Abel Bastidas — OGILVIE

Abel BastidasSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 S/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 267 proj PA

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .226 / .243

PA267

HR2

K%32

BB%5

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	219	194	23	2	2	2	22	65	2	12	5	119	216	180	396	62	164	30	10	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	219	181	34	4	3	2	35	46	2	12	5	188	326	276	602	88	239	21	16	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	180	163	30	8	1	2	15	50	1	4	6	184	257	282	539	98	250	28	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	180	154	40	10	2	3	24	33	1	4	6	260	363	409	772	149	311	18	13	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	244	226	40	10	1	1	11	87	5	0	0	177	231	243	475	66	279	36	5	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	244	218	47	13	1	2	19	58	5	0	0	216	293	312	605	96	281	24	8	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	128	118	15	4	0	1	6	50	1	1	0	127	176	186	362	59	200	39	5	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	128	112	20	6	0	1	12	35	1	1	0	179	264	259	523	80	241	27	9	240	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	231	214	38	5	1	1	13	94	1	1	1	178	228	224	452	47	303	41	6	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	231	210	51	6	1	1	17	66	1	1	1	243	303	295	598	52	342	29	7	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	DET	—	267	248	43	9	1	2	15	84	2	4	1	173	226	242	468	69	252	31	6	216	24	-23	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	338	312	57	11	1	4	20	102	3	5	1	183	239	263	502	80	257	30	6	235	38	-24	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.0
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	408	376	73	14	2	7	25	120	4	6	2	194	252	298	550	104	261	29	6	246	47	-25	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	443	408	80	15	2	8	28	128	4	6	2	196	255	301	556	105	263	29	6	253	52	-24	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.7
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	465	427	84	16	2	9	30	134	5	6	2	197	258	307	564	110	264	29	6	256	54	-24	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.6
2031	27	MLB	DET	54%	470	431	85	16	2	9	31	136	5	6	2	197	259	306	565	109	263	29	7	256	54	-24	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	116	107	20	4	1	1	7	35	1	2	0	187	243	271	515	84	253	30	6	224	30	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	188	172	33	6	1	3	12	55	2	3	1	192	253	291	543	99	257	29	6	235	38	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	229	210	41	8	1	4	15	66	2	3	1	195	256	300	556	105	258	29	7	242	43	-15	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	252	232	46	9	1	5	16	73	2	3	1	198	256	310	566	112	259	29	6	245	45	-16	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
2031	27	MLB	DET	54%	255	233	46	9	1	5	17	74	3	4	1	197	261	309	570	112	259	29	7	245	46	-16	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1040	954	186	36	5	18	67	303	10	15	4	195	255	300	555	105	263	29	6	240	42	-68	+1	+0	+11	+29	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	115	22	3	11	42	189	6	9	2	193	253	295	548	102	261	29	6	240	42	-43	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	3393	3117	568	110	15	46	216	1050	33	51	22	182	243	271	514	89	256	31	6	235	38	-238	+1	+0	+36	+96	-10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	109	21	3	9	41	201	6	10	4	183	242	273	515	90	256	31	6	235	38	-46	+0	+0	+7	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Tigers	—	219	181	34	4	3	2	35	46	2	12	5	188	326	276	602	88	239	21	16	286	77	-6	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2022	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	180	154	40	10	2	3	24	33	1	4	6	260	363	409	772	149	311	18	13	347	124	+5	-2	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	244	218	47	13	1	2	19	58	5	0	0	216	293	312	605	96	281	24	8	276	70	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	34	31	5	2	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	161	212	226	438	65	227	29	3	198	9	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	94	81	15	4	0	1	11	25	0	1	0	185	283	272	554	86	246	27	12	255	53	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	17	17	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	59	59	59	118		100	41	0	53	-101	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	84	80	24	4	1	1	4	26	0	0	1	300	333	412	746	112	434	31	5	332	112	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	130	113	26	2	0	0	13	33	1	1	0	230	315	248	563	18	313	25	10	262	59	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,307	21	18	192	248	291	+14	+9	-2.9	-1.4
	/162	664	10	9	192	248	291	+7.1	+4.6	-1.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Bastidas (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	32→37	44→49	48	173/226/243	69	252	2	4	32%	5%	24	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Urbanus 2014 · A	22	36	34→40	48→50	38	175/224/226	51	261	2	8	32%	6%	17	-4.0	199/240/273	74	297	3	9	32%	5%	37	-2.7	204/233/274	70	302	0	8	31%	3%	30	-1.0
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Jan Vázquez 2013 · AA	22	43	35→40	50→45	39	205/259/262	58	291	3	7	30%	5%	42	-2.3	198/258/291	93	286	10	7	33%	6%	50	-1.7	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→34	36→40	48→40	38	200/243/273	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	37	-2.6	175/207/239	64	295	4	3	40%	3%	13	-4.3	150/175/200	50	259	4	2	43%	2%	-13	-3.3
✕Franklin Navarro 2016 · A	21	39	36→40	45→40	38	188/224/253	65	249	4	5	26%	4%	24	-3.5	207/243/293	86	289	7	4	29%	5%	43	-2.2	198/234/255	57	310	4	0	36%	4%	27	-0.7
✕Joseph Rosa 2019 · A	22	40→44	37→40	45→50	40	193/250/260	67	280	6	14	32%	6%	38	-2.6	205/268/295	90	293	7	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	203/276/296	94	296	7	14	31%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Raymel Flores 2017 · A	22	42	37→45	46→50	38	200/251/273	73	301	5	10	34%	6%	41	-2.3	190/241/254	64	290	3	11	33%	5%	33	-2.9	160/211/201	41	247	0	13	33%	5%	2	-1.3
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→44	36→40	51→50	45	179/255/247	68	273	4	15	33%	9%	37	-2.6	199/279/294	95	294	8	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Alex Hall 2021 · A	22	41	38→45	49→40	36	198/238/277	79	290	5	7	32%	5%	37	-2.7	175/236/264	89	309	7	4	42%	7%	33	-2.9	149/218/245	95	250	10	1	42%	7%	20	-1.5
✕Ruben Contreras 2010 · A	22	37	38→40	51→45	44	180/240/263	82	248	5	12	28%	7%	34	-2.8	198/247/298	100	281	8	8	31%	6%	46	-2.0	179/222/291	112	247	10	5	31%	5%	33	-1.1
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A	22	35	37→30	53→45	40	174/226/247	72	249	5	10	31%	6%	24	-3.5	193/238/263	70	268	5	8	28%	6%	33	-2.9	173/221/224	51	251	4	6	31%	6%	14	-1.5
✕Juan Avila 2014 · A	22	38	36→40	46→40	41	182/235/247	66	232	4	5	23%	5%	28	-3.2	214/267/306	92	283	6	5	25%	5%	57	-1.2	211/262/306	95	279	5	2	25%	4%	53	-1.0
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Wendell Soto 2014 · A	22	41→44	39→40	50	40	198/245/286	87	275	6	10	29%	6%	42	-2.3	195/259/281	86	278	7	10	30%	8%	47	-1.9	173/250/248	75	245	8	10	31%	9%	35	-0.9
✕Yeison Coca 2021 · A	22	37→29	38→40	50	36	181/232/259	77	290	6	14	38%	6%	30	-3.1	179/238/246	67	306	4	12	40%	7%	30	-3.1	157/219/208	51	273	2	13	40%	7%	9	-2.1