Jacob Cozart

C Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 214 lbs AA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#825ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+CLE49.119/.245/.14300-10—.091/.184/.114
202522AA/A+CLE402.235/.345/.3719061—.192/.282/.300
202623AALAA446.242/.339/.40817171—.208/.283/.342
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAA4.203/.281/.32700730.0
2028PROJ39% MLB25MLBLAA100.206/.284/.33331750.2
2029PROJ56% MLB26MLBLAA169.208/.285/.33751770.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$1.0M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
BB%55
wRC+49
K%49
ISO47
wOBA42
Chase%34
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.5, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%
CompsBrett Cumberland (age 24) · Tristan Gray (age 25) · Drew Ellis (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .281 / .327
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP269
ISO122
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.30.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2031Arb-1$1M+0.3$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $2M $4M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Lake County Captains — 4942 5100 7180 00 119245143388 24208 3714 200 -10 — — — — — —
202522 AAAkron RubberDucks — 9482 21312 8242 00 256337390727 134328 269 322 75 — — — — — —
202522 A+Lake County Captains — 308258 591217 41656 00 229348364712 136275 2113 324 57 — — — — — —
202623 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 446385 9313017 511136 11 242339408747 166295 2511 334 71 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLELake County Captains — 4944 4100 5220 00 91184114297 23194 4510 153 -10 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 9484 19212 6312 00 226293345639 119311 336 279 75 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLELake County Captains — 308269 49816 30816 00 182279286565 104228 2610 252 57 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 446400 8312014 361386 11 207283343625 135269 318 273 71 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLELake County Captains — 4944 4100 5220 00 91184114297 23182 4510 153 -10 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWLake County Captains — 4942 5100 7180 00 119245143388 24208 3714 200 -10 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 402353 681127 361128 00 193282295577 102255 289 258 61 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 402340 801529 49898 00 235345371716 135287 2212 324 61 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 446400 8312014 361386 11 207283343625 135275 318 273 71 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWRocket City Trash Pandas — 446385 9313017 511136 11 242339408747 166295 2511 334 71 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLELake County Captains — 4944 4100 5220 00 91184114297 23194 4510 153 -10 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 402355 681127 361128 00 192282293575 101247 289 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 446401 8312014 361386 11 207283342624 135269 318 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLELake County Captains — 4944 4100 5220 00 91184114297 23194 4510 153 -10 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 402355 681127 361128 00 192282293575 101247 289 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 446401 8312014 361386 11 207283342624 135269 318 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAA 2% 380341 7011110 311135 21 204281327609 123271 308 276 73 -12 +0 +2 +7 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAA 2% 44 1000 010 00 203281327608 123269 250 275 73 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAA 39% 259232 49817 22763 11 207284334618 127272 298 280 75 -8 -0 +2 +5 +6 0.4
202926 MLB MLELAA 56% 303270 57918 26874 21 209286337623 128273 299 282 77 -8 +0 +2 +5 +7 0.6
203027 MLB MLELAA 62% 320286 601018 27924 21 209287338625 129273 298 282 77 -9 +0 +2 +6 +7 0.6
203128 MLB MLELAA 65% 326291 611018 28934 11 209286337623 127273 299 282 77 -9 -0 +1 +6 +7 0.5
203229 MLB MLELAA 64% 321287 601018 27924 12 209285334619 125273 298 280 76 -9 -1 +1 +6 +7 0.3
203330 MLB MLELAA 64% 314281 591018 26914 14 206282326608 120270 298 275 72 -10 -1 -0 +6 +7 0.1
202825 MLB CTXLAA 39% 10091 19303 8291 10 206284333617 127270 298 279 75 -3 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.2
202926 MLB CTXLAA 56% 169151 31505 14492 10 208285337622 129271 298 281 77 -5 +0 +1 +3 +4 0.3
203027 MLB CTXLAA 62% 197176 37615 17562 11 209286337624 129271 289 282 77 -5 -0 +1 +4 +4 0.4
203128 MLB CTXLAA 65% 211188 40616 18603 11 209286336622 128271 289 281 77 -6 -0 +1 +4 +5 0.3
203229 MLB CTXLAA 64% 207186 37605 17592 11 208285333618 125271 298 279 76 -6 -0 +0 +4 +4 0.2
203330 MLB CTXLAA 64% 202181 37605 17582 03 205281325606 121269 298 275 72 -7 -1 -0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1086973 20132229 9131112 56 207283333616 126270 298 280 71 -31 -1 +4 +19 +24 1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 12019117 541867 34 206281330611 124270 298 280 71 -19 -1 +2 +12 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 29502632 53987973 25086540 1011 205284328612 123272 298 274 71 -60 -2 +8 +37 +44 2.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 11919216 551919 22 205284328612 122273 298 274 71 -19 -1 +3 +12 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 446 PAwOBA .328 → .273 (−55)K% 25.3% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.34%÷1.000×1.220——30.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.43%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0277.99%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.840—×1.0271.16%
Singles /BIP23.16%÷1.000×0.920×0.979×1.02721.42%
Doubles /BIP4.78%÷1.000×0.910×0.979×1.0274.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.979×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0275.13%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .328 → .273; ISO .166 → .137; BABIP .295 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lake County Captains · 308 PAwOBA .320 → .252 (−67)K% 21.1% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.10%÷1.020×1.270——26.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.31%÷0.991×0.710—×1.0129.65%
HBP% /PA1.95%—×0.790—×1.0121.56%
Singles /BIP20.21%÷1.031×0.920×0.971×1.01217.72%
Doubles /BIP6.22%÷1.138×0.810×0.971×1.0124.35%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷0.952×0.850×0.971×1.0120.45%
Home runs /BIP3.63%÷1.011×0.800—×1.0122.90%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .320 → .252; ISO .136 → .104; BABIP .275 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 94 PAwOBA .320 → .279 (−42)K% 25.5% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.53%÷0.948×1.220——32.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.51%÷0.953×0.700—×1.0426.52%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.850—×1.0421.88%
Singles /BIP25.86%÷1.004×0.970×0.962×1.04225.05%
Doubles /BIP5.17%÷0.986×0.860×0.962×1.0424.52%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷0.935×0.950×0.962×1.0421.76%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.926×0.780—×1.0423.03%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .320 → .279; ISO .134 → .115; BABIP .328 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Lake County Captains · 49 PAwOBA .196 → .153 (−43)K% 36.7% → 45.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.73%÷1.023×1.270——45.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷0.999×0.710—×1.02710.42%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.995×0.920—×1.02715.83%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.978×0.810—×1.0273.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.190×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .196 → .153; ISO .024 → .018; BABIP .208 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).