Garrett Wright — OGILVIE

Garrett Wright P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%23.5%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	7	0	9	35	12	0	0	0%	1.3	34.3%	0.0%	34.3%	0.0%	0.96	0.20	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	7	0	9	35	12	0	0	0%	1.3	34.3%	0.0%	34.3%	0.0%	0.96	0.20	—
2024	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	7	0	9	35	12	0	0	0%	1.3	34.3%	0.0%	34.3%	0.0%	0.96	0.53	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	5	0	7	30	10	3	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	3.3%	4.91	3.38	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	5	0	7	30	10	3	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	3.3%	4.91	3.38	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	5	0	7	30	10	3	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	3.3%	4.91	3.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	41	0	56	236	77	36	5	0%	1.4	24.4%	18.6%	5.7%	2.9%	4.20	4.98	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	41	0	56	236	77	36	5	0%	1.4	24.4%	18.6%	5.7%	2.9%	4.20	4.98	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	CWS	4	0	7	22	10	1	0	0%	1.7	45.5%	4.5%	40.9%	0.0%	0.00	-0.16	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	CWS	28	0	38	161	54	27	3	0%	1.4	33.5%	16.8%	16.8%	1.9%	4.26	3.41	—
2026	24	AA RAW	CWS	9	0	11	53	13	8	2	0%	1.2	24.5%	15.1%	9.4%	3.8%	6.55	5.01	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	53	0	55	233	56	28	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.67	4.61	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	53	0	55	233	56	27	7	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.7%	12.4%	3.0%	4.60	4.57	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	23	0	24	101	24	12	3	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.67	4.61	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	35	0	37	156	38	18	5	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.7%	12.4%	3.0%	4.60	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	60	255	61	30	8	0%	1.0	24.0%	11.8%	12.2%	3.0%	4.63	4.20	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	202	99	26	0%	1.1	24.0%	11.8%	12.2%	3.0%	4.63	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		53	0	72	301	79	47	8	0%	1.4	26.4%	15.6%	10.8%	2.6%	3.86	4.27	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	832	220	130	22	0%	1.4	26.4%	15.6%	10.8%	2.6%	3.86	4.27	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Wright (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.5%	13.2%	3.0%	—	4.59	24.0%	12.2%	110	-0.23	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	94
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	92
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	91
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	90
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	90
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	89
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	89
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	89
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	88
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	87
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	87
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	23.9%	12.1%	1.16	4.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10