Tanner Murray — OGILVIE

Tanner Murray2B Chicago White Sox

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .281 / .356

PA187

HR4

K%26

BB%5

BABIP301

ISO121

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT40

xwOBA

210.275

POWER50

Barrel%

538.7

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

7173.5

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	162	147	45	17	1	3	8	33	6	4	2	306	366	497	863	190	375	20	5	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	162	142	49	18	2	4	13	23	6	4	2	345	422	585	1.007	239	388	14	8	437	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	276	65	9	3	5	9	73	6	6	5	236	275	344	619	109	299	25	3	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	294	268	74	12	2	6	17	54	6	6	5	276	333	403	736	127	322	18	6	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	235	219	51	15	1	5	13	61	3	0	1	233	285	379	664	146	301	26	6	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	235	210	55	18	2	6	21	49	3	0	1	262	336	452	789	190	316	21	9	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	469	447	113	27	2	7	15	99	4	4	0	253	283	369	652	116	308	21	3	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	469	441	126	30	3	7	21	79	4	4	0	286	324	415	739	129	332	17	4	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	572	536	119	28	0	9	25	149	6	5	4	222	265	325	589	103	288	26	4	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	CWS	—	63	53	13	1	0	3	6	15	2	2	0	245	344	434	778	189	278	24	10	308	94	-0	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
YTD	26	MLB	CWS	—	63	51	13	1	0	3	8	14	2	2	0	255	377	451	828	196	286	22	13	361	134	+2	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.4
ROS	26	MLB	CWS	100%	187	174	41	9	0	4	9	48	2	2	0	236	281	356	637	121	299	26	5	289	79	-4	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	CWS	100%	187	174	41	9	0	4	9	48	2	2	0	236	281	356	637	121	300	26	5	281	73	-6	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.3
FULL	26	MLB	CWS	—	250	227	54	10	0	7	15	63	4	4	0	238	297	374	671	137	296	25	6	288	79	-6	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.2
TOT	26	MLB	CWS	—	250	227	54	10	0	7	15	63	4	4	0	238	297	374	671	137	296	25	6	294	83	-5	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CWS	65%	605	560	133	28	2	14	33	154	7	7	1	237	288	370	658	132	299	25	5	292	82	-12	+1	-2	-6	+17	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	CWS	65%	593	547	130	27	2	14	34	150	7	6	1	238	291	371	662	133	298	25	6	294	83	-12	+1	-2	-6	+17	-0.3
2029	29	MLB	CWS	65%	581	534	125	26	1	14	35	148	7	6	1	234	290	365	655	131	297	25	6	293	83	-11	+1	-3	-6	+16	-0.3
2030	30	MLB	CWS	65%	570	523	122	26	1	13	35	146	7	5	1	233	290	361	652	128	296	26	6	291	81	-12	+1	-4	-6	+16	-0.5
2031	31	MLB	CWS	65%	558	512	118	25	1	12	34	145	7	4	1	230	288	354	641	123	293	26	6	287	78	-14	+0	-4	-6	+16	-0.8
2032	32	MLB	CWS	65%	547	503	114	23	1	12	33	144	6	3	1	227	282	348	630	121	290	26	6	281	73	-16	+0	-5	-6	+15	-1.2
2027	27	MLB	CWS	65%	393	364	87	19	1	9	21	100	5	4	1	239	290	371	661	132	300	25	5	285	76	-11	+0	-1	-4	+11	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	CWS	65%	385	355	84	18	1	9	22	98	5	4	1	237	291	369	660	132	299	25	6	286	77	-10	+0	-1	-4	+11	-0.4
2029	29	MLB	CWS	65%	378	347	82	17	1	9	23	96	5	4	1	236	293	369	662	133	298	25	6	286	77	-10	+0	-2	-4	+11	-0.5
2030	30	MLB	CWS	65%	370	341	80	17	1	9	22	95	4	3	1	235	289	370	658	135	297	26	6	284	75	-10	+0	-2	-4	+10	-0.6
2031	31	MLB	CWS	65%	363	334	77	16	1	8	22	94	4	3	1	231	286	356	642	126	294	26	6	280	72	-11	+0	-3	-4	+10	-0.8
2032	32	MLB	CWS	65%	356	328	75	15	1	8	21	94	4	2	0	229	283	354	637	125	291	26	6	274	68	-13	+0	-3	-4	+10	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2432	2243	526	111	6	56	140	625	29	22	5	235	288	364	652	130	298	26	6	282	74	-71	+2	-13	-26	+69	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	141	30	2	15	37	167	8	6	1	235	288	367	656	132	300	26	6	282	74	-19	+1	-4	-7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	5373	4978	1176	260	15	112	283	1350	68	52	18	236	287	362	649	126	300	25	5	287	78	-137	+3	-20	-58	+152	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	142	31	2	14	34	163	8	6	2	236	286	364	650	128	298	25	5	287	78	-17	+0	-2	-7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	123	109	37	12	1	2	9	20	4	2	2	339	410	523	933	183	398	16	7	409	171	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	39	33	12	6	1	2	4	3	2	2	0	364	462	788	1.249	424	357	8	10	525	260	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	270	250	69	12	2	6	13	50	5	6	4	276	325	412	737	136	321	19	5	327	108	+2	-0	—	—	+8	1.0
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	24	18	5	0	0	0	4	4	1	0	1	278	435	278	713		333	17	17	335	115	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	20	20	4	4	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	286	30	0	257	55	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	200	176	45	13	2	5	20	40	3	0	1	256	340	438	778	182	305	20	10	346	123	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	15	14	6	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	429	467	714	1.181	286	500	20	7	512	250	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	448	420	122	29	3	7	21	73	4	4	0	290	330	424	754	133	335	16	5	333	113	+7	+1	—	—	+13	2.1
2024	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	21	21	4	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	190	190	238	429	48	267	29	0	190	4	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	572	522	126	29	0	18	39	138	6	5	4	241	302	400	702	159	292	24	7	311	96	-3	-1	—	—	+16	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,495	56	22	235	284	363	+5	-0	2.0	2.0
	/162	664	15	6	235	284	363	+1.4	-0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Murray (OGILVIE)	26	40	45→50	40	40	238/297/374	137	296	7	4	25%	6%	83	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	41	46→50	39→40	41	210/261/338	128	269	15	5	28%	6%	64	-0.8	218/273/337	119	273	12	4	24%	6%	69	-0.4	231/290/376	145	269	19	2	22%	6%	82	+0.2
✕Sebastian Valle 2016 · AAA	26	44→49	43→50	41→40	38	221/254/336	115	287	11	4	27%	4%	59	-1.1	212/255/318	106	314	10	5	34%	5%	55	-1.4	221/277/371	150	290	18	2	30%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Iker Franco 2007 · AAA	26	44→47	44→50	38→40	39	222/257/332	110	283	12	3	26%	4%	59	-1.1	227/274/362	135	260	16	4	19%	6%	75	-0.0	242/301/376	134	279	17	0	20%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Matt Duffy 2015 · AAA	26	47→50	47→50	40	38	235/287/369	134	296	15	3	26%	4%	83	+0.6	231/284/367	136	296	16	4	27%	5%	82	+0.5	225/284/360	135	287	17	3	27%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Daniel Sanchez 2019 · AAA	26	45	45	46→30	37	225/260/343	118	288	13	8	27%	4%	64	-0.8	236/295/361	125	283	13	7	21%	6%	84	+0.6	240/307/351	111	280	12	0	18%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Billy Fleming 2019 · AAA	26	47	45	45→40	43	234/278/361	127	279	12	5	21%	5%	76	+0.1	228/282/344	116	320	12	6	31%	6%	74	-0.1	215/275/312	97	333	11	0	36%	7%	59	-0.4
✕Craig Tatum 2009 · AAA	26	44→46	44→45	41→30	39	222/262/341	118	286	12	3	27%	5%	64	-0.8	211/264/294	83	273	7	4	24%	6%	53	-1.5	198/259/252	54	255	3	2	22%	7%	37	-0.9
✕Alex De Goti 2021 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	43→50	43	232/282/362	130	283	14	7	23%	6%	79	+0.3	209/281/316	107	283	9	8	27%	8%	66	-0.6	195/277/292	97	267	7	7	28%	9%	56	-0.9
✕Jett Bandy 2016 · AAA	26	45	48→50	40→45	40	227/285/364	137	271	16	3	23%	4%	81	+0.4	223/282/361	138	266	17	5	23%	5%	79	+0.3	213/276/348	135	252	17	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2008 · AAA	26	42	45	45→30	42	212/265/335	123	277	13	3	28%	6%	64	-0.8	224/285/342	118	301	12	3	28%	7%	75	-0.0	197/270/356	159	242	17	2	26%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	25	46→42	43→45	43→30	42	230/270/333	103	272	12	2	20%	5%	65	-0.7	234/273/346	112	280	14	4	21%	5%	70	-0.3	264/296/391	127	296	19	1	18%	4%	88	+0.4
✕Chad Wallach 2018 · AAA	26	39→49	46→50	43→40	42	203/261/331	127	260	15	4	28%	6%	63	-0.9	213/278/331	118	292	12	5	30%	7%	69	-0.4	186/257/330	144	259	20	2	35%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA	25	42	47→50	43→45	39	217/261/350	133	284	15	4	29%	5%	66	-0.6	221/273/351	130	297	15	6	30%	6%	72	-0.2	216/270/343	127	285	17	5	30%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Trey Harris 2022 · AA	26	46→52	47→50	44→45	40	234/282/364	130	284	15	6	23%	4%	79	+0.3	212/265/299	87	284	8	8	27%	5%	55	-1.4	197/249/265	68	272	4	7	28%	4%	35	-1.5
✕Sean Ochinko 2014 · AAA	26	44→50	44→50	38→30	43	218/269/337	119	267	11	3	23%	6%	66	-0.6	221/260/325	104	255	9	4	17%	5%	59	-1.1	240/263/322	83	262	5	0	11%	3%	54	-0.6
✕Jonathan Mota 2013 · AAA	26	45→47	46→45	44→45	38	227/259/356	129	276	14	5	24%	4%	67	-0.5	224/260/331	107	286	11	5	25%	4%	60	-1.0	218/251/305	88	275	9	3	24%	4%	48	-1.1
✕René Rivera 2009 · MLB	26	41→32	44→55	40→30	40	206/253/316	110	266	12	4	27%	5%	54	-1.4	219/258/355	136	279	16	3	27%	4%	66	-0.6	242/294/386	143	293	15	0	22%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Jack Mayfield 2016 · AA	25	45	44→60	42→50	42	223/273/339	115	282	12	5	25%	6%	69	-0.4	219/262/359	140	270	16	8	25%	5%	69	-0.4	227/274/412	185	261	24	7	23%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Tony Cruz 2013 · MLB	26	49→38	43→45	38→40	43	239/280/355	116	289	9	3	21%	5%	75	-0.0	218/265/318	100	264	8	4	20%	6%	59	-1.1	221/272/324	103	285	10	1	25%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2021 · AAA	25	42	47→50	45→50	45	213/277/348	135	274	14	7	27%	7%	73	-0.1	197/276/346	149	249	19	12	28%	9%	73	-0.1	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3