Bryce Eblin — OGILVIE

Bryce EblinSS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 101 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .299 / .336

PA101

HR2

K%31

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	46	38	12	0	0	1	3	7	4	1	2	316	422	395	817	79	355	15	7	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	46	36	13	0	0	1	5	5	4	1	2	361	489	444	933	83	387	11	11	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	CWS	—	152	129	24	4	1	2	9	56	12	4	2	186	300	279	579	93	306	37	6	255	53	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
YTD	24	A+	CWS	—	152	125	29	6	1	3	13	41	12	4	2	232	360	368	728	136	317	27	9	333	113	+2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.8
ROS	24	A+	CWS	0%	101	89	19	3	1	2	7	31	4	2	1	213	299	336	635	123	293	31	7	275	69	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	248	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	CWS	—	153	130	24	4	1	2	9	56	12	4	2	185	298	277	575	92	301	37	6	255	53	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
TOT	24	A+	CWS	—	253	218	43	7	2	4	16	87	16	6	3	197	300	302	602	105	302	34	6	263	59	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	30%	228	203	42	7	1	4	16	67	7	6	2	207	288	310	598	103	290	29	7	279	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2028	26	MLB	CWS	44%	307	274	59	10	2	6	21	89	9	8	3	215	293	332	625	117	290	29	7	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2029	27	MLB	CWS	49%	347	309	66	11	2	7	25	100	10	9	3	214	294	330	624	117	290	29	7	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2030	28	MLB	CWS	52%	372	331	71	12	2	8	27	107	11	10	3	215	295	335	631	121	290	29	7	286	77	-10	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.5
2031	29	MLB	CWS	51%	380	338	72	12	2	8	28	110	11	10	3	213	294	331	626	118	289	29	7	284	76	-10	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.4
2032	30	MLB	CWS	56%	383	341	71	12	2	7	28	112	11	10	3	208	289	317	606	109	288	29	7	282	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.2
2033	31	MLB	CWS	59%	374	333	70	12	2	7	28	110	10	10	3	210	291	321	612	111	286	29	7	278	71	-12	+1	-3	+4	+11	0.0
2027	25	MLB	CWS	30%	69	62	12	2	0	1	5	20	2	2	1	194	275	274	550	81	291	29	7	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	CWS	44%	136	122	26	4	1	3	9	39	4	4	1	213	289	336	625	123	291	29	7	263	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	CWS	49%	170	151	34	6	1	4	12	49	5	5	2	225	304	358	661	132	291	29	7	266	62	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	CWS	52%	192	171	36	6	1	4	14	55	5	5	2	211	289	327	617	117	291	29	7	267	62	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	CWS	51%	196	174	37	6	1	4	14	57	6	5	2	213	294	328	621	115	290	29	7	265	61	-9	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.2
2032	30	MLB	CWS	56%	214	190	40	7	1	4	16	62	6	6	2	211	292	321	614	111	289	29	7	262	59	-10	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.2
2033	31	MLB	CWS	59%	219	195	41	7	1	4	16	65	6	6	2	210	290	318	608	108	287	30	7	259	56	-11	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1197	1066	226	38	6	24	86	347	34	33	12	212	292	326	618	114	288	29	7	263	60	-55	+2	-4	+13	+34	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	123	21	3	13	47	188	18	18	7	212	292	326	618	114	289	29	7	263	60	-30	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2538	2256	482	79	14	50	183	733	77	66	23	214	295	328	622	114	290	29	7	284	75	-71	+4	-7	+27	+72	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	20	4	13	47	188	20	17	6	215	297	330	627	116	291	29	7	284	75	-18	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	24	19	4	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	1	211	348	211	558		222	8	4	272	66	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	23	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	22	17	9	0	0	1	4	3	1	0	1	529	636	706	1.342	176	615	14	18	584	305	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,196	24	32	214	291	330	+13	+9	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	13	18	214	291	330	+7.1	+5.0	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Eblin (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	197/300/302	105	302	4	6	34%	6%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2021 · A	24	48	40→45	53→55	45	226/293/330	103	297	6	13	25%	7%	75	-0.0	202/286/308	106	294	10	10	32%	9%	67	-0.5	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Lance Zawadzki 2009 · A	24	48→50	41→45	56→50	44	230/287/330	100	309	7	15	27%	7%	72	-0.2	230/281/344	114	303	10	15	26%	6%	72	-0.2	225/274/338	113	295	10	16	26%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→43	44→45	53→50	47	202/276/321	119	252	11	15	24%	8%	66	-0.6	223/280/337	114	297	10	10	27%	6%	71	-0.3	229/285/338	109	310	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Ryan Boldt 2018 · A	23	47→48	40→50	53→55	44	226/284/323	97	296	6	16	25%	6%	69	-0.4	236/292/361	125	307	11	16	25%	6%	82	+0.5	227/279/362	135	313	14	18	31%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Mitch Longo 2019 · A	24	50→43	41→50	52→50	43	241/289/347	105	307	8	16	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/276/353	126	294	12	16	26%	6%	73	-0.1	220/268/366	146	283	16	18	27%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43	44→50	50	42	214/274/332	117	291	11	16	30%	7%	67	-0.5	213/263/380	167	277	22	6	31%	6%	76	+0.1	189/238/374	185	227	28	1	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Jonathan Wyatt 2009 · A	24	46	41→40	48→50	48	226/287/323	98	277	9	12	22%	8%	70	-0.3	216/266/287	71	276	5	10	22%	6%	51	-1.7	208/251/248	40	266	2	8	22%	6%	31	-2.2
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→38	42→55	50	37	209/268/315	106	297	9	13	31%	5%	61	-1.0	220/290/388	168	304	21	9	33%	7%	90	+1.0	212/288/404	192	284	26	7	34%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Collin Burns 2023 · A	23	50	40→45	49→55	43	240/292/333	93	305	7	13	23%	6%	75	-0.0	203/260/282	79	282	6	17	28%	6%	48	-1.9	173/233/236	63	248	4	21	30%	6%	22	-1.7
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Kyle Isbel 2021 · A	24	42→52	46→50	52→55	39	214/259/341	127	278	13	16	28%	5%	63	-0.8	228/286/367	139	290	13	18	25%	6%	82	+0.5	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Terrin Vavra 2021 · A	24	45→44	41→45	47→50	47	217/272/316	99	263	8	12	21%	7%	62	-0.9	245/319/353	108	323	8	11	24%	9%	92	+1.2	262/341/368	106	345	7	11	24%	9%	100	+0.6