Jac Caglianone

RF Kansas City Royals

Age 24 L/L 6'4" / 250 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.686 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	A+KC	126	.241/.302/.388	2	2	51	—	.212/.262/.339
2025	22	MLBKC	232	.157/.237/.295	7	1	55	-2.0
2026	23	MLBKC	553	.289/.341/.494	23	7	138	3.3
2027PROJ	24	MLBKC	553	.266/.324/.464	23	7	125	2.1
2028PROJ	25	MLBKC	563	.270/.328/.479	25	7	130	2.5
2029PROJ	26	MLBKC	558	.269/.327/.479	25	7	130	2.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 7.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.686First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$6M2031Arb-2$10M2032Arb-3$12M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Avg EV90

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Bat Spd90

xwOBA83

Barrel%80

Form.269/.319/.460 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .271/.326/.479

CompsKyle Schwarber (age 24) · Jay Bruce (age 24) · Rafael Devers (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 116125vR 128

AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .324 / .464

PA553

HR23

SB7

K%26

BB%7

BABIP324

ISO200

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$80M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 53 / POW 73

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT53

Whiff%

903.8%

xAVG

730.269

POWER73

Barrel%

8012.7

Avg EV

9092.1

Bat Spd

9076.0

EYE55

Chase%

9012.2%

SPEED41

Sprint

4027.0

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%26%·26% over 84 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%6%▼5% over 84 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.191▼.154 over 78 AB (60d) · proj .209

HR/BB5.0%▼1.8% over 56 BBE (60d) · proj 6.7%

BABIP.338▲.491 over 55 BIP (60d) · proj .328

SLASH.269/.319/.460▼proj .271/.326/.479

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 315 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

226

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

267

258

◀L

ISO

172

118

◀◀L

BABIP

222

224

—

27.0%

23.4%

▶R

BB%

4.5%

8.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$20M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$19M	+$18M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2030	Arb-1	$6M	+2.4	$15M	+$11M
2031	Arb-2	$10M	+2.1	$12M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$12M	+1.8	$10M	+$3M
Totals		$30M		$93M	+$73M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	116	28	9	1	2	7	26	3	2	0	241	302	388	690	147	295	21	6	309	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	100	89	21	4	0	5	8	19	1	2	1	236	306	449	756	213	239	19	8	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	232	210	33	6	1	7	18	52	4	1	0	157	237	295	532	138	172	22	8	244	55	-12	+0	-7	-6	+5	-2.0
2025	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	129	112	40	6	0	11	12	20	3	1	0	357	433	705	1.138	348	349	16	9	481	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	175	152	49	8	0	9	19	37	1	2	1	322	401	553	954	230	367	21	11	411	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	553	512	148	32	2	23	33	144	7	7	2	289	341	494	835	205	361	26	6	367	138	+25	+1	+1	-6	+12	3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	785	722	181	38	3	30	51	196	11	8	2	251	310	436	746	186	304	25	6	330	110	+9	+1	-6	-12	+17	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	118	25	7	1	2	5	32	3	2	0	212	262	339	601	127	260	25	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	232	210	34	6	1	8	18	52	4	1	0	162	241	314	556	152	172	22	8	249	55	-12	+0	-7	-6	+5	-2.0
2025	22	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	129	115	33	5	0	8	9	24	3	1	0	287	354	539	893	252	289	19	7	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	175	159	44	7	0	7	12	44	1	2	1	277	331	453	784	176	333	25	7	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	553	514	151	32	2	25	31	144	7	7	2	294	342	510	852	216	361	26	6	372	138	+25	+1	+1	-6	+12	3.3
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	43	12	1	3	8	58	4	4	1	203	246	311	557	108	261	26	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	226	205	49	13	1	7	15	45	4	4	1	239	304	415	718	176	271	20	7	317	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	484	112	18	1	23	39	120	8	4	1	231	299	415	715	184	257	22	7	314	99	-1	+0	-7	-6	+12	-0.1
2025	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	536	474	122	20	1	27	49	109	8	4	1	257	337	475	812	217	277	20	9	355	99	-1	+0	-7	-6	+12	-0.1
2026	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	553	514	151	32	2	25	31	144	7	7	2	294	342	510	852	216	364	26	6	372	138	+25	+1	+1	-6	+12	3.3
2026	23	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	553	512	148	32	2	23	33	144	7	7	2	289	341	494	835	205	361	26	6	367	138	+25	+1	+1	-6	+12	3.3
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	43	12	1	3	8	58	4	4	1	203	246	311	557	108	260	26	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	484	112	18	1	23	39	120	8	4	1	231	299	415	715	184	253	22	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	553	510	151	32	2	25	31	144	7	7	2	296	342	514	856	218	361	26	6	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	43	12	1	3	8	58	4	4	1	203	246	311	557	108	260	26	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	484	112	18	1	23	39	120	8	4	1	231	299	415	715	184	253	22	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	553	510	151	32	2	25	31	144	7	7	2	296	342	514	856	218	361	26	6	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	100%	552	504	136	28	2	24	36	142	7	7	2	271	328	480	808	208	328	26	7	353	125	+16	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	100%	553	505	135	28	2	23	36	142	7	7	2	266	324	464	788	198	324	26	7	345	125	+16	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	100%	563	514	141	28	2	27	37	144	7	7	2	275	332	496	828	221	329	26	7	361	130	+20	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	100%	558	509	140	28	2	27	37	143	7	7	2	274	332	495	827	221	328	26	7	360	130	+20	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	KC	100%	553	504	138	28	2	26	37	142	7	6	2	273	331	492	823	219	328	26	7	359	129	+19	+0	-2	-6	+12	2.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	KC	100%	545	497	135	27	2	26	36	142	7	4	2	271	329	487	816	216	326	26	7	356	127	+17	+0	-3	-6	+12	2.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	KC	100%	533	487	131	26	2	25	35	140	6	3	1	267	324	479	803	212	322	26	7	350	123	+15	+0	-3	-6	+12	1.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	KC	100%	521	476	125	25	1	24	34	138	6	1	1	262	319	468	787	206	318	26	7	344	119	+12	-0	-4	-6	+11	1.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	KC	100%	506	463	118	23	1	22	32	136	6	1	1	257	313	456	770	200	313	27	6	337	114	+9	-0	-5	-5	+11	0.9
2035	32	MLB MLE	KC	100%	489	450	113	22	1	21	31	134	5	1	0	250	305	441	746	191	307	27	6	327	108	+5	+0	-5	-5	+11	0.5
2036	33	MLB MLE	KC	100%	457	421	102	19	1	19	28	128	5	0	0	241	296	422	718	180	299	28	6	316	100	-0	+0	-6	-5	+10	-0.1
2037	34	MLB MLE	KC	96%	411	380	88	16	0	16	24	118	4	0	0	231	284	399	683	168	288	29	6	301	90	-5	+0	-6	-4	+9	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	100%	563	514	138	28	2	25	37	144	7	7	2	270	328	479	807	210	325	26	7	352	130	+20	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	100%	558	509	137	28	2	25	37	143	7	7	2	269	327	479	806	209	325	26	7	352	130	+20	+1	-2	-6	+12	2.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	KC	100%	553	504	134	27	2	24	37	142	7	6	2	268	326	476	802	208	324	26	7	350	129	+19	+0	-2	-6	+12	2.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	KC	100%	545	497	133	27	2	24	36	142	7	4	2	266	324	471	795	205	323	26	7	348	127	+17	+0	-3	-6	+12	2.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	KC	100%	533	487	128	26	2	23	35	140	6	3	1	262	320	463	782	201	319	26	7	342	123	+15	+0	-3	-6	+12	1.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	KC	100%	521	476	123	25	1	22	34	138	6	1	1	257	314	452	767	195	314	26	7	336	119	+12	-0	-4	-6	+11	1.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	KC	100%	506	463	117	23	1	21	32	136	6	1	1	252	309	441	750	189	310	27	6	329	114	+9	-0	-5	-5	+11	0.9
2035	32	MLB CTX	KC	100%	489	450	110	22	1	19	31	134	5	1	0	245	301	426	727	181	304	27	6	320	108	+5	+0	-5	-5	+11	0.5
2036	33	MLB CTX	KC	100%	457	421	100	19	1	17	28	128	5	0	0	237	292	407	699	170	296	28	6	308	100	-0	+0	-6	-5	+10	-0.1
2037	34	MLB CTX	KC	96%	393	363	82	15	0	14	23	113	4	0	0	226	280	385	665	159	285	29	6	294	90	-5	+0	-6	-4	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5903	5406	1383	278	17	244	381	1556	71	38	13	256	313	449	762	193	313	26	6	334	117	+120	+2	-45	-67	+128	14.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	153	31	2	27	42	171	8	4	1	257	315	452	767	195	315	26	6	334	117	+13	+0	-5	-7	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7004	6416	1674	332	20	308	445	1829	86	52	17	261	317	463	780	202	316	26	6	341	117	+137	+3	-48	-73	+140	16.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	156	31	2	29	41	170	8	5	2	262	318	467	786	205	318	26	6	341	117	+14	+0	-5	-7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jermaine Dye'96-'09 * career totals — 14 seasons, 7,214 PA	10.9	7,214	325	46	263*	328*	476*	-80	-29	24.8	24.1
/162	664	30	4	-7.3	-2.7	2.3	pk7: 23
#2Aubrey Huff'00-'12 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,786 PA	10.2	6,786	242	37	270*	335*	458*	-92	-24	23.5	23.6
/162	664	24	4	-9.0	-2.3	2.3	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	9.7	6,456	285	45	262	316	466	-69	-45	24.3	22.3
/162	664	29	5	-7.1	-4.6	2.5	pk7: 20
#3Pat Burrell'00-'11 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,520 PA	9.8	6,520	292	7	244*	349*	460*	-81	-52	23.3	21.9
/162	664	30	1	-8.3	-5.2	2.4	pk7: 20
#4Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#5Jim Lemon'50-'63 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,870 PA	5.8	3,870	164	13	258*	323*	481*	-42	-16	12.6	13.4
/162	664	28	2	-7.3	-2.8	2.2	pk7: 14
#6Bruce Campbell'30-'42 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,369 PA	8.1	5,369	106	53	265*	336*	460*	-58	-45	14.3	12.4
/162	664	13	7	-7.1	-5.6	1.8	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jac Caglianone (OGILVIE)	24	49→53	67→73	41	55	269/326/475	207	328	24	7	26%	7%	125	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Kyle Schwarber 2017 · MLB	24	50→49	59→70	45	52	257/342/468	211	324	27	6	28%	11%	128	+3.3	234/324/479	245	278	34	4	29%	11%	124	+3.1	231/350/489	258	271	37	5	29%	14%	136	+4.7
●Jay Bruce 2011 · MLB	24	50→56	58→65	45→50	50	261/325/468	207	301	26	7	23%	8%	122	+2.9	250/315/461	211	295	26	8	24%	8%	116	+2.5	246/310/459	213	290	27	7	25%	8%	114	+2.6
★Rafael Devers 2021 · MLB	24	52→57	59→65	42→45	45	271/318/489	218	306	27	6	21%	6%	124	+3.1	271/330/501	230	299	30	5	20%	7%	132	+3.6	256/342/505	249	299	33	1	25%	11%	138	+4.4
●Kerry Carpenter 2024 · MLB	26	49→53	58→70	42→45	42	257/311/456	199	309	26	6	26%	6%	114	+2.4	256/309/491	235	298	31	4	25%	6%	122	+2.9	247/301/499	252	279	34	1	25%	6%	122	+1.7
★Chris Davis 2010 · MLB	24	50→54	60→70	43→40	39	259/305/473	214	335	28	4	31%	6%	116	+2.5	253/300/436	183	340	23	4	31%	6%	105	+1.7	238/326/500	263	291	37	3	31%	10%	131	+3.7
●Mike Jacobs 2006 · MLB	25	52→54	61→65	42→40	42	276/321/505	228	318	29	3	23%	5%	130	+3.5	261/311/475	214	300	26	3	22%	7%	118	+2.7	253/304/474	220	284	28	2	22%	6%	117	+2.1
●Hank Blalock 2005 · MLB	24	53→57	58→65	40→45	52	276/342/489	213	306	26	3	19%	9%	132	+3.7	267/325/443	176	299	21	3	18%	8%	116	+2.5	265/322/430	165	295	19	2	17%	7%	112	+1.9
●Matt Adams 2014 · MLB	25	51→56	60→65	42→40	43	271/313/484	213	315	29	3	24%	6%	122	+2.9	264/304/444	180	312	22	4	22%	5%	108	+1.9	250/304/490	239	274	35	0	23%	7%	122	+1.7
●Jesús Sánchez 2022 · MLB	24	49→54	57→60	46→50	43	256/311/454	198	319	26	4	28%	7%	114	+2.3	253/316/443	190	319	22	8	27%	8%	113	+2.3	251/317/433	182	316	21	10	26%	8%	111	+1.7
●Eloy Jiménez 2021 · MLB	24	51→57	62→65	45→40	43	275/318/502	227	317	31	2	24%	6%	128	+3.3	265/316/451	186	315	25	2	24%	7%	115	+2.4	265/318/434	169	309	23	0	22%	7%	112	+1.4
★Anthony Rizzo 2013 · MLB	23	49→56	59→65	43→45	46	258/318/470	212	301	27	7	24%	7%	120	+2.8	260/342/474	214	285	27	7	19%	9%	129	+3.4	273/374/511	237	281	29	9	15%	10%	150	+5.7
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	52→53	60→65	45	52	270/349/494	224	317	27	4	24%	10%	137	+4.0	263/357/483	220	314	28	6	24%	11%	137	+4.0	264/362/480	216	315	28	5	24%	12%	139	+3.5
●Franmil Reyes 2019 · MLB	24	49→53	56→65	41→45	44	253/310/439	187	318	25	3	29%	7%	109	+2.0	255/319/481	226	317	33	3	29%	9%	123	+3.0	251/318/495	245	304	36	2	30%	9%	127	+2.3
★Mark Reynolds 2008 · MLB	24	49→56	57→65	43→50	44	253/315/457	204	329	25	3	30%	8%	116	+2.5	243/326/474	231	326	30	11	33%	10%	124	+3.1	229/324/470	241	302	33	13	34%	11%	123	+3.1
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2015 · MLB	24	48→56	57→60	42→45	42	250/309/453	203	317	25	4	29%	7%	113	+2.3	223/284/402	179	290	23	3	31%	7%	92	+0.7	217/296/406	188	293	24	3	33%	8%	96	+0.5
★Pete Alonso 2019 · AAA	24	47→52	58→70	37→40	45	245/320/453	208	303	26	3	28%	8%	117	+2.6	256/338/524	268	289	37	3	25%	9%	140	+4.2	258/342/495	237	295	32	3	24%	9%	135	+4.6
●Pedro Álvarez 2011 · MLB	24	48	57→65	42→45	45	247/310/447	200	324	24	4	31%	8%	112	+2.2	234/300/430	196	305	26	3	31%	8%	104	+1.6	236/300/460	224	282	33	4	29%	8%	112	+2.0
●Eric Chavez 2002 · MLB	24	52→53	61→65	46→45	50	276/328/504	229	287	29	7	17%	7%	132	+3.6	273/336/500	227	288	29	8	16%	9%	133	+3.7	271/346/497	226	283	29	7	16%	10%	137	+4.2
●Paul DeJong 2018 · MLB	24	48→51	57→65	43→45	38	252/295/450	198	316	26	4	29%	5%	107	+1.8	243/310/444	201	291	26	5	26%	7%	112	+2.2	236/315/431	196	277	25	5	24%	8%	112	+1.6
●Colby Rasmus 2011 · MLB	24	49→54	55→65	46→50	49	254/319/438	184	302	22	11	24%	9%	112	+2.2	239/304/423	184	289	22	6	24%	8%	103	+1.6	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9

Jac Caglianone

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps