Samuel Zavala

CF Birmingham Barons

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 175 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #611MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+CWS	486	.254/.363/.372	9	18	68	—	.215/.292/.317
2025	21	INTLCardenales de…	19	.118/.167/.176	0	1	-11	—
2026	22	AACWS	484	.235/.391/.389	14	12	90	—	.215/.331/.344
2026	22	INTLCardenales de…	28	.217/.357/.261	0	0	89	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBCWS	6	.204/.303/.322	0	0	79	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	24	MLBCWS	151	.209/.306/.332	4	2	83	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCWS	246	.211/.308/.339	6	3	85	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$3M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%97

Chase%96

wRC+76

wOBA71

K%58

ISO53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 69%

CompsDarrien Miller (age 23) · Anthony Seigler (age 24) · Dom Nuñez (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .303 / .322

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP267

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	235	195	58	16	6	3	32	36	4	11	7	297	407	487	894	190	344	15	14	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	141	122	31	6	2	7	19	37	0	5	3	254	355	508	863	254	308	26	13	378	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Padres	—	35	29	10	3	1	1	4	11	0	0	0	345	424	621	1.045	276	500	31	11	425	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	56	51	4	1	0	0	5	19	0	1	1	78	161	98	259	20	125	34	9	134	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	459	348	93	22	0	14	89	121	9	20	6	267	428	451	879	184	356	26	19	387	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	375	70	15	2	8	83	104	5	14	5	187	341	301	643	115	234	22	18	303	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	486	409	104	17	2	9	65	104	5	18	8	254	363	372	735	117	316	21	13	332	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	19	17	2	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	1	118	167	176	343	59	182	32	5	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	484	383	90	17	0	14	94	112	4	12	8	235	391	389	780	154	295	23	19	357	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	28	23	5	1	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	217	357	261	618	43	263	14	18	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	235	206	37	10	3	1	21	45	4	11	7	180	268	272	540	92	220	19	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	141	127	26	4	2	6	14	52	0	5	3	205	284	409	693	205	279	37	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	35	31	8	2	1	1	2	16	0	0	0	258	303	484	787	226	395	46	6	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	56	52	4	1	0	0	4	24	0	1	1	77	143	96	239	19	119	43	7	104	-43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	459	375	78	16	0	10	62	173	9	20	6	208	334	331	665	123	318	38	14	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	407	64	11	2	9	51	143	5	14	5	157	259	260	520	103	211	31	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	486	432	93	13	2	9	42	143	5	18	8	215	292	317	609	102	286	29	9	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	484	410	88	17	0	12	67	136	4	12	8	215	331	344	674	129	286	28	14	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	235	206	37	10	3	1	21	45	4	11	7	180	268	272	540	92	220	19	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	235	195	58	16	6	3	32	36	4	11	7	297	407	487	894	190	344	15	14	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	176	158	31	6	2	6	16	68	0	5	3	196	270	373	644	177	294	39	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	176	151	41	9	3	8	23	48	0	5	3	272	368	530	898	258	344	27	13	387	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	515	428	82	17	0	10	65	196	9	21	7	192	311	301	612	110	312	38	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	515	399	97	23	0	14	94	140	9	21	7	243	398	406	804	163	327	27	18	360	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	407	64	11	2	9	51	143	5	14	5	157	259	260	520	103	214	31	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	375	70	15	2	8	83	104	5	14	5	187	341	301	643	115	234	22	18	303	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	505	448	97	14	2	9	44	148	5	19	9	217	294	317	611	100	297	29	9	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	505	426	106	18	2	9	66	110	5	19	9	249	356	364	720	115	311	22	13	326	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	434	94	18	0	13	71	144	4	12	8	217	332	348	680	131	291	28	14	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	512	406	95	18	0	14	99	116	4	12	8	234	389	382	771	148	292	23	19	354	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	235	208	37	10	3	1	21	45	4	11	7	178	268	269	538	91	220	19	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	176	158	31	6	2	6	16	68	0	5	3	196	270	373	644	177	302	39	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	515	436	82	17	0	10	65	196	9	21	7	188	311	296	607	108	296	38	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	408	64	11	2	9	51	143	5	14	5	157	259	260	519	103	211	31	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	505	451	97	14	2	9	44	148	5	19	9	215	294	315	609	100	286	29	9	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	432	94	18	0	13	71	144	4	12	8	218	332	350	682	132	286	28	14	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	467	408	64	11	2	9	51	143	5	14	5	157	259	260	519	103	211	31	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	505	451	97	14	2	9	44	148	5	19	9	215	294	315	609	100	286	29	9	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	432	94	18	0	13	71	144	4	12	8	218	332	350	682	132	286	28	14	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	2%	594	516	105	19	1	13	68	162	5	8	4	204	302	319	621	116	267	27	11	285	79	-15	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CWS	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	204	303	322	625	117	267	33	17	286	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	28%	533	463	96	17	1	12	61	143	4	6	3	208	306	330	635	122	269	27	11	290	83	-11	+0	+2	+2	+12	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	44%	563	489	102	18	1	13	64	149	5	6	3	210	307	336	644	126	270	26	11	293	85	-10	+0	+2	+2	+12	0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	580	505	107	19	2	14	65	153	5	6	3	212	308	340	648	128	271	26	11	295	86	-10	+0	+3	+2	+13	0.7
2031	27	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	586	511	109	20	2	14	65	154	5	6	3	213	308	341	648	128	272	26	11	295	86	-10	+0	+3	+2	+13	0.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	585	510	110	20	2	14	65	154	5	5	4	213	307	340	646	127	272	26	11	294	85	-10	-1	+2	+2	+13	0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	578	506	105	19	1	13	63	153	4	5	5	211	304	333	637	123	271	26	11	290	83	-12	-1	+1	+2	+13	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	569	498	104	19	1	13	62	153	4	5	7	208	301	326	626	118	269	27	11	286	80	-14	-2	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	28%	151	132	28	5	0	4	17	40	1	2	1	209	306	332	639	124	270	26	11	292	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	44%	246	214	45	8	1	6	28	65	2	3	1	211	308	339	647	128	271	26	11	295	85	-4	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	305	266	57	10	1	8	34	80	2	3	2	213	309	342	651	129	272	26	11	296	86	-5	-0	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	328	285	61	11	1	8	37	86	3	3	2	214	309	343	652	130	273	26	11	296	86	-6	-0	+1	+1	+7	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	339	296	64	12	1	8	37	89	3	3	2	214	307	342	650	129	273	26	11	295	85	-6	-0	+1	+1	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	334	291	62	11	1	8	37	89	3	3	3	211	305	336	641	125	272	27	11	292	83	-7	-1	+1	+1	+7	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	328	287	60	11	1	7	36	88	2	3	4	208	301	328	630	120	270	27	11	287	80	-8	-1	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2031	1771	377	68	6	49	226	537	16	20	15	213	308	341	649	128	274	26	11	293	78	-39	-2	+6	+7	+44	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	121	22	2	16	72	172	5	6	5	213	307	344	651	131	274	26	11	293	78	-13	-1	+2	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6724	5840	1195	218	20	148	750	1890	62	125	69	205	302	325	627	120	272	28	11	284	78	-85	-3	+13	+15	+93	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	115	21	2	14	73	183	6	12	7	204	302	322	624	119	272	28	11	284	78	-13	-1	+2	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Billy Maloney'01-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,762 PA	4.2	2,762	6	155	235*	299*	373*	+5	+9	6.9	6.9
/162	664	1	37	+1.1	+2.1	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Harry Craft'37-'42 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,245 PA	3.4	2,245	44	14	241*	284*	411*	+8	+11	4.5	4.5
/162	664	13	4	+2.2	+3.3	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.1	2,037	48	19	212	303	337	+7	+8	2.2	2.2
/162	664	16	6	+2.4	+2.6	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Zavala (OGILVIE)	23	30→40	40→45	50	55	202/300/316	115	267	7	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	39→40	42→45	46→55	54	193/293/304	111	262	9	11	28%	12%	73	-0.6	198/296/310	112	251	10	20	23%	12%	75	-0.5	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Dom Nuñez 2018 · AA	23	40→46	44→50	49→45	48	203/278/317	113	255	13	8	25%	8%	70	-0.9	200/276/330	130	263	15	8	29%	9%	72	-0.7	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	41→43	46→55	50→45	44	205/277/341	136	298	13	10	34%	8%	75	-0.5	217/287/367	150	293	17	6	30%	8%	84	+0.2	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	45	42→45	52	200/295/324	124	280	13	6	32%	12%	78	-0.3	181/261/276	95	256	9	6	31%	9%	54	-2.0	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Colin Barber 2024 · AA	23	43	46→45	46→45	47	214/296/340	126	289	13	9	29%	9%	82	+0.0	200/264/312	112	290	11	8	33%	7%	63	-1.4	182/242/287	105	270	10	6	34%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	42→43	44→50	46→45	47	204/287/322	118	294	12	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	206/286/361	155	328	19	4	39%	10%	83	+0.1	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	40→39	47→50	47→45	51	202/293/345	143	270	14	9	29%	11%	82	+0.0	198/291/335	137	280	14	7	32%	10%	79	-0.2	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕John Whittleman 2010 · AA	23	42→45	43→50	41→45	52	206/292/323	117	276	10	4	28%	11%	76	-0.4	189/271/326	137	257	15	3	31%	10%	70	-0.9	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	41→47	43→45	48→45	47	203/269/312	108	262	11	6	26%	8%	65	-1.2	220/290/337	117	281	12	7	25%	9%	78	-0.3	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	42	44→55	48→45	41	209/269/327	118	295	11	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/250/297	109	270	10	4	32%	7%	55	-2.0	155/222/262	107	217	10	1	32%	7%	33	-1.3
✕George Valera 2024 · AAA	23	42→43	49→50	42→45	49	213/301/363	150	293	17	5	32%	10%	89	+0.5	221/292/363	142	301	16	6	30%	9%	85	+0.2	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/322	122	273	12	3	30%	9%	72	-0.7	197/273/311	114	289	10	5	33%	9%	66	-1.1	146/235/244	98	221	7	0	35%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9

Samuel Zavala

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps