Jacob Cozart — OGILVIE

Jacob CozartC Akron RubberDucks

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 214 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 189 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .278 / .297

PA189

HR4

K%30

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$12M		$32M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	49	44	4	1	0	0	5	23	0	0	0	91	184	114	297	23	190	47	10	146	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	49	42	5	1	0	0	7	18	0	0	0	119	245	143	388	24	208	37	14	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	402	353	63	10	2	7	36	119	8	0	0	178	270	278	547	99	241	30	9	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	402	340	80	15	2	9	49	89	8	0	0	235	345	371	716	135	287	22	12	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	CLE	—	284	255	51	7	0	7	22	88	4	1	1	200	274	310	584	110	270	31	8	262	59	-13	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
YTD	23	AA	CLE	—	284	245	58	9	0	8	32	68	4	1	1	237	335	371	706	135	291	24	11	319	102	+1	-0	+0	+5	+8	1.4
ROS	23	AA	CLE	2%	189	168	33	5	0	4	16	56	3	1	0	196	278	297	575	101	268	30	8	267	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		269	25	0	257	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	CLE	—	288	259	52	7	0	7	22	89	4	1	1	201	274	309	583	108	271	31	8	262	59	-13	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
TOT	23	AA	CLE	—	473	423	84	12	0	11	38	144	7	2	1	198	275	305	580	106	268	30	8	264	60	-21	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CLE	39%	438	392	80	13	1	10	37	125	6	2	1	204	283	319	602	115	273	29	8	278	71	-15	+0	+1	+8	+12	0.7
2028	25	MLB	CLE	56%	467	418	89	15	1	12	40	130	6	3	1	213	291	340	631	127	274	28	9	283	75	-13	+0	+1	+8	+13	1.0
2029	26	MLB	CLE	64%	484	433	91	15	1	12	42	133	6	3	2	210	289	333	622	122	275	27	9	287	78	-12	-0	+1	+9	+14	1.1
2030	27	MLB	CLE	66%	488	436	94	16	1	13	43	134	6	3	2	216	295	346	641	131	276	27	9	288	78	-12	-0	+1	+9	+14	1.2
2031	28	MLB	CLE	67%	486	434	91	15	1	12	43	134	6	3	2	210	290	332	622	122	275	28	9	287	78	-12	-0	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2032	29	MLB	CLE	66%	478	427	90	15	1	12	42	133	6	3	2	211	291	335	625	124	274	28	9	285	76	-13	-0	-0	+9	+14	0.9
2033	30	MLB	CLE	65%	469	418	87	15	1	11	42	132	6	3	2	208	290	328	617	120	273	28	9	282	74	-14	-0	-1	+8	+13	0.7
2034	31	MLB	CLE	65%	441	394	80	13	1	10	39	125	5	3	1	203	283	317	600	114	270	28	9	278	71	-15	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.4
2035	32	MLB	CLE	65%	411	367	74	12	1	9	36	118	5	2	1	202	282	313	595	112	267	29	9	272	67	-15	+0	-3	+7	+12	0.1
2027	24	MLB	CLE	39%	169	151	31	5	0	4	14	48	2	1	0	205	281	318	599	113	273	28	8	268	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB	CLE	56%	261	234	49	8	1	6	22	73	3	2	1	209	286	329	615	120	275	28	8	274	68	-9	+0	+1	+5	+7	0.3
2029	26	MLB	CLE	64%	309	275	59	10	1	8	27	85	4	2	1	215	294	345	640	131	276	28	9	277	70	-10	+0	+1	+6	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB	CLE	66%	321	286	61	10	1	8	28	88	4	2	1	213	292	339	632	126	276	27	9	278	71	-10	+0	+1	+6	+9	0.5
2031	28	MLB	CLE	67%	325	289	61	10	1	8	29	90	4	2	1	211	292	336	628	125	275	28	9	277	70	-11	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2032	29	MLB	CLE	66%	314	279	60	10	1	8	28	87	4	2	1	215	296	344	640	129	275	28	9	276	69	-11	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB	CLE	65%	306	272	56	9	1	7	27	86	4	2	1	206	287	324	611	118	273	28	9	273	67	-11	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.2
2034	31	MLB	CLE	65%	286	255	54	9	1	7	25	81	4	2	1	212	292	337	630	125	271	28	9	269	64	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.0
2035	32	MLB	CLE	65%	265	237	49	8	1	6	23	76	3	2	1	207	285	325	610	118	267	29	9	264	60	-12	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2560	2282	481	79	8	62	223	715	32	17	8	211	290	334	624	123	276	28	9	273	67	-94	+0	-1	+46	+73	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	122	20	2	16	57	182	8	4	2	211	290	335	625	124	275	28	9	273	67	-24	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	4802	4284	876	145	11	112	421	1362	63	26	14	204	285	322	607	117	270	28	9	277	70	-160	-0	-0	+86	+136	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	118	20	1	15	57	184	9	4	2	203	285	319	604	116	268	28	9	277	70	-22	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	49	42	5	1	0	0	7	18	0	119	245	143	388	24	208	37	14	200	11	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	94	82	21	3	1	2	8	24	2	256	337	390	727	134	328	26	9	322	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	308	258	59	12	1	7	41	65	6	229	348	364	712	136	275	21	13	324	106	+2	+0	—	—	+9	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,562	63	17	211	287	335	+46	+20	4.1	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	211	287	335	+11.9	+5.1	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Cozart (OGILVIE)	23	20→34	40→45	30	45	198/275/305	106	268	11	2	30%	8%	60	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	195/268/311	116	267	12	3	30%	8%	60	-1.0	203/267/306	103	269	8	5	26%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕John Whittleman 2010 · AA	23	41→43	43→50	41→45	50	201/284/318	117	272	10	4	28%	10%	69	-0.4	187/268/327	140	259	15	3	32%	10%	65	-0.7	171/259/324	153	234	18	1	34%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Wyatt Toregas 2007 · AA	24	46→40	42→50	37→40	44	226/278/330	104	282	9	3	23%	6%	68	-0.5	226/279/349	123	266	14	4	20%	6%	74	-0.1	220/274/342	122	251	15	2	19%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Austin Davidson 2016 · A	23	37→40	43→45	41→45	43	188/254/291	103	226	11	8	22%	5%	50	-1.8	219/283/334	115	270	10	7	22%	7%	72	-0.2	227/291/351	124	279	11	6	22%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jason Vosler 2017 · AA	23	42→43	40→55	40	44	205/258/302	97	255	7	3	22%	6%	53	-1.5	206/269/365	159	271	20	2	31%	6%	75	-0.0	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Cole Armstrong 2007 · AA	23	39→36	40→50	42→30	43	194/241/283	89	246	8	3	24%	6%	40	-2.4	219/254/342	123	277	13	2	26%	4%	61	-1.0	228/278/362	134	273	17	1	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	41→31	40→60	39→45	43	199/274/285	87	282	8	5	31%	7%	56	-1.3	198/277/317	119	290	13	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Matt Kennelly 2012 · AA	23	44	39→40	36→40	43	215/268/299	84	286	7	3	27%	6%	56	-1.3	219/270/298	79	274	5	6	21%	6%	56	-1.3	212/267/261	49	263	1	2	19%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	44→42	44→55	38→30	37	220/255/336	116	297	12	2	30%	4%	59	-1.1	233/277/398	165	310	22	3	31%	6%	86	+0.8	216/265/392	177	286	27	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2017 · AAA	23	49→51	42→50	38→40	48	236/300/341	105	301	9	3	24%	8%	80	+0.4	223/280/347	124	284	13	3	25%	7%	73	-0.1	212/277/351	139	251	16	3	22%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	40→37	41→50	43→30	41	194/262/294	99	288	9	3	34%	7%	53	-1.5	213/283/342	129	261	14	2	23%	8%	75	-0.0	209/281/339	130	248	15	1	22%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	38→39	47→45	39→30	38	195/253/330	135	287	15	2	37%	6%	59	-1.1	194/252/313	119	288	12	3	35%	6%	53	-1.5	178/237/286	107	264	10	1	35%	6%	39	-1.3
✕Kevin Ahrens 2012 · A	23	39→46	43→45	38→40	44	198/259/310	111	257	11	2	27%	7%	56	-1.3	199/263/299	100	263	9	2	26%	8%	54	-1.4	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	48→50	38→30	39	191/285/329	138	300	17	2	39%	8%	74	-0.1	197/298/323	126	295	14	3	35%	8%	78	+0.2	178/293/290	111	269	13	1	35%	8%	64	-0.3
●Bruce Maxwell 2015 · AA	24	45→48	39→45	39→30	46	216/275/296	80	283	7	2	25%	7%	58	-1.2	235/292/337	102	301	10	2	24%	7%	76	+0.0	243/309/372	129	317	12	1	26%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Drew Ward 2018 · AA	23	43→45	43→55	41→30	41	210/273/319	110	314	12	2	35%	7%	64	-0.8	212/274/355	143	334	17	3	39%	7%	74	-0.1	200/266/360	160	314	20	1	41%	7%	69	-0.3