+0
-2
+6
+39
-1.2
/ 162G
—
A+C
—
650
581
123
22
2
13
54
186
9
4
2
212
289
324
612
112
285
29
8
270
74
-20
+0
-1
+2
+14
-0.4
Career
—
MLE
—
3639
3253
680
115
16
74
305
1041
50
20
13
209
287
322
609
113
281
29
8
278
74
-112
-1
-4
+13
+79
-2.6
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
581
122
21
3
13
54
186
9
4
2
210
287
324
610
114
283
29
8
278
74
-20
-0
-1
+2
+14
-0.5
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
3.2
2,101
42
13
211
285
325
+20
+12
1.5
1.5
/162
664
13
4
+6.4
+3.8
0.5
pk7: 1
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection