Joshua Fuentes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | AAACOL | 210 | .269/.325/.492 | 9 | 1 | 54 | — | .188/.234/.320 | |
| 2021 | 28 | MLBCOL | 284 | .225/.258/.351 | 7 | 0 | 59 | -0.6 | ||
| 2022 | 29 | AAATOR | 112 | .162/.207/.200 | 1 | 1 | -14 | — | .132/.171/.170 | |
| 2023 | 30 | AAAATL | 260 | .227/.302/.339 | 5 | 3 | 46 | — | .197/.256/.276 | |
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 385 | 337 | 85 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 64 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 252 | 326 | 383 | 709 | 131 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 325 | 291 | 81 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 344 | 450 | 794 | 172 | 313 | 17 | 5 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 108 | 93 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 398 | 451 | 677 | 1.128 | 280 | 478 | 20 | 4 | 463 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 450 | 414 | 127 | 28 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 92 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 307 | 354 | 517 | 871 | 210 | 362 | 20 | 5 | 376 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 193 | 184 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 272 | 298 | 402 | 701 | 130 | 341 | 24 | 3 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 586 | 551 | 180 | 39 | 12 | 14 | 21 | 103 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 327 | 358 | 517 | 875 | 191 | 376 | 18 | 4 | 378 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 85 | 78 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 308 | 365 | 500 | 865 | 192 | 368 | 21 | 8 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 56 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 232 | 400 | 632 | 182 | 281 | 36 | 2 | 276 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 437 | 402 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 118 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 301 | 448 | 748 | 194 | 314 | 27 | 6 | 323 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 103 | 98 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 306 | 327 | 439 | 766 | 133 | 406 | 28 | 2 | 333 | 103 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 284 | 271 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 258 | 351 | 609 | 125 | 270 | 23 | 4 | 270 | 59 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 210 | 193 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 269 | 325 | 492 | 818 | 223 | 303 | 20 | 5 | 357 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 105 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 207 | 200 | 407 | 38 | 258 | 38 | 4 | 189 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 260 | 233 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 52 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 112 | 270 | 20 | 8 | 291 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 443 | 424 | 103 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 114 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 270 | 377 | 648 | 134 | 302 | 26 | 3 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +0 | +3 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 385 | 349 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 84 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 201 | 254 | 284 | 538 | 83 | 238 | 22 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 325 | 296 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 297 | 395 | 692 | 155 | 278 | 23 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 108 | 94 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 319 | 373 | 511 | 883 | 191 | 388 | 28 | 3 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 450 | 422 | 111 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 107 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 263 | 300 | 422 | 721 | 159 | 324 | 24 | 4 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 586 | 557 | 150 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 136 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 269 | 296 | 411 | 707 | 142 | 330 | 23 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 56 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 232 | 400 | 632 | 182 | 281 | 36 | 2 | 259 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 437 | 409 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 159 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 224 | 308 | 532 | 122 | 260 | 36 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 103 | 98 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 296 | 317 | 429 | 745 | 133 | 406 | 28 | 2 | 320 | 103 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 284 | 272 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 247 | 331 | 578 | 114 | 270 | 23 | 4 | 255 | 59 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 210 | 197 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 188 | 234 | 320 | 554 | 132 | 234 | 26 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 106 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 171 | 170 | 341 | 38 | 230 | 46 | 3 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 260 | 239 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 79 | 243 | 24 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 385 | 349 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 84 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 201 | 254 | 284 | 538 | 83 | 248 | 22 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 385 | 337 | 85 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 64 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 252 | 326 | 383 | 709 | 131 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 390 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 262 | 318 | 426 | 743 | 164 | 326 | 24 | 3 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 433 | 384 | 118 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 307 | 370 | 505 | 875 | 198 | 351 | 18 | 5 | 377 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 604 | 159 | 33 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 152 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 263 | 299 | 421 | 720 | 157 | 329 | 24 | 4 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 643 | 598 | 177 | 38 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 138 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 296 | 337 | 482 | 819 | 186 | 356 | 21 | 5 | 356 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 640 | 172 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 156 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 269 | 294 | 412 | 707 | 144 | 335 | 23 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 671 | 629 | 204 | 43 | 13 | 17 | 28 | 121 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 324 | 359 | 515 | 874 | 191 | 376 | 18 | 4 | 379 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 464 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 179 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 221 | 308 | 529 | 123 | 264 | 36 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 457 | 114 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 26 | 138 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 293 | 442 | 735 | 193 | 310 | 28 | 5 | 318 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 103 | 98 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 296 | 317 | 429 | 745 | 133 | 391 | 28 | 2 | 320 | 103 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 103 | 98 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 306 | 327 | 439 | 766 | 133 | 406 | 28 | 2 | 333 | 103 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 469 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 119 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 242 | 326 | 568 | 122 | 249 | 24 | 4 | 252 | 57 | -25 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -1.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 494 | 464 | 113 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 108 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 287 | 409 | 696 | 166 | 284 | 22 | 5 | 307 | 57 | -25 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -1.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 106 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 171 | 170 | 341 | 38 | 236 | 46 | 3 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 105 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 207 | 200 | 407 | 38 | 258 | 38 | 4 | 189 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 260 | 239 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 79 | 250 | 24 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 260 | 233 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 52 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 112 | 270 | 20 | 8 | 291 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 385 | 357 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 84 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 196 | 254 | 277 | 531 | 81 | 238 | 22 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 398 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 256 | 318 | 417 | 735 | 161 | 305 | 24 | 3 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 643 | 607 | 159 | 33 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 152 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 262 | 299 | 418 | 718 | 157 | 324 | 24 | 4 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 643 | 172 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 156 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 267 | 294 | 411 | 705 | 143 | 330 | 23 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 469 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 179 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 183 | 221 | 305 | 526 | 122 | 262 | 36 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 103 | 99 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 317 | 424 | 741 | 131 | 406 | 28 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 494 | 468 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 119 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 242 | 327 | 569 | 122 | 255 | 24 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 112 | 106 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 171 | 170 | 341 | 38 | 230 | 46 | 3 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 260 | 239 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 79 | 243 | 24 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 443 | 424 | 103 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 114 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 270 | 377 | 648 | 134 | 302 | 26 | 3 | 285 | 70 | -11 | +0 | +3 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 622 | 151 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 22 | 167 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 269 | 378 | 647 | 135 | 302 | 26 | 3 | 285 | 70 | -16 | +1 | +5 | -13 | +14 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3594 | 3359 | 775 | 157 | 30 | 71 | 127 | 938 | 55 | 35 | 31 | 231 | 270 | 359 | 629 | 128 | 296 | 26 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +0 | +3 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 140 | 28 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 170 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 231 | 270 | 357 | 627 | 127 | 296 | 26 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -16 | +1 | +5 | -13 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 260 PAwOBA .285 → .236 (−49)K% 20.0% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.55% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×0.972 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×0.972 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×0.972 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .285 → .236; ISO .112 → .085; BABIP .270 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 112 PAwOBA .186 → .147 (−39)K% 38.4% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.39% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 2.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷0.960 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 1.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.951 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .186 → .147; ISO .038 → .026; BABIP .258 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 210 PAwOBA .348 → .248 (−100)K% 20.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.48% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.24% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.33% | ÷1.110 | ×0.930 | ×0.957 | ×0.992 | 15.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×0.992 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.992 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.172 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .348 → .248; ISO .223 → .142; BABIP .303 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 437 PAwOBA .316 → .230 (−87)K% 27.0% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.00% | ÷0.957 | ×1.290 | — | — | 36.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷0.974 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 18.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.136 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.18% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .316 → .230; ISO .194 → .125; BABIP .314 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 586 PAwOBA .372 → .304 (−68)K% 17.6% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.58% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.58% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 2.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.67% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×0.996 | ×1.033 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.71% | ÷0.960 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.033 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.68% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.033 | 2.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.162 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.17% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .372 → .304; ISO .191 → .145; BABIP .376 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAHartford Yard Goats · 450 PAwOBA .367 → .309 (−58)K% 20.4% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.44% | ÷1.051 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.11% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.014 | ×0.860 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 110, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .367 → .309; ISO .210 → .164; BABIP .362 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Modesto Nuts · 325 PAwOBA .341 → .290 (−50)K% 16.6% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.62% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.92% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.36% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 20.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷0.933 | ×0.820 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.80% | ÷0.877 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .341 → .290; ISO .172 → .154; BABIP .313 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAsheville Tourists · 108 PAwOBA .458 → .352 (−106)K% 20.4% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷0.969 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷0.987 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.63% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 3.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.76% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×0.990 | 25.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷1.267 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×0.990 | 12.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.015 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.232 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 93, 2B 153, 3B 80, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .458 → .352; ISO .280 → .183; BABIP .478 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .