Cole Mathis

1B Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #819MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP47ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ACHC	128	.215/.339/.402	3	0	51	—	.159/.252/.292
2025	22	INTLMesa Solar Sox	66	.280/.446/.400	2	3	147	—
2026	23	A+NYM	146	.225/.354/.417	3	5	55	—	.171/.257/.326
2026	23	ANYM	86	.269/.417/.627	7	3	115	—	.211/.333/.493
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBNYM	1	.217/.296/.370	0	0	92	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBNYM	90	.219/.297/.372	3	1	93	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBNYM	174	.220/.298/.373	5	3	94	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.2M2032Arb-2$0.4M2033Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed88

Chase%86

ISO83

Z-Con%81

Whiff%78

wOBA75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsDevin Mann (age 24) · Yusniel Díaz (age 24) · Kenny Holmberg (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .296 / .370

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP275

ISO150

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED41

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	128	107	23	9	1	3	17	29	3	0	2	215	339	402	740	187	263	23	13	332	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	66	50	14	0	0	2	15	16	0	3	0	280	446	400	846	120	364	24	23	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	146	120	27	10	2	3	23	36	1	5	2	225	354	417	771	192	289	25	16	342	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	86	67	18	3	0	7	13	20	4	3	0	269	417	627	1.044	358	262	23	15	438	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	38	32	5	1	0	1	6	4	0	1	0	156	289	281	571	125	148	11	16	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	128	113	18	7	1	2	11	41	3	0	2	159	252	292	544	133	221	32	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	146	129	22	7	2	3	14	47	1	5	2	171	257	326	583	155	227	32	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	86	71	15	2	0	6	9	27	4	3	0	211	333	493	826	282	213	31	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	194	173	29	11	1	4	16	62	3	3	2	168	250	312	562	145	229	32	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	194	157	37	9	1	5	32	45	3	3	2	236	375	401	776	166	294	23	16	351	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	270	235	43	11	2	10	26	87	5	9	2	183	278	374	653	191	232	32	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	270	219	50	14	2	11	42	60	5	9	2	228	365	461	826	233	257	22	16	363	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	194	173	29	11	1	4	16	62	3	3	2	168	250	312	562	145	221	32	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	270	237	43	11	2	10	26	87	5	9	2	181	278	371	650	190	222	32	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	194	173	29	11	1	4	16	62	3	3	2	168	250	312	562	145	221	32	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	270	237	43	11	2	10	26	87	5	9	2	181	278	371	650	190	222	32	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	282	252	56	11	2	8	25	77	3	5	1	224	302	379	681	156	285	27	9	304	92	-3	+1	-0	-5	+6	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	296	370	666	152	275	0	0	298	92	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	38%	236	210	47	9	1	7	21	64	3	4	1	225	303	382	685	157	285	27	9	306	93	-2	+0	-0	-4	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	313	278	63	12	2	9	28	84	4	5	1	226	304	383	687	157	285	27	9	306	94	-2	+1	-0	-6	+7	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	352	314	71	14	2	10	31	94	4	5	2	226	304	381	685	156	285	27	9	306	93	-3	+0	-0	-6	+8	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	376	336	76	15	2	11	33	100	4	5	2	225	302	378	680	153	284	27	9	304	92	-4	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYM	64%	384	343	77	15	2	11	34	103	4	4	2	223	300	373	673	149	283	27	9	301	90	-5	+0	-2	-7	+8	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYM	64%	388	347	76	15	2	10	34	105	4	4	2	220	296	365	661	145	280	27	9	296	87	-6	+0	-2	-7	+8	-0.7
2034	31	MLB MLE	NYM	64%	379	340	73	14	2	10	32	104	4	3	4	216	291	354	646	139	277	27	8	290	82	-8	-1	-3	-7	+8	-1.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	38%	90	81	18	3	1	3	8	24	1	1	0	219	297	372	670	153	276	27	9	300	93	-1	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	174	155	33	6	1	5	15	46	2	3	1	220	298	373	671	154	276	26	9	300	94	-1	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	216	193	42	8	1	6	19	58	2	3	1	219	298	372	670	152	276	27	9	300	93	-2	+0	-0	-4	+5	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	243	217	47	9	1	7	21	65	3	3	1	218	297	368	665	150	275	27	9	298	92	-2	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYM	64%	247	220	48	9	1	7	22	66	3	3	1	217	295	363	658	146	274	27	9	295	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYM	64%	250	223	48	9	1	7	22	68	3	3	1	214	291	355	646	141	271	27	9	290	87	-4	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	NYM	64%	244	219	46	9	1	6	21	67	2	2	2	209	286	345	631	136	268	27	9	284	82	-5	-0	-2	-4	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1464	1308	282	53	7	41	128	394	16	18	7	216	293	361	654	145	274	27	9	294	86	-18	+1	-6	-26	+32	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	125	24	3	18	57	175	7	8	3	215	293	360	653	145	274	27	9	294	86	-8	+0	-3	-12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3072	2736	591	123	17	87	271	852	37	45	19	216	295	369	664	153	277	28	9	296	86	-31	+1	-9	-47	+57	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	125	26	4	18	57	180	8	10	4	216	295	368	663	152	278	28	9	296	86	-8	+0	-2	-12	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,464	41	17	224	297	374	+5	-5	2.6	2.6
/162	664	19	8	+2.4	-2.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Mathis (OGILVIE)	24	36→48	40→49	43→41	51	222/299/376	154	285	5	3	27%	9%	92	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Yusniel Díaz 2021 · AA	24	47→54	47→45	42→50	47	232/295/371	139	295	14	7	25%	8%	88	+0.4	203/264/311	108	285	11	9	31%	7%	63	-1.4	203/270/314	111	271	13	9	29%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Kenny Holmberg 2007 · A	24	45→46	48→50	41→40	48	229/296/368	140	276	15	5	23%	8%	88	+0.4	216/297/317	101	271	10	4	23%	9%	77	-0.3	207/297/294	87	259	9	2	22%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Matthew Brown 2007 · AA	24	46→49	47→55	42→45	42	230/283/374	145	292	14	6	26%	6%	84	+0.2	228/284/387	159	291	17	6	27%	6%	88	+0.4	217/278/379	161	276	18	5	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Gimenez 2007 · A	24	41→51	46→50	40→45	43	205/285/337	132	258	13	5	25%	6%	78	-0.3	229/307/382	153	288	18	4	26%	8%	96	+1.0	228/310/383	155	285	19	3	26%	9%	95	+0.6
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	51→50	38→40	46	201/294/355	155	278	19	2	33%	10%	86	+0.3	220/281/359	139	288	16	3	28%	7%	80	-0.1	222/277/356	134	285	15	2	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Jared Goedert 2009 · A	24	47→51	47→55	43→40	48	235/296/366	132	275	15	3	21%	8%	87	+0.4	226/285/370	144	267	16	3	21%	7%	84	+0.2	238/293/405	167	284	21	1	24%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	217/297/388	171	275	20	6	28%	9%	93	+0.8	188/261/333	145	260	17	6	33%	8%	68	-1.0	153/227/285	132	210	17	5	35%	8%	41	-1.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2024 · AAA	24	46→47	46→45	42→50	42	227/286/351	124	297	14	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	228/285/350	122	302	13	11	28%	6%	80	-0.2	221/274/331	110	296	12	13	28%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Will Craig 2019 · AA	24	44→48	46→55	43→40	43	218/289/352	134	288	14	5	28%	7%	82	+0.0	220/281/373	153	289	19	4	30%	6%	84	+0.1	214/274/369	155	278	21	1	30%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	45→55	45→50	43→45	52	221/315/337	116	275	13	5	24%	10%	89	+0.5	227/296/342	115	294	13	7	26%	8%	82	-0.0	232/294/332	100	301	11	8	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	48→51	52→55	42→45	44	245/303/407	163	304	20	4	26%	7%	99	+1.3	228/272/352	124	306	13	6	29%	5%	74	-0.5	217/260/330	112	297	12	5	30%	5%	63	-1.0
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	47→50	44→50	46	233/307/373	140	269	15	10	20%	6%	94	+0.9	218/299/349	131	257	13	8	20%	7%	86	+0.3	201/284/313	112	235	10	6	18%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→52	50→45	47→50	47	242/307/397	155	287	19	11	22%	7%	99	+1.2	240/317/364	124	289	13	10	21%	8%	95	+1.0	237/320/349	113	286	11	10	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2024 · MLB	25	42	50→55	42→50	43	215/281/365	149	285	18	8	30%	7%	82	-0.0	211/277/347	136	276	16	12	29%	7%	76	-0.4	198/265/337	139	251	16	17	27%	7%	68	-0.9
✕Mike Wilson 2007 · AA	24	44→53	50→55	43→50	42	221/288/378	156	303	18	6	32%	7%	87	+0.4	208/281/375	167	294	20	8	35%	7%	84	+0.2	225/299/392	167	287	21	9	28%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Joshua Fuentes 2017 · A	24	46→55	45→50	41→45	39	230/279/356	126	284	12	5	24%	4%	78	-0.3	243/279/383	140	313	12	5	26%	4%	84	+0.2	238/270/380	141	313	13	4	28%	3%	77	-0.3
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	45→47	48→55	43→50	39	228/279/374	146	290	15	9	27%	4%	83	+0.1	214/261/352	138	262	15	4	24%	5%	71	-0.8	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4

Cole Mathis

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps