Michael Turner — OGILVIE

Michael TurnerC Charlotte Knights

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION174 act + 116 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .287 / .324

PA116

HR2

K%30

BB%8

BABIP304

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	320	82	20	1	3	48	87	4	0	2	256	360	353	713	97	336	23	13	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	304	94	26	1	4	64	58	4	0	2	309	435	441	876	132	364	15	17	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	432	393	79	13	1	2	33	116	3	6	0	201	268	254	523	53	277	27	8	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	432	369	86	15	1	3	57	82	3	6	0	233	340	304	644	70	289	19	13	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	112	100	28	6	0	0	10	41	0	0	0	280	345	340	685	60	459	37	9	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	112	95	28	7	0	0	15	33	0	0	0	295	391	368	759	74	438	29	13	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	CWS	—	174	161	42	8	0	6	10	58	1	0	2	261	308	422	730	161	364	33	6	319	102	+0	-1	+0	+3	+5	0.8
YTD	27	AAA	CWS	—	174	155	47	10	0	7	16	48	1	0	2	303	372	503	875	200	392	28	9	382	150	+10	-1	+0	+3	+5	1.8
ROS	27	AAA	CWS	10%	116	105	23	5	0	2	9	35	1	1	1	219	287	324	611	105	309	30	8	273	67	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	CWS	10%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		310	33	8	270	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AAA	CWS	—	186	172	44	8	0	6	11	62	1	0	2	256	304	407	711	151	358	33	6	316	100	-0	-1	+0	+3	+5	0.8
TOT	27	AAA	CWS	—	290	266	65	13	0	8	19	93	2	1	3	244	300	383	683	139	339	32	7	301	88	-4	-1	+0	+5	+8	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CWS	31%	259	234	51	10	0	4	21	77	2	1	1	218	288	312	600	94	307	30	8	277	70	-9	-0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2028	29	MLB	CWS	40%	299	271	60	12	1	5	24	88	2	2	1	221	290	328	618	107	305	29	8	279	72	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2029	30	MLB	CWS	45%	325	293	65	13	1	5	27	95	2	2	1	222	292	324	616	102	303	29	8	278	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2027	28	MLB	CWS	31%	80	73	15	3	0	1	6	24	1	0	0	205	275	288	563	82	308	30	8	274	68	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	29	MLB	CWS	40%	118	106	24	5	0	2	10	35	1	1	0	226	299	330	629	104	306	30	8	275	69	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	30	MLB	CWS	45%	145	131	28	6	0	2	12	43	1	1	1	214	285	305	590	92	304	30	8	275	68	-5	-0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	355	321	69	14	0	5	29	106	3	2	1	215	286	305	591	90	302	30	8	275	68	-13	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	26	0	9	53	194	5	4	2	216	286	306	593	90	303	30	8	275	68	-23	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	1920	1716	388	79	4	21	172	539	14	12	6	226	302	314	615	87	313	28	9	279	72	-61	+0	-4	+34	+54	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	131	27	1	7	58	182	5	4	2	225	301	312	613	86	312	28	9	279	72	-21	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	377	304	94	26	1	4	64	58	4	0	2	309	435	441	876	132	364	15	17	392	158	+25	-1	—	—	+11	3.5
2024	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	385	330	72	13	1	2	50	77	3	6	0	218	326	282	608	64	277	20	13	286	77	-10	+1	—	—	+11	0.2
2024	25	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	47	39	14	2	0	1	7	5	0	0	0	359	457	487	944	128	382	11	15	415	175	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	26	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	112	95	28	7	0	0	15	33	0	0	0	295	391	368	759	74	438	29	13	343	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	360	6	2	221	287	323	+6	+4	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	11	4	221	287	323	+11.9	+7.4	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Turner (OGILVIE)	27	34	36	45	47	244/300/383	139	339	8	1	32%	7%	88	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→37	37→45	42→40	48	204/286/272	68	290	6	7	30%	9%	58	-1.2	197/267/264	67	274	6	5	28%	8%	47	-1.9	176/255/236	60	237	6	0	26%	9%	33	-0.9
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	194/263/277	83	281	6	8	31%	8%	49	-1.8	214/268/321	107	292	9	8	28%	7%	62	-0.9	198/244/319	121	263	11	0	28%	6%	50	-0.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2017 · AAA	26	40→43	37→40	40→50	46	190/267/265	74	277	4	7	30%	9%	47	-1.9	196/284/308	112	273	9	11	29%	10%	66	-0.6	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Beau Taylor 2017 · AA	27	44→45	40→45	43→30	44	211/278/301	90	303	8	3	31%	8%	61	-1.0	223/299/329	106	319	9	3	30%	9%	77	+0.1	218/307/332	114	311	11	1	30%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Joel Weeks 2012 · AA	27	46	38→45	43→45	44	219/270/300	81	281	6	5	24%	6%	56	-1.3	217/270/302	85	292	7	6	26%	7%	57	-1.2	204/255/261	57	274	6	0	27%	6%	40	-0.7
✕J.R. Hopf 2009 · AAA	26	41	40→45	48→40	44	198/267/285	87	297	8	4	34%	8%	53	-1.5	220/278/321	101	291	8	6	26%	7%	66	-0.6	225/275/323	98	281	8	2	22%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	42	40→45	46→45	45	205/265/295	90	267	7	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	198/262/303	105	261	10	4	27%	7%	55	-1.4	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45	39→40	46→45	43	217/273/304	87	286	6	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	202/262/288	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	51	-1.7	144/214/194	50	214	4	0	33%	7%	4	-1.4
✕Jeremy Farrell 2014 · AAA	27	40→36	41→45	42→45	39	193/263/288	95	280	8	4	32%	6%	53	-1.5	204/257/298	94	313	6	5	35%	5%	52	-1.6	202/249/291	88	321	4	3	36%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Steven Lerud 2012 · AAA	27	39→41	42→45	43→40	38	193/255/293	100	279	10	3	33%	6%	50	-1.8	203/279/295	92	305	8	4	33%	8%	61	-1.0	199/291/280	82	290	7	2	31%	9%	60	-0.3
✕J.C. Boscan 2008 · AAA	28	42	37→40	44→30	47	202/273/271	69	281	6	6	28%	8%	51	-1.7	219/282/293	74	286	5	4	23%	7%	60	-1.0	219/280/288	69	285	5	2	23%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Bryant Flete 2019 · AAA	26	44	38→40	40→50	41	209/266/287	77	284	5	6	27%	6%	52	-1.6	219/294/307	88	310	8	7	30%	7%	70	-0.3	215/312/274	59	314	8	0	31%	9%	68	-0.1
✕Corey Myers 2007 · AAA	27	43	39→40	43→45	45	211/263/293	82	267	8	5	23%	6%	52	-1.6	226/282/325	99	274	10	9	20%	7%	69	-0.4	227/288/302	75	265	8	7	17%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA	27	41→31	42→45	44→40	43	201/265/299	98	272	10	4	29%	7%	56	-1.3	196/265/308	112	315	11	8	38%	8%	58	-1.2	136/219/254	118	227	12	6	43%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Mitch Canham 2012 · AAA	27	44→50	39→45	45	46	210/268/293	83	260	6	5	21%	7%	54	-1.4	212/271/297	85	276	5	10	23%	7%	56	-1.3	223/284/317	93	288	4	14	22%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Francisco Arcia 2017 · AAA	27	46	36→40	43→40	40	219/269/281	63	288	4	4	24%	5%	52	-1.6	208/259/290	82	263	8	6	23%	4%	50	-1.7	192/238/267	75	234	8	4	21%	3%	33	-1.1
✕Alfredo González 2019 · AAA	27	43	39→40	44→45	42	207/264/286	79	281	7	7	28%	6%	51	-1.7	209/275/296	87	291	7	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	186/266/247	61	259	4	0	27%	10%	40	-1.0
✕Ronnie Freeman 2018 · AAA	27	42	38→40	42→30	39	204/248/278	74	278	6	3	28%	5%	41	-2.3	225/271/323	98	302	10	4	28%	6%	63	-0.8	217/264/324	106	281	14	0	27%	6%	57	-0.3