Ty HodgeSS Salem RidgeYaks
Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 203 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .277 / .295
PA197
HR3
K%30
BB%8
BABIP278
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: -1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.5+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 ABOS 123107 16202 11413 13 150248224472 75212 339 220 27 -10 -1 +0 +1 +3 -0.7
YTD23 ABOS 123101 19302 17293 13 188322277600 89236 2414 283 74 -4 -1 +0 +1 +3 0.0
ROS23 ABOS 0% 197176 35613 16593 22 199277295572 97273 308 262 59 -9 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.2
ROS23 MLBBOS 0% 01 0000 000 00 279 254 53 +0 +0
FULL23 ABOS 123108 16202 11413 13 148248222470 74209 339 220 27 -10 -1 +0 +1 +3 -0.7
TOT23 ABOS 320283 51815 271006 35 180266269534 88254 318 246 46 -19 -1 +0 +3 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBBOS 30% 390349 721227 321146 22 206284312597 106279 298 271 66 -15 -0 +0 +4 +11 -0.0
202825 MLBBOS 44% 482432 9015210 401397 32 208286322608 113281 298 276 70 -17 -0 +0 +5 +14 0.2
202926 MLBBOS 51% 540482 10117211 451548 32 210288322609 112281 298 280 72 -17 -0 +0 +6 +15 0.4
203027 MLBBOS 52% 573512 10919312 481638 32 213290332623 119281 288 281 73 -17 -0 +0 +6 +16 0.5
202724 MLBBOS 30% 117104 21402 10342 11 202284298583 96285 299 264 60 -5 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202825 MLBBOS 44% 213190 40714 18613 11 211289321610 111287 298 270 65 -8 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.0
202926 MLBBOS 51% 274245 53916 23784 21 216294335629 118287 288 273 67 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203027 MLBBOS 52% 300268 571016 25854 21 213290325614 112287 288 275 68 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 904808 17130318 7625813 64 212290323613 111285 298 272 66 -35 -0 +0 +10 +26 0.0
/ 162G 650581 12322213 551869 43 212290324614 112285 298 272 66 -25 -0 +0 +7 +18 0.0
Career 21821951 407691043 18162932 1310 209287320607 112282 298 276 69 -75 -1 +0 +23 +62 0.9
/ 162G 650581 12221313 5418710 43 210288324612 114284 298 276 69 -22 -0 +0 +7 +18 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,224248212285324+13+90.70.7
/162664134+7.1+4.90.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ty Hodge (OGILVIE) 23 180/266/269 88254 53 31% 8% 46 -0.8
Andrew Susac
2013 · A
23 42→40 44→50 46→30 45 208/280/323 115292 114 31% 8% 68 -0.5 218/291/365 147292 173 30% 8% 84 +0.6 217/295/37716028319129%9%86+0.4
Bryan Holaday
2011 · A
23 41 44→45 47→40 42 201/283/317 116296 125 34% 8% 69 -0.4 206/259/296 90269 86 25% 5% 51 -1.7 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0
Chase Strumpf
2021 · A
23 44→36 42→50 49→45 42 208/284/314 106306 87 33% 7% 68 -0.5 195/290/334 139313 155 39% 10% 76 +0.1 179/286/33515628719441%11%72-0.1
Aaron McKeithan
2023 · A
23 45 41→40 45→40 44 215/291/309 94292 84 28% 7% 69 -0.4 213/291/294 81270 84 23% 7% 66 -0.6 205/291/269632627023%8%57-0.3
John Delaney
2009 · A
23 42 42→45 48→40 45 204/277/310 107289 104 31% 8% 63 -0.8 196/272/278 82309 55 35% 8% 53 -1.5 164/254/227622772337%9%30-1.5
Alex De Goti
2018 · A
23 41→47 40→45 44→50 44 198/272/290 92289 87 33% 8% 56 -1.3 225/277/344 119285 127 24% 6% 72 -0.2 215/285/32811427910625%8%69-0.4
Nick Hutchins
2019 · A
23 43 45→50 47→40 39 213/270/345 132297 123 31% 6% 69 -0.4 207/248/306 99290 85 30% 4% 49 -1.8 193/221/277842687430%2%27-1.6
Jose Peroza
2023 · A
23 44 43→45 49→45 41 211/277/323 112310 115 34% 7% 66 -0.6 217/284/347 130334 145 37% 7% 76 +0.1 204/277/34714331916438%7%72-0.2
Jason Lopez
2021 · A
23 40 44→55 46→45 37 202/247/323 121282 127 32% 5% 53 -1.5 194/256/297 103298 1010 36% 7% 50 -1.7 163/228/25491247101036%8%25-0.9
Kevin Padlo
2019 · A
23 35→40 45→55 45→50 43 180/260/303 123268 127 36% 9% 55 -1.4 206/284/377 171294 209 35% 9% 85 +0.7 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
Joe DeCarlo
2017 · A
23 37 46→55 47→30 44 188/274/317 128274 142 35% 9% 65 -0.7 199/274/344 145282 173 34% 7% 72 -0.2 184/260/32514126018035%7%58-0.5
Jhoneiker Betancourt
2023 · A
23 42 40→55 50→40 43 203/279/294 91279 76 28% 7% 60 -1.0 209/281/354 145278 184 31% 7% 78 +0.2 186/269/36117523526033%7%79+0.1
Vito Friscia
2021 · A
24 43 40→45 49→40 42 208/266/303 94290 75 30% 7% 56 -1.3 208/289/325 117317 124 35% 9% 72 -0.2 195/284/31411929612235%10%66-0.3
Pedro Pagés
2022 · A
23 44 42→50 42→40 42 213/280/315 102304 104 32% 7% 66 -0.6 212/275/335 123294 144 31% 7% 69 -0.4 225/284/36013528517226%7%77+0.1
Jacob Amaya
2022 · AA
23 39→46 44→45 48→45 45 198/261/314 116258 136 28% 8% 57 -1.2 214/281/337 123274 147 26% 8% 72 -0.2 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4
Michael Barash
2018 · A
23 43 44→45 42→45 44 213/275/328 115284 123 28% 7% 67 -0.5 212/285/335 123285 136 28% 9% 73 -0.1 182/276/31313123116427%11%62-0.3
Jose Brizuela
2016 · A
23 41→40 43→50 50→45 46 204/274/320 117274 107 28% 8% 65 -0.7 211/268/334 123297 135 32% 7% 66 -0.6 195/247/32513026817133%6%52-0.7
Marcus Greene Jr.
2018 · A
23 39 47→50 42→40 41 202/261/332 130266 154 30% 6% 63 -0.9 213/265/319 106304 115 32% 6% 60 -1.0 194/242/263692928035%6%31-0.9
Kyler Fedko
2023 · A
23 43→42 43→50 51→55 47 212/285/327 114283 1010 27% 8% 71 -0.3 202/288/323 121269 1214 28% 10% 72 -0.2 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0
Tyler Kolodny
2010 · A
22 40→36 43→45 49→50 41 200/271/316 116273 118 30% 6% 63 -0.9 212/286/347 135281 1410 29% 6% 78 +0.2 214/295/369155271171026%6%84+0.2