Michael Turner

C Charlotte Knights

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AA/INTL2 orgs	432	.233/.340/.304	3	6	62	—	.201/.272/.258
2025	26	AACWS	112	.295/.391/.368	0	0	87	—	.260/.327/.320
2026	27	AAACWS	299	.268/.332/.416	8	0	68	—	.227/.271/.327
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBCWS	16	.211/.268/.300	0	0	60	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBCWS	48	.210/.268/.299	1	0	59	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%69

Z-Con%65

Chase%47

K%36

BB%27

Max EV24

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsSteven Lerud (age 28) · Anthony Bemboom (age 29) · Matt Whatley (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .268 / .300

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP286

ISO67

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	304	94	26	1	4	64	58	4	0	2	309	435	441	876	132	364	15	17	392	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	385	330	72	13	1	2	50	77	3	6	0	218	326	282	608	64	277	20	13	286	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	47	39	14	2	0	1	7	5	0	0	0	359	457	487	944	128	382	11	15	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	112	95	28	7	0	0	15	33	0	0	0	295	391	368	759	74	438	29	13	343	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	299	269	72	16	0	8	25	76	1	0	2	268	332	416	749	149	339	25	8	330	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	328	82	21	1	3	40	80	4	0	2	250	339	348	686	98	308	21	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	385	349	70	12	1	2	31	96	3	6	0	201	272	258	529	57	266	25	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	112	100	26	6	0	0	10	40	0	0	0	260	327	320	647	60	414	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	299	278	63	13	0	5	16	91	1	0	2	227	271	327	599	101	308	30	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	328	82	21	1	3	40	80	4	0	2	250	339	348	686	98	316	21	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	304	94	26	1	4	64	58	4	0	2	309	435	441	876	132	364	15	17	392	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	391	79	14	1	2	35	108	3	6	0	202	273	258	531	56	271	25	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	432	369	86	15	1	3	57	82	3	6	0	233	340	304	644	70	289	19	13	300	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	112	100	26	6	0	0	10	40	0	0	0	260	327	320	647	60	419	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	112	95	28	7	0	0	15	33	0	0	0	295	391	368	759	74	438	29	13	343	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	299	278	63	13	0	5	16	91	1	0	2	227	271	327	599	101	312	30	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	299	269	72	16	0	8	25	76	1	0	2	268	332	416	749	149	339	25	8	330	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	330	82	21	1	3	40	80	4	0	2	248	339	345	684	97	308	21	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	391	79	14	1	2	35	108	3	6	0	202	273	258	531	56	266	25	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	112	101	26	6	0	0	10	40	0	0	0	257	327	317	644	59	414	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	299	280	63	13	0	5	16	91	1	0	2	225	271	325	596	100	308	30	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	391	79	14	1	2	35	108	3	6	0	202	273	258	531	56	266	25	8	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	112	101	26	6	0	0	10	40	0	0	0	257	327	317	644	59	414	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	299	280	63	13	0	5	16	91	1	0	2	225	271	325	596	100	308	30	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	304	280	59	12	1	4	20	85	1	2	1	210	267	298	565	88	285	28	7	256	60	-15	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	211	268	300	568	89	286	25	6	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	27%	174	159	33	7	0	2	12	49	1	1	1	210	267	297	564	88	284	28	7	256	59	-8	-0	-1	+3	+4	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	27%	48	45	10	2	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	210	268	299	567	89	285	27	6	257	59	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	48	45	10	2	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	222	271	333	604	111	290	27	6	257	68	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	136	27	0	14	41	176	0	0	0	223	272	337	609	113	291	27	6	257	68	-31	+0	-5	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1549	1399	313	67	2	14	123	411	10	8	6	224	291	305	596	81	302	27	8	269	68	-16	-0	-1	+6	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	132	28	1	6	52	172	4	3	3	225	292	307	599	82	303	26	8	269	68	-31	-1	-3	+12	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 299 PAwOBA .325 → .269 (−56)K% 25.4% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.42%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	30.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.49%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.31%
Singles /BIP	24.87%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.026	×0.992	23.53%
Doubles /BIP	8.29%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.026	×0.992	7.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.026	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.15%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.88%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .325 → .269; ISO .149 → .111; BABIP .339 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABirmingham Barons · 112 PAwOBA .341 → .297 (−44)K% 29.5% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.46%	÷1.020	×1.220	—	—	35.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.39%	÷1.020	×0.680	—	×0.978	8.74%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.87%	÷0.954	×0.920	×1.014	×0.978	32.39%
Doubles /BIP	11.29%	÷0.984	×0.910	×1.014	×0.978	10.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.014	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.784	×0.800	—	×0.978	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .341 → .297; ISO .074 → .068; BABIP .438 → .414. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABirmingham Barons · 385 PAwOBA .281 → .240 (−42)K% 20.0% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	24.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.99%	÷1.081	×0.680	—	×0.988	8.07%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.65%
Singles /BIP	22.13%	÷0.979	×0.920	×1.044	×0.988	21.45%
Doubles /BIP	5.14%	÷0.990	×0.910	×1.044	×0.988	4.87%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.044	×0.880	×1.044	×0.988	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	0.79%	÷0.935	×0.800	—	×0.988	0.67%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .281 → .240; ISO .064 → .059; BABIP .277 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 377 PAwOBA .388 → .307 (−82)K% 15.4% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.38%	÷0.948	×1.310	—	—	21.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.98%	÷0.943	×0.600	—	×0.978	10.56%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.770	—	×0.978	0.80%
Singles /BIP	25.61%	÷1.011	×0.870	×1.042	×0.978	22.47%
Doubles /BIP	10.57%	÷1.030	×0.780	×1.042	×0.978	8.16%
Triples /BIP	0.41%	÷1.008	×0.850	×1.042	×0.978	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.017	×0.880	—	×0.978	1.38%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .388 → .307; ISO .132 → .108; BABIP .364 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Turner (OGILVIE)	28	31	37	42	44	208/265/296	87	285	2	1	28%	7%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Lerud 2013 · AAA	28	40→42	40→45	42→40	38	193/259/281	88	301	7	4	36%	6%	55	-2.0	210/287/299	89	296	8	5	29%	8%	69	-0.9	203/284/278	75	281	7	2	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Anthony Bemboom 2019 · AAA	29	41	41→40	45	47	203/273/299	97	263	8	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	203/268/319	116	264	13	5	27%	8%	66	-1.1	193/262/294	101	249	10	2	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2024 · AAA	28	38→37	41→40	42→50	40	189/250/277	88	263	9	9	31%	6%	50	-2.3	203/266/314	111	269	13	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	167/233/256	89	203	14	12	26%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	185/253/290	105	260	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	194/264/295	101	308	9	6	37%	9%	59	-1.6	125/202/184	59	253	4	0	48%	9%	10	-1.2
✕Tyler LaTorre 2011 · AA	28	44	38→30	37→40	46	210/276/290	80	292	5	4	28%	8%	62	-1.4	213/275/313	100	285	9	5	27%	7%	68	-1.0	230/287/314	84	302	7	3	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	40	43→40	42→30	39	203/252/308	106	287	12	3	33%	6%	57	-1.8	196/262/292	96	277	10	6	31%	7%	57	-1.8	154/232/213	59	215	6	0	29%	8%	27	-1.8
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/305	84	288	5	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	212/268/277	65	275	2	2	22%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	44→39	37→40	42→40	49	207/290/274	67	291	6	7	29%	9%	65	-1.2	196/267/261	65	268	5	5	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/253/229	55	228	5	0	24%	9%	38	-1.0
✕Francisco Arcia 2018 · AAA	28	44	35→40	43→40	42	209/269/267	57	273	3	5	23%	5%	54	-2.0	205/250/297	92	251	9	6	22%	4%	54	-2.0	193/231/280	87	231	10	3	21%	3%	41	-1.3
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2010 · AAA	27	41	39→40	43→40	39	201/254/281	80	281	8	4	30%	6%	51	-2.2	214/275/301	87	296	7	3	28%	7%	64	-1.3	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→37	40→45	42→30	42	191/262/279	87	272	8	2	31%	7%	55	-1.9	188/243/293	105	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	161/206/267	106	236	11	1	36%	4%	29	-2.8
✕Jordan Procyshen 2019 · AA	26	39	38→40	38→40	40	190/250/268	78	279	6	4	33%	6%	47	-2.5	197/253/328	131	249	15	5	27%	6%	63	-1.4	166/233/306	140	198	19	4	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕J.C. Boscan 2008 · AAA	28	42	37→40	44→30	47	201/272/270	68	276	5	6	28%	8%	56	-1.9	214/275/285	71	276	5	4	22%	7%	60	-1.6	212/270/278	65	272	4	2	22%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Jack Murphy 2016 · AAA	28	40	40→45	43→40	46	198/255/286	89	249	7	3	23%	7%	53	-2.1	191/257/264	73	266	6	4	28%	8%	49	-2.4	165/237/211	47	237	3	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA	28	42→36	40→45	42→45	38	201/261/297	96	290	7	4	32%	6%	59	-1.7	208/258/302	94	309	6	6	33%	5%	57	-1.8	187/226/263	76	288	4	2	35%	2%	34	-1.2
✕Chandler Seagle 2024 · AAA	28	39	38→40	43→45	35	189/240/267	78	288	6	7	35%	5%	43	-2.8	179/223/255	76	296	5	7	39%	4%	34	-3.5	131/167/182	51	232	1	2	42%	3%	-7	-1.5
✕Stuart Turner 2019 · MLB	27	40	38→40	45	41	195/253/271	76	270	6	6	29%	6%	49	-2.4	196/244/285	89	285	9	8	32%	6%	49	-2.4	121/141/159	39	175	5	0	34%	2%	-23	-1.3
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	39→40	46→45	43	216/272/299	83	281	6	7	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/265/292	87	288	7	7	29%	7%	59	-1.7	161/224/215	55	230	4	0	30%	6%	23	-1.2
✕Sharif Othman 2018 · AA	29	37	41→40	44→30	36	189/228/277	88	260	9	4	31%	4%	40	-3.0	193/244/286	93	292	9	6	35%	5%	49	-2.4	156/211/223	67	253	6	0	39%	5%	19	-1.6