Tanner Murray — OGILVIE

Tanner MurrayLF Chicago White Sox

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 2 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%4

BABIP298

ISO120

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT40

xAVG

100.191

POWER50

Barrel%

538.7

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	123	109	37	12	1	2	9	20	4	2	2	339	410	523	933	183	398	16	7	409	163	+9	-0	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	33	12	6	1	2	4	3	2	2	0	364	462	788	1.249	424	357	8	10	525	241	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	270	250	69	12	2	6	13	50	5	6	4	276	325	412	737	136	321	19	5	327	107	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.8
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	24	18	5	0	0	0	4	4	1	0	1	278	435	278	713		333	17	17	335	113	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	20	20	4	4	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	286	30	0	257	60	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	200	176	45	13	2	5	20	40	3	0	1	256	340	438	778	182	305	20	10	346	120	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	15	14	6	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	429	467	714	1.181	286	500	20	7	512	233	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	448	420	122	29	3	7	21	73	4	4	0	290	330	424	754	133	335	16	5	333	112	+6	+1	—	—	+10	1.7
2024	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	21	21	4	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	190	190	238	429	48	267	29	0	190	15	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	97	-2	-1	—	—	+12	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	123	112	35	11	1	2	6	28	4	2	2	312	369	482	851	170	383	23	5	350	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	39	35	10	4	1	2	2	4	2	2	0	286	359	629	988	343	263	10	5	383	145	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	270	255	60	9	2	5	8	67	5	6	4	235	272	345	617	110	293	25	3	265	65	-11	-0	—	—	+6	-0.6
2023	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	20	20	3	3	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	150	150	300	450	150	233	35	0	186	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	200	184	44	12	2	4	13	48	3	0	1	239	300	391	691	152	296	24	6	290	82	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	357	400	643	1.043	286	394	27	7	364	132	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	448	427	108	25	2	6	14	89	4	4	0	253	283	363	646	110	303	20	3	280	76	-13	+1	—	—	+10	-0.3
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	535	112	26	0	9	26	157	6	5	4	209	254	308	562	99	270	27	5	246	53	-32	-1	—	—	+12	-2.1
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	162	146	43	16	1	3	9	32	6	4	2	295	360	479	840	185	357	20	6	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	162	142	49	18	2	4	13	23	6	4	2	345	422	585	1.007	239	388	14	8	437	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	276	65	10	2	5	9	73	6	6	5	236	275	341	615	105	299	25	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	294	268	74	12	2	6	17	54	6	6	5	276	333	403	736	127	322	18	6	327	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	235	219	50	15	2	4	13	59	3	0	1	228	281	370	651	142	295	25	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	235	210	55	18	2	6	21	49	3	0	1	262	336	452	789	190	316	21	9	349	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	114	26	3	6	15	93	4	4	0	255	285	367	652	112	308	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	469	441	126	30	3	7	21	79	4	4	0	286	324	415	739	129	332	17	4	327	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	535	112	26	0	9	26	157	6	5	4	209	254	308	562	99	276	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	162	146	43	16	1	3	9	32	6	4	2	295	360	479	840	185	354	20	6	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	294	277	65	10	2	5	9	73	6	6	5	235	275	339	614	105	293	25	3	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	235	217	50	15	2	4	13	59	3	0	1	230	281	373	654	143	297	25	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	114	26	3	6	15	93	4	4	0	255	285	367	652	112	303	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	535	112	26	0	9	26	157	6	5	4	209	254	308	562	99	270	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	235	217	50	15	2	4	13	59	3	0	1	230	281	373	654	143	297	25	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	447	114	26	3	6	15	93	4	4	0	255	285	367	652	112	303	20	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	572	535	112	26	0	9	26	157	6	5	4	209	254	308	562	99	270	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	CWS	—	63	53	12	1	0	2	6	15	2	2	0	226	328	358	686	132	270	24	10	298	88	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	CWS	—	33	28	6	0	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	214	290	321	612	107	238	21	6	265	88	-0	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
YTD	26	AAA RAW	CWS	—	30	23	7	1	0	2	6	7	1	2	0	304	467	609	1.075	304	357	23	20	466	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	CWS	—	33	28	6	0	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	214	290	321	612	107	238	21	6	265	65	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CWS	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						297	50	0	281	76	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						298	50	0	273	76	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CWS	—	35	30	6	0	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	200	273	300	573	100	227	23	6	265	88	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
TOT	26	MLB MLE	CWS	—	65	55	12	1	0	2	6	16	2	2	0	218	317	345	663	127	263	25	9	298	88	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	395	365	85	18	1	9	22	104	5	4	1	233	286	362	647	129	298	26	6	288	81	-9	+0	-1	-4	+9	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	403	371	86	18	1	9	24	106	5	4	1	232	287	358	646	127	297	26	6	289	82	-9	+0	-2	-4	+9	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	398	366	85	18	1	9	24	104	5	4	1	232	289	361	649	128	296	26	6	289	82	-9	+0	-2	-4	+9	-0.6
2030	30	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	394	362	83	17	1	9	24	104	5	3	1	229	286	356	643	127	294	26	6	287	80	-9	+0	-3	-4	+9	-0.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	257	238	56	12	1	6	14	68	3	3	1	235	286	370	656	134	299	26	5	280	81	-6	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	262	242	57	12	1	6	15	69	3	3	1	236	288	368	656	132	298	26	6	282	82	-6	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	259	238	56	12	1	6	16	68	3	3	0	235	292	370	662	134	297	26	6	282	82	-6	+1	-1	-3	+6	-0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	256	235	54	11	1	6	16	67	3	2	0	230	287	362	649	132	295	26	6	280	80	-6	+0	-2	-3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1036	955	223	47	4	24	61	273	12	11	2	234	288	366	654	133	301	26	6	281	76	-23	+1	-5	-11	+22	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	140	29	3	15	38	171	8	7	1	234	289	367	656	134	300	26	6	281	76	-15	+1	-3	-7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3324	3089	723	164	12	63	166	833	45	34	16	234	283	356	639	122	298	25	5	281	76	-36	+1	-8	-17	+34	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	141	32	2	12	32	163	9	7	3	233	282	353	635	119	298	25	5	281	76	-15	+1	-3	-7	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,284	28	12	232	282	359	+1	-0	1.1	1.1
/162	664	15	6	+0.5	-0.1	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Murray (OGILVIE)	26	40	45→50	40	40	228/277/347	119	297	5	3	27%	5%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	41	44→45	39→40	41	207/259/324	117	268	13	5	28%	6%	64	-1.3	215/272/325	110	272	11	4	24%	6%	69	-0.9	221/280/350	129	265	16	2	23%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Matt Macri 2008 · AAA	26	46→40	47→50	42→45	41	232/277/371	139	289	15	7	25%	5%	81	-0.1	214/262/348	134	276	13	6	27%	5%	70	-0.8	200/252/329	129	259	12	4	27%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Jett Bandy 2016 · AAA	26	44	46→50	40→45	41	225/283/354	129	267	15	3	22%	4%	80	-0.1	224/283/359	135	266	16	5	22%	5%	82	-0.0	215/279/349	134	253	17	4	22%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Chad Wallach 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	44→50	42→40	42	200/266/312	112	273	12	4	31%	7%	64	-1.3	214/284/340	126	298	14	5	31%	8%	77	-0.3	191/260/331	140	266	19	2	35%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Iker Franco 2007 · AAA	26	45→46	43→50	38→40	40	222/257/325	104	280	11	3	25%	4%	62	-1.4	224/270/346	122	259	14	4	19%	6%	73	-0.6	231/294/354	123	268	15	0	19%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	38	45→50	43→30	40	195/251/314	119	251	12	5	28%	6%	59	-1.7	194/251/327	133	244	16	4	27%	6%	62	-1.4	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→41	48→50	45	41	201/263/342	141	261	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/360	144	284	15	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	212/276/353	142	282	15	7	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Daniel Sanchez 2019 · AAA	26	46	44→45	46→30	39	228/267/338	111	289	12	8	26%	4%	70	-0.9	237/301/360	123	283	13	7	20%	6%	88	+0.4	240/308/345	106	279	11	0	18%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	26	46→45	44→55	42→40	41	224/283/336	111	315	13	5	32%	7%	76	-0.4	233/296/325	92	332	9	6	30%	7%	78	-0.3	218/281/379	161	310	22	2	36%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Ryan Rohlinger 2010 · MLB	26	44→47	46→50	44→40	45	223/281/355	132	262	13	5	21%	6%	79	-0.2	226/295/345	119	274	11	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	218/295/324	105	262	10	3	20%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA	25	43	46→50	43→45	40	218/263/348	130	282	14	4	28%	5%	71	-0.8	220/273/338	118	292	13	6	28%	6%	72	-0.7	215/270/323	108	281	13	5	27%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Brian Anderson 2008 · MLB	26	45→48	46→50	41→45	44	225/281/357	132	281	14	7	25%	7%	79	-0.2	226/285/372	146	284	16	9	25%	7%	85	+0.2	222/283/369	147	277	17	9	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jeff Mathis 2009 · MLB	26	41→46	45→50	42→45	46	207/268/327	120	257	13	5	25%	7%	68	-1.0	200/259/305	105	261	11	6	27%	7%	59	-1.6	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕René Rivera 2009 · MLB	26	41→33	43→55	40→30	41	207/254/313	106	265	11	4	26%	5%	59	-1.7	216/255/342	126	277	14	3	27%	4%	66	-1.1	238/298/393	156	304	23	0	29%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Ryan Casteel 2017 · AAA	26	45→49	42→55	44→40	37	220/257/325	104	308	10	6	31%	5%	62	-1.4	223/266/350	127	299	14	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	212/260/355	143	277	18	0	30%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Tomás Nido 2020 · MLB	26	44→43	43→45	46→30	40	218/254/328	110	269	10	3	23%	4%	62	-1.4	230/271/350	120	296	13	5	26%	5%	74	-0.6	224/261/305	81	292	8	1	25%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Dusty Brown 2008 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→30	43	212/265/329	117	275	11	3	27%	6%	67	-1.1	222/283/330	108	300	10	3	28%	7%	74	-0.6	189/261/325	136	237	14	2	26%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Alan Trejo 2022 · MLB	26	40→44	48→55	42→45	39	206/245/357	150	259	15	5	27%	5%	65	-1.2	223/270/364	141	285	15	8	27%	5%	77	-0.3	219/270/343	124	280	14	8	26%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Freddy Fermin 2021 · AA	26	42	44→50	44→40	42	212/251/325	113	248	13	5	21%	5%	60	-1.6	233/292/376	143	277	17	3	22%	7%	88	+0.5	252/312/397	144	294	18	2	20%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Jack Mayfield 2017 · AAA	26	42→46	45→55	45→50	43	212/261/333	120	257	13	6	24%	6%	67	-1.1	223/265/378	155	268	19	8	24%	5%	78	-0.3	221/268/397	176	255	22	7	23%	5%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps