Caden Rose — OGILVIE

Caden RoseOF Portland Sea Dogs

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP274

ISO91

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	101	91	17	1	1	4	7	33	3	0	0	187	267	352	619	165	241	33	7	280	76	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	42	34	12	6	0	0	5	10	3	3	1	353	476	529	1.006	176	500	24	12	448	190	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	102	85	19	4	0	2	16	29	1	5	0	224	353	341	694	118	315	28	16	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	68	-11	+1	—	—	+6	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	101	93	13	1	1	3	5	46	3	0	0	140	208	269	477	129	218	46	5	196	19	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	42	36	9	4	0	0	3	15	3	3	1	250	357	361	718	111	435	36	7	327	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	253	31	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	123	226	202	428	79	251	51	7	196	19	-28	+1	—	—	+6	-2.2
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	224	36	8	1	4	14	105	7	8	1	161	233	259	492	98	278	43	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	245	210	48	11	1	6	28	72	7	8	1	229	339	376	715	148	318	29	11	327	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	253	31	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	123	226	202	428	79	262	51	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	243	39	6	3	6	30	119	14	11	4	160	289	284	573	123	275	41	10	269	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	222	36	8	1	4	14	105	7	8	1	162	233	261	494	99	282	43	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	254	31	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	122	226	201	427	79	251	51	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	245	222	36	8	1	4	14	105	7	8	1	162	233	261	494	99	282	43	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	290	254	31	4	2	4	20	148	14	11	4	122	226	201	427	79	251	51	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	BOS	—	251	222	39	10	1	2	21	89	6	12	1	176	265	257	522	81	280	35	8	237	47	-16	+2	+0	-2	+5	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	BOS	—	251	212	45	12	1	3	31	73	6	12	1	212	329	321	650	108	307	29	12	301	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	BOS	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	33	11	242	50	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	BOS	—	260	230	40	10	1	2	22	92	6	12	1	174	264	252	516	78	277	35	8	237	47	-17	+2	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	321	286	52	11	1	5	25	109	7	8	1	182	264	280	544	98	270	34	8	253	58	-16	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	372	331	63	13	2	7	30	123	8	8	1	190	274	305	579	115	272	33	8	261	63	-17	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	393	349	67	14	2	7	32	128	9	8	1	192	277	304	581	112	273	33	8	264	65	-16	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	100	90	17	4	0	2	8	34	2	2	0	189	270	300	570	111	275	34	8	239	58	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	166	148	29	6	1	3	13	55	4	4	1	196	279	311	590	115	277	33	8	247	63	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	193	171	34	7	1	4	16	63	4	4	1	199	283	322	604	123	278	33	8	250	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	459	409	80	17	2	9	37	152	10	10	2	196	279	313	591	117	284	33	8	246	52	-20	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	114	24	3	13	52	215	14	14	3	197	279	316	595	119	285	33	8	246	52	-29	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1630	1451	250	50	8	27	122	616	45	43	8	172	258	274	531	101	273	38	7	245	52	-50	+4	+0	-7	+24	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	100	20	3	11	49	246	18	17	3	173	259	275	534	102	274	38	8	245	52	-29	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	464	8	10	188	269	298	-3	+0	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	12	15	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Rose (OGILVIE)	24	20	40	50	45	173/257/260	87	269	3	9	35%	8%	50	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Michael O'Neill 2016 · A	24	39→43	40→45	50→55	36	194/243/284	89	278	8	18	32%	5%	48	-2.5	209/258/313	104	302	9	18	32%	5%	60	-1.6	211/262/319	109	303	10	22	32%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/273/305	114	293	11	16	36%	9%	65	-1.2	199/280/310	111	290	12	26	33%	9%	70	-0.9	181/272/285	104	255	13	39	32%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps