Luke Savage
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%21.7%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 2.43 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 207 | 43 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.7% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 3.80 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 207 | 43 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 3.80 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 26 | 0 | 36 | 144 | 33 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 1.49 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 26 | 0 | 36 | 144 | 33 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 0.7% | 1.49 | 2.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 25 | 0 | 36 | 169 | 33 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.0% | 17.7% | -2.7% | 3.0% | 6.81 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 59 | 268 | 54 | 36 | 7 | — | — | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 5.87 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.05 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 78 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 84 | 0 | 122 | 534 | 86 | 76 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.2% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.05 | 4.44 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 0 | 200 | 873 | 141 | 123 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.2% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.05 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luke Savage (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.33 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 24 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 92 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 92 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 90 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 90 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 89 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 88 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 88 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 86 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .305 | 6.14 | 17.8% | 4.9% | 107 | +2.60 | 3.54 | 153 | 86 |
| Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 86 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 86 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 85 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 85 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.00 | 15.2% | -0.4% | 32 | +1.14 | 3.52 | 171 | 85 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 85 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 85 |