Caden Rose — OGILVIE

Caden RoseOF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION178 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .263 / .300

PA118

HR2

K%38

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	INTL	3 teams	—	245	223	35	8	1	4	15	109	7	8	1	157	233	256	488	99	282	44	6	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	3 teams	—	245	210	48	11	1	6	28	72	7	8	1	229	339	376	715	148	318	29	11	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	254	29	3	2	4	19	161	14	11	4	114	216	189	405	75	275	56	7	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	BOS	—	178	159	30	7	1	2	14	67	4	10	1	189	271	283	554	94	311	38	8	243	44	-11	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
YTD	24	AA	BOS	—	178	153	36	9	1	2	20	52	4	10	1	235	339	346	685	111	343	29	11	314	99	-0	+2	+0	-1	+5	0.5
ROS	24	AA	BOS	2%	118	106	20	4	1	2	8	45	3	4	1	187	263	300	563	112	277	38	7	239	41	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
ROS	24	MLB	BOS	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						283	50	0	223	29	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	BOS	—	180	161	30	7	1	2	14	68	4	10	1	186	268	280	548	93	308	38	8	243	44	-11	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
TOT	24	AA	BOS	—	296	265	50	11	2	4	22	112	7	14	2	188	268	290	558	102	305	38	7	241	43	-19	+2	+0	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	31%	322	288	52	10	2	5	23	116	8	8	2	181	260	281	541	101	278	36	7	250	49	-18	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
2028	26	MLB	BOS	45%	373	333	63	12	2	7	28	131	9	8	2	189	270	300	571	111	280	35	8	257	55	-19	+1	+0	-2	+11	-1.0
2029	27	MLB	BOS	49%	394	352	66	13	2	7	30	136	9	8	2	188	269	295	564	108	280	35	8	261	58	-19	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.9
2030	28	MLB	BOS	52%	406	363	70	14	2	8	31	139	9	8	2	193	273	309	581	116	280	34	8	261	58	-19	+1	-1	-2	+12	-1.0
2027	25	MLB	BOS	31%	100	91	16	3	0	2	7	36	2	2	0	176	250	275	525	99	284	36	7	236	39	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	BOS	45%	166	149	29	6	1	3	12	58	4	4	1	195	273	309	581	114	286	35	7	244	45	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2029	27	MLB	BOS	49%	194	173	34	7	1	4	15	67	4	4	1	197	276	318	594	121	287	35	8	248	48	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2030	28	MLB	BOS	52%	210	187	36	7	1	4	16	72	5	4	1	193	274	305	579	112	286	34	8	249	49	-12	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	672	602	115	23	3	13	50	234	15	14	3	191	270	304	574	113	285	35	7	246	46	-41	+2	-0	-4	+19	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	112	22	3	13	48	226	15	14	3	192	271	308	579	115	286	35	7	246	46	-40	+2	-0	-4	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	2148	1919	335	64	12	37	154	837	59	55	14	175	257	278	535	104	282	39	7	243	44	-136	+5	-1	-13	+61	-8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	101	19	4	11	47	253	18	17	4	174	257	277	534	103	281	39	7	243	44	-41	+2	-0	-4	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	101	91	17	1	1	4	7	33	3	0	0	187	267	352	619	165	241	33	7	280	72	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	42	34	12	6	0	0	5	10	3	3	1	353	476	529	1.006	176	500	24	12	448	201	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	102	85	19	4	0	2	16	29	1	5	0	224	353	341	694	118	315	28	16	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	64	-12	+1	—	—	+8	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	675	12	15	189	266	298	-4	+0	-1.7	-0.9
	/162	664	12	14	189	266	298	-4.0	+0.0	-1.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Rose (OGILVIE)	24	20	40	50	45	188/268/290	102	305	4	14	38%	7%	43	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→31	43→50	46→50	34	189/235/299	110	285	10	11	36%	5%	42	-2.3	188/238/321	133	290	15	12	39%	5%	50	-1.8	159/216/313	154	231	21	14	41%	7%	37	-1.4
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Gift Ngoepe 2014 · AA	24	39→40	38→45	51→50	37	180/245/262	82	309	5	17	41%	7%	37	-2.6	203/256/312	109	315	10	11	36%	6%	55	-1.4	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕David Harris 2016 · A	24	39	42→45	47→50	32	195/235/294	99	289	10	9	35%	4%	40	-2.4	198/245/293	95	308	8	10	36%	5%	44	-2.1	157/197/226	69	262	5	10	40%	3%	4	-0.9
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	37→43	42→45	42→50	40	182/253/289	107	277	8	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	202/276/293	91	279	9	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	197/277/277	81	264	9	14	27%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6