Yeison Morrobel
LF Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+TEX | 471 | .211/.289/.323 | 9 | 7 | 26 | — | .163/.218/.252 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+TEX | 298 | .170/.248/.278 | 6 | 4 | 7 | — | .136/.188/.214 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+TEX | 528 | .306/.368/.486 | 17 | 6 | 96 | — | .261/.303/.407 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBTEX | 1 | .215/.261/.341 | 0 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBTEX | 137 | .219/.266/.350 | 4 | 1 | 70 | -0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 229 | 185 | 50 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 270 | 400 | 411 | 811 | 141 | 302 | 11 | 13 | 363 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 29 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 269 | 580 | 38 | 300 | 21 | 10 | 272 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 173 | 152 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 329 | 407 | 487 | 894 | 158 | 405 | 20 | 10 | 396 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 151 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 34 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 273 | 384 | 312 | 697 | 39 | 366 | 23 | 15 | 329 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 421 | 89 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 106 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 211 | 289 | 323 | 612 | 112 | 258 | 23 | 8 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 270 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 170 | 248 | 278 | 526 | 107 | 195 | 20 | 8 | 243 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 189 | 177 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 322 | 362 | 469 | 831 | 147 | 386 | 19 | 5 | 366 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 339 | 300 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 297 | 372 | 497 | 869 | 200 | 325 | 17 | 10 | 380 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 229 | 193 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 166 | 284 | 228 | 512 | 62 | 187 | 14 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 259 | 535 | 37 | 285 | 28 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 173 | 158 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 228 | 291 | 329 | 620 | 101 | 306 | 28 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 151 | 134 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 246 | 331 | 284 | 615 | 37 | 359 | 30 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 436 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 140 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 163 | 218 | 252 | 471 | 89 | 212 | 30 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 280 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 136 | 188 | 214 | 402 | 79 | 166 | 25 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 189 | 180 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 289 | 319 | 406 | 725 | 117 | 369 | 23 | 3 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 339 | 314 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 75 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 245 | 295 | 408 | 702 | 162 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 229 | 193 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 166 | 284 | 228 | 512 | 62 | 194 | 14 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 229 | 185 | 50 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 270 | 400 | 411 | 811 | 141 | 302 | 11 | 13 | 363 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 185 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 222 | 284 | 314 | 597 | 92 | 310 | 29 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 202 | 178 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 315 | 393 | 455 | 848 | 140 | 390 | 20 | 10 | 378 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 151 | 134 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 246 | 331 | 284 | 615 | 37 | 364 | 30 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 151 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 34 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 273 | 384 | 312 | 697 | 39 | 366 | 23 | 15 | 329 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 436 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 140 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 163 | 218 | 252 | 471 | 89 | 216 | 30 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 421 | 89 | 20 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 106 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 211 | 289 | 323 | 612 | 112 | 258 | 23 | 8 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 280 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 136 | 188 | 214 | 402 | 79 | 169 | 25 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 270 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 170 | 248 | 278 | 526 | 107 | 195 | 20 | 8 | 243 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 494 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 117 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 265 | 307 | 417 | 724 | 152 | 318 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 528 | 477 | 146 | 27 | 4 | 17 | 44 | 92 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 306 | 368 | 486 | 855 | 180 | 348 | 17 | 8 | 375 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 229 | 195 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 164 | 284 | 226 | 510 | 62 | 187 | 14 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 184 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 223 | 284 | 315 | 599 | 92 | 303 | 29 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 151 | 133 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 248 | 331 | 286 | 617 | 38 | 359 | 30 | 11 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 437 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 140 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 162 | 218 | 252 | 470 | 89 | 212 | 30 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 278 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 137 | 188 | 216 | 404 | 79 | 166 | 25 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 493 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 117 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 266 | 307 | 418 | 725 | 152 | 312 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 471 | 437 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 140 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 162 | 218 | 252 | 470 | 89 | 212 | 30 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 298 | 278 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 137 | 188 | 216 | 404 | 79 | 166 | 25 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 528 | 493 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 117 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 266 | 307 | 418 | 725 | 152 | 312 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 584 | 545 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 134 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 260 | 336 | 596 | 122 | 257 | 23 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +13 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 261 | 341 | 602 | 126 | 257 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 66 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 30% | 451 | 421 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 103 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 218 | 265 | 345 | 610 | 127 | 260 | 23 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 30% | 137 | 128 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 266 | 350 | 616 | 131 | 259 | 23 | 5 | 274 | 70 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 137 | 128 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 272 | 375 | 647 | 148 | 266 | 23 | 5 | 274 | 57 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 138 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 147 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 227 | 273 | 377 | 650 | 150 | 267 | 23 | 5 | 274 | 57 | -23 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2540 | 2339 | 481 | 87 | 12 | 46 | 151 | 617 | 32 | 51 | 26 | 206 | 263 | 312 | 575 | 106 | 257 | 24 | 6 | 253 | 57 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 158 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 205 | 264 | 312 | 576 | 107 | 256 | 24 | 6 | 253 | 57 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 339 PAwOBA .372 → .304 (−68)K% 16.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 22.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.06% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .372 → .304; ISO .200 → .172; BABIP .325 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 189 PAwOBA .358 → .321 (−37)K% 18.5% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 8.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .358 → .321; ISO .147 → .127; BABIP .386 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 298 PAwOBA .237 → .178 (−59)K% 19.8% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.80% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.39% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.22% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 12.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.08% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .237 → .178; ISO .107 → .081; BABIP .195 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 471 PAwOBA .273 → .207 (−66)K% 22.5% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.51% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.86% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .273 → .207; ISO .112 → .090; BABIP .258 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 151 PAwOBA .322 → .276 (−46)K% 22.5% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.52% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.57% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.04% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.030 | 33.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.030 | 2.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.81% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 83, 3B 125, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .322 → .276; ISO .039 → .031; BABIP .366 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 173 PAwOBA .388 → .269 (−119)K% 19.7% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.65% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.83% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.97% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 22.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.02% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .388 → .269; ISO .158 → .106; BABIP .405 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADown East Wood Ducks · 29 PAwOBA .266 → .223 (−43)K% 20.7% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 24.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .266 → .223; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .300 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Rangers 1 · 229 PAwOBA .359 → .237 (−122)K% 10.9% → 13.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.92% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.37% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.680 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 13.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.135 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.039 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.28% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 96, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .359 → .237; ISO .141 → .075; BABIP .302 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).