Caden Rose
OF Portland Sea Dogs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/A/INTL3 orgs | 245 | .229/.339/.376 | 6 | 8 | 70 | — | .172/.252/.296 |
| 2025 | 23 | AABOS | 290 | .160/.289/.284 | 6 | 11 | 22 | — | .126/.230/.206 |
| 2026 | 24 | AABOS | 251 | .212/.329/.321 | 3 | 12 | 48 | — | .176/.269/.258 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBBOS | 3 | .183/.266/.274 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBBOS | 58 | .187/.270/.286 | 1 | 1 | 56 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 101 | 91 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 267 | 352 | 619 | 165 | 241 | 33 | 7 | 280 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | — | 42 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 353 | 476 | 529 | 1.006 | 176 | 500 | 24 | 12 | 448 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 102 | 85 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 224 | 353 | 341 | 694 | 118 | 315 | 28 | 16 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 243 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 119 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 160 | 289 | 284 | 573 | 123 | 275 | 41 | 10 | 269 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 212 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 73 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 212 | 329 | 321 | 650 | 108 | 307 | 29 | 12 | 301 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 101 | 93 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 208 | 269 | 477 | 129 | 206 | 45 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 42 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 357 | 361 | 718 | 111 | 426 | 33 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 253 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 148 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 126 | 230 | 206 | 435 | 79 | 261 | 51 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 221 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 176 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 81 | 276 | 35 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 224 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 102 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 165 | 237 | 277 | 514 | 112 | 274 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 245 | 210 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 72 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 229 | 339 | 376 | 715 | 148 | 318 | 29 | 11 | 327 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 253 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 148 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 126 | 230 | 206 | 435 | 79 | 272 | 51 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 243 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 119 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 160 | 289 | 284 | 573 | 123 | 275 | 41 | 10 | 269 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 221 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 176 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 81 | 282 | 35 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 212 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 73 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 212 | 329 | 321 | 650 | 108 | 307 | 29 | 12 | 301 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 222 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 102 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 167 | 237 | 279 | 516 | 113 | 271 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 254 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 148 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 126 | 230 | 205 | 435 | 79 | 261 | 51 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 221 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 176 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 81 | 276 | 35 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 222 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 102 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 167 | 237 | 279 | 516 | 113 | 271 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 290 | 254 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 148 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 126 | 230 | 205 | 435 | 79 | 261 | 51 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 251 | 221 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 176 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 81 | 276 | 35 | 9 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | BOS | 2% | 301 | 268 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 102 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 177 | 261 | 266 | 527 | 88 | 266 | 34 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | BOS | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 266 | 274 | 540 | 91 | 275 | 33 | 0 | 250 | 52 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | BOS | 31% | 187 | 166 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 182 | 265 | 278 | 543 | 96 | 267 | 33 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | BOS | 31% | 58 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 270 | 286 | 556 | 98 | 277 | 33 | 9 | 256 | 56 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 58 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 259 | 269 | 528 | 96 | 250 | 33 | 9 | 256 | 42 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 100 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 213 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 172 | 257 | 266 | 523 | 94 | 248 | 33 | 9 | 256 | 42 | -34 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1121 | 996 | 163 | 33 | 6 | 16 | 82 | 451 | 35 | 38 | 8 | 164 | 252 | 257 | 509 | 93 | 275 | 40 | 7 | 231 | 42 | -18 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 262 | 20 | 22 | 5 | 163 | 251 | 253 | 504 | 90 | 274 | 40 | 7 | 231 | 42 | -36 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 251 PAwOBA .295 → .239 (−56)K% 29.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.68% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .295 → .239; ISO .108 → .086; BABIP .307 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 290 PAwOBA .264 → .201 (−64)K% 41.0% → 51.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.03% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 51.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 4.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷0.962 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.109 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 3.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.141 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.119 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.41% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 92, 2B 122, 3B 128, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .264 → .201; ISO .123 → .082; BABIP .275 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greenville Drive · 101 PAwOBA .272 → .195 (−77)K% 32.7% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.67% | ÷0.960 | ×1.310 | — | — | 44.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.93% | ÷0.924 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.97% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.97% | ÷1.013 | ×0.870 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 16.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.927 | ×0.850 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.043 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .272 → .195; ISO .165 → .118; BABIP .241 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASalem Red Sox · 42 PAwOBA .437 → .328 (−109)K% 23.8% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.948 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 5.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 19.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .437 → .328; ISO .176 → .126; BABIP .500 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .